北京市和房山区环境污染与经济增长的关系研究

:2006-02-09:(1983-),,,StudyontheRelationshipBetweenEnvironmentalPollutionandEconomicGrowthinBeijingandFangshan(100084)19952003,,,AbstractApplyingthebasicmodeloftheEnvironmentalKuznetsCurve,thisstudyanalyzedtherelationshipbetweenenvironmentalpollutionandeconomicgrowthfrom1995to2003inBeijingandFangshanDistrict.Theresultshowsthatmostoftheindicatorsofenvironmentalqualityandpollutantsemissionintensityhavepassedtheinflexionpoint,whichindi2catedthatthestudyareaentersintotheperiodofimprovingenvironmentalqualitywiththeeconomydevelopment.ForBei2jingandFangshanDistrict,theinflexionpointsoccurinalowereconomiclevelthanthedevelopedcounties.KeywordsEnvironmentalKuznetsCurveEconomicGrowthEnvironmentalQualityPollutionEmissions,,U,(EnvironmentalKuznetsCurves,EKC),,,,,[1]EKC:U;U,GrossmanKrueger(1995)66,U,GDP40005000(1985)[1,2]GrossmanKrueger,,ShaficBandyopdhyay(1992)SO2SPM,GDP30004000(1985)[3]2000,GDP110008000[4],U,GDP35004000,[5]UEKC,SeldenSong(1994)SO2SPMCON,6533120072GDP10700960019100(1985)[6][7]GDPN,GDP4000,,,2019km2,81142003,91144194610,,6317%,,,,,11.1,SO2NOxTSP,,SO2COD;GDP,19951.2[8];,,;1.3EKC,x,y,y=ax2+bx+c,abc22.111:,NOx,NO21751R2/-1NO2()TSP()TSP()()y=-2E-06x2-010247x+153181y=-1E-05x2+0128x-109219y=-1E-06x2+010514x-135142y=-1E-07x2+010027x+01559701800168016601781400025700135009899SO2TSPEKC,,NOxGDP;TSP,SO2,NO2,,,GDP1200026000,GDP700010000()[9]2.2GDP22GDP,GDPUN,SO2COD,19992000,85331200722.3,NO2,,,,SO2COD,,,:(1),,;,;,,(2),,,,,,,,(3),,,,;,,,3:(1),,SO2TSP,,NO2,NO2,(2)GDP1200026000,,(3),,,1.Grossman,G.M.,andKrueger,A.B.,EnvironmentalImpactsofNorthAmericanFreeTradeAgreement,NBERWorkingPa2perSeries,NO:3914.2.Grossman,G.M.,andA.B.Krueger,Economicgrowthandtheenvironment.QuarterlyJournalofEconomics,1995,110(2):353373.3.Shafic,N.andS.Bandyopadhyay,Economicgrowthandenvi2ronmentalquality:timeseriesandcross-sectionevidence,WorldBankPolicyResearchWorkingPaper.WPS904,Wash2ingtonDC:TheWorldBank,1992.4..2000[M].:,2000.5..2005[M].:,2005:2225.6.Selden,T.M.,andSong,D.,EnvironmentalQualityandDe2velopment:IsthereaKuznetsCurveforAirPollutionEmis2sions?JournalofEnvironmentalEconomicsandManagement.1994,147162.7.,.[J].,2003,25(6):912.8..[R],2004.9.,,.[J].,2005,24(1):7275.95