4G技术发展现状与机会

通訊產業發展推動小組14G技術發展現況與機會宋庭禎6March2009通訊產業發展推動小組2Agenda1.TheMobileEvolutionTowards4GTheITU’sPerspectiveTheSDO’sPerspectiveTechnologyEnablersplanthefutureinadvanceatSDOandIndustryAlliancesmeetings2.WholeadtheMobileEvolutiontowards4G?IEEE802.16andWiMAXForumLTEandLSTIAlliances3.HowtoBreakThroughTaiwanWiMAXEcosystem通訊產業發展推動小組3Whatis4G?ITU-Rs’Perspective•Ahighdegreeofcommonalityoffunctionalityworldwidewhileretainingtheflexibilitytosupportawiderageofservicesandapplicationsina.•Capabilityofinter-workingwithotherradioaccesssystems.•CapabilityofserviceswithinIMTandwithfixednetworks.•Enhancedpeakdatarates100Mbpsforhighand1GbpsforlowmobilitySource:ITU-RM.1645(IMTVision2003)ChinaJapanKoreaUKEuropeJapanUSAmainlyUSA資料來源：本研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月StandardDevelopmentOrganizations通訊產業發展推動小組4Whatis4G?ITU-Rs’PerspectiveVisionRecM.1645RadioFramework&CoreSpecificationsMarket/ServicesviewTechnologyviewSpectrumviewNamePrinciplesCPMTextWRC-07Services&CircularLetterforprocessProposals,Evaluation,&ConsensusBuilding2002-20032005-20072006-20082008-2010SettingtheStageforFutureVision,Spectrum,andTechnologyViewsDefiningtheTechnologyProceedingToward4G(IMT-ADVANCED)2010-2012NowIM-EVALandIMT-TechDocumentSource:ITU-RM.1645(IMTVision2003)通訊產業發展推動小組5Whatis4G?SDOs’Perspective2001-20052006HSDPAPhaseI1.8M/3.6MbpsHSDPAPhaseII7.2/14.4MbpsHSUPA2M/5.76MbpsLTE(FDD)In20MHz(Rel.8)DLPDR:326MpsULPDR:86kpsWCDMAR99/R4384kbps3GPPEvolution200720082009HSPA+DL40MbpsUL10Mbps1xEV-DORev.0DL:2.4MbpsUL:153.6kbpsDORev.B（MCDO）DL：46.5MbpsUL:27Mbps1xEV-D0Rev.ADL:3.1MbpsUL:1.8MbpsCDMA1X153kbps20102011IEEE802.16e70MbpsWiMAXEvolutionIEEE802.16d20MbpsIMTAdvancedTechnologyLTE-Advanced(Rel.9)IEEE802.16mDL:100MbpsUL:50MbpsSource:本計畫整理,4G研討會Dec.20083GPP2EvolutionTD-SCDMAEvolutionR2CertificationR1.5CertificationR1.0/Wave2CertificationLTETDDLTE-AdvancedDL:1GbpsUL:150Mbps(Rel.10)通訊產業發展推動小組6TechnologyEnablersplanthefutureinadvanceatSDOandIndustryAlliancesmeetingsWidebandtowardsMobilityWiMAXCampMobileEvolutionisTowardsConvergenceLTECampMobiletowardsWidebandSource:本計畫整理,MWCMarch2009IMT-AdvancedGOALSFlexiblespectrumutilizationAllIPnetworkBroadbandservicesLowCAPEXandOPEX垂直產業異業結盟技術整合研發產銷Source:MIC,產銷分享會2007通訊產業發展推動小組7SamsungLTEProductRoadmapSource:本計畫整理,MWCMarch2009LSTILTERel9StandardDevelopment200920102011eNBTerminalRAN2,3,4Mar.09RAN5June09Release9(Dec09)SAEStage3Mar09Release9(Dec09)POC(Jan08~March09)IODT(Jan09~Oct09)IOT(Nov09~Mar10)FCT(Oct09~June10)FieldTrialSystemPre-StandardforLSTIDec082.6GHz/700MHz20MHzBW2x2/4x2MIMO,SONCommercialSystemCommercialHW/SWready2.6GHz/700MHz1.4~20MHzBW2x2/4x2MIMO,SONHotZone20MHzBW2x2/4x4MIMO,SONDataCardPrototypeCommercialHandset•從SamsungLTE產品Roadmap來看，2009年將推出DataCard，2010年起推出LTE手機。通訊產業發展推動小組8小結資料來源：TCSong研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月•FromITU-RPerspectives:IMT-AdvancedSpectrumwasfinalizedatWRC07.IMT-AdvancedRadioAccessTechnologyisnowunder-progresswithSDOs.SpecificationRecommendationwillbeexpectedbyyear2011.•FromSDO’sPerspective:LTE-AdvancedandWiMAX16m(notRel.2)willbesubmittedandevaluatedbymidof2010.•FromAlliancesPerspective:–WiMAXRel.2willonlybereadyforcommercialphaseafter2012.–LTEandLTE-AdvancedIndustrialEvaluationGroup(LSTI)isexpectedtohaveFriendlyTrialreadybyyear2010.–LTE-Advanced(Rel.10)willbereleasedayearlater.Operatorsshouldratherwaittoavoiddoubleinvestment.•FromGlobalOperator’sPerspectives:–Timingoftheroll-outanduptakeof4Gapplicationandservicesshouldfollow:MobileComputing,Mobile(2.0)ServicesandMobileCEDevicesanddataBusinessmodeltobesuitableforHighthroughputatMobile.通訊產業發展推動小組9Agenda1.TheMobileEvolutionTowards4GTheRegulatoryDevelopmentTechnologyEnablersplanthefutureinadvanceatSDOandIndustryAlliancesmeetings2.WholeadtheMobileEvolutiontowards4G?IEEE802.16andWiMAXForumLTEandLSTIAlliances3.HowtoBreakThroughTaiwanWiMAXEcosystem通訊產業發展推動小組10IEEE802.16m技術開發現況CompanyNameNo#58#48#58#48SamsungElectronics146279.60%10.11%IntelCorp.239168.14%5.99%HuaweiTechnologies333106.89%3.75%LG42795.64%3.37%ETRI527175.64%6.37%Motorola820194.18%7.12%ITRI62354.80%1.87%Nokia72174.38%2.62%FujitsuLaboratories917123.55%4.49%NortelNetworks1115133.13%4.87%ZTE101653.34%1.87%MTK1215-3.13%III131052.09%1.87%MitsubishiElectric14871.67%2.62%NextWave159-1.88%AlcatelLucent166-1.25%Qualcomm1840.84%Marvel194-0.84%Ericsson1751.04%DoCoMo20320.63%0.75%TotalVotingMembers479362100%100%No.ofMembersSession36Session38Session46Session48Session50Session52Session54Session56Session58Members288344210267260350433476479PotentialMembers104222931187873Total--371482443551554552Participants--272362443462430456394據了解，除了Intel及Samsung將會進行IEEE802.16mSelfEvaluation以外，目前尚未有公司公佈16mTrial的合作，是否大多公司還處於觀望姿態?資料來源：TCSong研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月通訊產業發展推動小組11WiMAXForum•WiMAXForum在2001年由英特爾、諾基亞與Alvarion等創建。全球目前共有530家會員台灣目前有39家會員廠商，包含一個董事會員、以及15個主要會員。•WiMAXForum目前有17個董事會成員•近年來台灣在推動WiMAX產業的發展不遺餘力，受到全球WiMAX產業的高度肯定。•在MWC2009IntelBooth公佈WiMAX佈建於135國家，可服務430M人資料來源：WiMAXTaipeiOffice,本研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月通訊產業發展推動小組123GPPLTEDevelopment•LTE獲NGMN及多家國際電信業者宣布採用後聲勢急漲•電信業者自2009年起將陸續開始透過LSTI測試、甚至商用化佈建。Resource:ATISLTEConference,本研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2