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26520059ACTAAERONAUTICAETASTRONAUTICASINICAVol.26SePt.NO,52005:10006893(2005)05062607(PHM)`,MiehaelG.peehtZ,2l(.,100083)(2.CALCE,20742)StatusandPesrPeetivesofPrognosticsandHealthManagementTechnologiesZENGShengkui`,MiehaelG.Peeht,,WUJiZ(1.InstituteofReliabilityEngineering,BeijingUniversityofAeronautiesandAstronauties,eBijing100083,China)(2.CALCEEleetronieProductsandSystemsCenter,UniversityofMaryland,oCllgeeaPrk,MD20742USA):(PHM),PHM。PHM,,,PHM。,、。,PHM,PHM。:;;:V215.7:AAtraet:ThispaperbriefsthepotentialbenefitsofPrognostiesandHealthManagement(PHM)inthelightofitsevolvinghistory.TheissuesofPHMsyste--mlevelapPlieation15outlined,andaeognitionmodelfordiag-nostiesandprognosties15builtbasedontheintegrityofmamaehin--eenvironment.Byusingthismodel,vari-ousdiagnostiesandporgnostiesmerhodsaerelassifiedandanaled,andawholepietureofPHM15drawn.Uneertainty15aeritiealfaetorofPHM,itsrequiremensdefinition,quantitativeassessmentandverifieationmethodologiesarediseussed.Finally,keyissuesofimPlementingPHMareeitedwiththegoalofPraetiealu-SeS-eKywodrs:prognostieandhealthmanagement;diagnosties;prognosties;eognitionmodel(O)S,。1[,2],,72%。,。PHM、(CBM)、(COT)S、(A)L`“。2070,、、CBM、。2070A7E(EMS)PHM〔5]。30,(BIT)、(EHM)、(SHM)、、:20050610;:20050725:863(2005AA411920)PHM,(HUM)Se[]、(ICAS)[,,“」、(ADAPT)[9],、、,。,ICAS、,。〔’。」,PHM、[3,`,’。〕:(1)、、,;(2),,,;(3),,。5:(PHM)PHM,,;、;PHM。1PHMPHM、、、、、、,(JDIS)。(JS)FPHM。,、(AM),、,,。,(AM)(IDMS)、(EDMS)、(ECBS)、(ODM)“〕。121。(OSA),,,PHM81[。(1)、、、、、、、、。,、、、、()、,s1[’4〕,;、、,PHM。22.1。,。,、、(2)。,。,:(1)();(2)();(3)();(4)(preeursor)()。2Fig.2Theeognitionmodellllll22222..............NNNNN/,,“、、’,8[〕、“、’,`5〕。,,。2.21Fig.1Diagnostiesandprognostiesproeess,,。(BIT),26。。(FA)(CND)BIT。,F/A18C19961998,88%,(MFHBFA)lh「,6〕。BIT,BIT,(CND)(RTOK)〔`’〕。CND,,,,,CND〔`,。,,BIT。,〔`”,20],BIT,,[`7,`。3Fig.3Symptombasedmethod2.3(、、、、),。,。。,,()g/4,10。。g,1,400J21)。,、,,。:、,,(3)·。、、、、。(1).8[2’],(),,。,。,、、、4〕。4,,2%4%,。Fig.4Probabilistietrendanalysismodel(2)(ANN).8[2`,’2〕ANN,,。“”,(Sdedfault),ANN“/”;,“/”ANN。ANN,5:(PHM)“/”。(3),(),,,,、(5)。、ANN,[25〕。、(FMMEA))),(、、、、、、)))6LCMFig.6LCMmethodologyLCM、,。()4。,,、、、(TDDB)、、(CFF)【2“〕。LCM29[〕、(sRM)Ss0[〕、JSFDC/DC3[’〕、3z[〕,。LCM,s3[〕、〕。5Fig.5Systemmode--lbasedtrendanalysismodel2.5,(EMA)z5[〕,MATLABEMA,(FDC)、(LG)S、(T)C、(MT)。FDC5。3.4、()l5[〕,。CALCEESPC“(LCM)”,’7〕。LCM(6),,,,。(rPecursor),,、。,。,,LCM。。,。(ESD)、TDDB、、、,20%〕。,。,〕。2.6、、26,,,,。3〕:①,,;②,;③。(1),。/,l2[,。/、、DempsterShafer、、、、2l[“。。,〕、〕、〕。7ANN、,,41」。、、〔42,`3〕,,PHM。3.1。8〔4〕。、8、Fig.8Damageseverityanddiagnostieseonfideneelevel11111.(GroundddTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTruht))):::::::::::::7Fig.7DatainregrationofgearboxBIT,、、3,[’4〕。、、、〕,、l5[,`5〕。;;;,(prognostieshorizon)[`5〕。,,,。3.2,LCM,。。3、(、)、PHM,,(testbenoh),。,JSF(SFET)〔“〕,JSF5:(PHM)631;(AR)L(MDT)B[’l〕,、、;IMPAC(MET)[’6〕,。4PHM、、,、。PHM,、,CBMAL。PHM,①,,PHM;②PHM;③,,。,①,,;②;③、,。,。①,BIT,CND,;②LCM;③LCM,LCM。AlfordLDJr.[J」.AerospaeeandEleetronieSystemsMagazineIEEE,2001,16(2):3337.GartnerDL,Dibbert5E.[A〕.AUTOTESTCONPro-eeedings2001IEEESystemsReadinessTeehnologyCon-ferenee[C」.2001.ByerB,HessA,FilaL.[A〕.AerospaeeConferenee2001IEEEProeeedings〔C〕.2001.HessA,CalvelloG,DabneyT.「A〕.AerospaeeConfe。enee2004Proeeedings.2004IEEE[C」.2001.AndyHess.[A〕.NDIA4thAnnualSystemsEngineeingConferenee[C」.2001.G111JJ.A〕.AerospaeeConfereneeProeeedings2000IE-EE[C」.2000.〔7」ByingtonCS,WatsonM,RoemerMJ,。ral.〔A〕.Aer-ospaceconference2003proeeedings.2005IEEE〔e」.2003.[8〕ByingtonCS,RoemerMJ,GalieT.〔A〕.AerospaeeCon-fereneeproeeedings2002IEEE〔e〕.2002.[9〕AraizaML,KentR,EspinosaR.〔A〕.AUTOTESTCONProeeedings2002IEEE〔C〕.Oet.2002Pag。(s):525841.[10〕BridgmanM5.〔A〕.AerospaeeConfereneeProeeedings2002IEEE〔C」.2002.[11」PowrieHEG,FisherCE.〔A〕.AerospaeeConferenee1999Proeeedings〔C〕.1999.〔12〕SuLP,NolanM,DeMareG,。tal.[A〕.AUTOTEST-CON’99IEEESystemsReadinessTeehnologyConferenee〔C〕,1999.〔13〕HarmanRM.〔A」.AerospaeeConfereneeProeeedings2002IEEE[C〕.2002.[14〕NiekersonB,LallyR.〔A〕.AerospaeeConferenee2001IEEEProeeedings[C〕.2001.[15〕[16jBainKT,OrwigDG.[A」.NDIA3thAnnualSystemsEngineeringConferenee[C〕.2000.[17〕WilliamsR,aBnnerJ,Knowle:I,。tal.〔J〕.QualityandReliabilityEngineeringInternational,1998,14:331337.〔18」PeehtM,Dub。M,NatishanM,。tal.〔J」.IEEETrans-aetionsonAerospaeeandEleetronieSystems,2001,37(1):266272.19〕PeehtM,RamappanV.〔J〕.IEEETransaetionsonHy-brids,andManufaeturingTeehnology,1992,15(6):11601164[20」KirklandLV,PomboT,NelsonK,。tal.〔A〕.AerospaeeConferenee2004proeeedings.2004IEEE[e〕.2004.〔22〕HallDL,MeMullen5AH.Mathematiealteehniquesinmultisensordatafusion〔M〕.OBston:ArteehHouse,2004.〔22」WilliamsJH,DaviesDrakeAPR.Conditioobasedmain-tenaneeandmaehinediagnosties[M」.Chapman&Hall,1994.[23〕NatkeHG,CempelC.Modelaideddiagnosisofmeehani-ealsystems:fundamentals,deteetion,loealizationandas-sessmentZ〕.SpringerVerlag,1997.〔24〕KaeprzynskiGJ,GuminaM,RoemerMJ,。taz.A〕.ProeeedingsofASMETurboExpo2001[C〕.NewOrle-ans,LAUSA:2001.[25〕ByingtonCS,WatsonM,EdwardsD,。ral.[A〕.Aero-spaeeConferenee2004Proeeedings.2004IEEE[C〕.2004.[26〕RamakrishnanA,PeehtM.〔J〕.IEEETransaetionsonComponents