-大陆强震机理与预测-中期学术进展

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{,,,$.J,,,,7,,(112),;,519,,G,,10!4209O,,1990,41993,l1994,2001995,6XX),1(XX1999,18X),2;,24),120,2001l267.8,1.6,,,,9OIARSE(),,,199921(1BO)(),,PBO,1275C245199997.6,7,5,,,,1.8O%,,(1984)(1987)(1991),,,,,,,7,:,,,,;,,,;,,,;,,,21.10Chi3;icII,(1(}~12),;,,;,;,;,2.,3:(l),,(2),:,,,;,,,5,3.:;,,l.2,},}!,}}(3){},}{();!{();-~._,,t),_\ha_.~.~,~~~~~.~~.J||||†l!ZJ10(l),:,/(),lMs5.5Ravleigh1206O7o8O,,(4x4)(2),,1(XX)kin,/:,,,,,,,,;,/Zookm4.G5NE123o,2530111111/a,5G,,28.00.Slllln/a,J214nullZa,7),147llun/aG:,SEO160,SE12O,SE165,,;,,G19rrun/a,GPS1314~/a,G,ARAL20.672.O2xlllll/a,,KU,11.91.89nula,8.snun/aGI;S,SEE,,,,,,,9.45nlnl/a,(VLBI)CIS2l)10ai,INSAR19981lo,ERS112ERS-2INSAR,,,3:3,:1.,4:(),(54.3%),(39.1%)2.,,(process~e)(dalezone),,,,;,,,3.(),(l),,,(2),300,;800,;300800,,,,,4.,,,1890,1214,,,,2ro8,,(),,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,CIS,,,,,,GIS,,,8,78o%X)%,,,8,7,,,,,,3,,,5:,,,,l]...:2..:,l93],..,2x,45(6):65(55[4]enxr.vewavesinmutileredliairrlarin:edu.es:(l)MIalsolutionsldexcitationfomluation.Bull.Seism.S.J.,1,19.15345],,()[6]zhuwy,Wangxy,e.al.Crustalmotir,ofehinese~dandmonitor-ingbyC.ScienceinChina,SeriesD,2,43(4):3947],,..,2X),43(2)2-2128]angGM,zhuLn,SongxD,zX,angML,suNQ,ehenXz,2().10inaB(l19PrIietionsOfthel7stronghquakesinJiashi,njiang,China.Bull.Seism,S.11er.,1,89(5):11711183[9UL,zangGM,TeCtoniePlatformtheinfluenceoneseisxmeity:allonlineaxIattieenxelfordaxmquakes.D,Trlsacti,,Ameri~hysicalesofregonalleh-nentalUon,2(X,81(22)10]eny,WansWJ,uJ.AIlieationofseismieitydataanditydatatothesdyofactionfau{ting.inthePlinofHokudanlntemation-alSylllFxlulnandsclloolonActiveFdting,(!cals,eyofJan,2(X52d,ieProgressontheNchanismandFOastforConnentolStrongEarthquakeintherstlrsgGinCenterforAnalysisandRedietion,ChlaSeisn1OlogicalBau,Beijingl(36,ina9PeinC01ogyInstitUte,CllinaSeismologjcalBreau,Beij10[X)29,ChinaBasedoneheteristiesOflargeeartllqUakesineonti-nentalChina,theproj,tproposesactiveCrustalbloekhytlesistodeseribemechanismofPresentdteetoniedeformation,toexPloitmechanismandmethedsofpredietionsoflalgeearthakes.AetiveerustalblOCksdogicalunitstllatllaebeencutandsepal,atedmajorqUatemaetivefaults.Eachtiveerustalblock~eseoherentlywithverylittle,ifany,intenldefonnation.Mostoftectonieaetivitytakesplacealongthelxldesofeachblock.Detachlnentordeeoupledzonedeveloponthebaseofeaehblockatdifferentdepth.Devastatiearth-akesoceuralongboundariesofactiveerustalblocks.onthebasisOfseismieity,neotectoniehistoly,lithosPheriestrue,,erusdennation,geophysiealanonlaly,andgeodyllamiebaekground,wehavepreliminarilydividedeorltinentalChinainto5firstoeractiveemstalhixsand19seeondoerblocks.DifferenttiveerustalblocksreslxndtodifferentlithosPheriestrueture.Wobtainedre-gionaldistinetionsoflithoseriestrueturesineo~nd-ingtothepattemofactiveerustalblockdelineation,andstudiedsevelalilllportalltactiveemstalblocksandtheirlundary~in{letail.Gmeasurelllelltsindicatedif-ferenterustalblocknloveindifferentdirectionandwithdifferentrates.Pro55madeinthefieldsOfeadh-qUakeclustenngan(1blocks~enlents,fonllationandin-stabilityOfshearfaults,eonstitutiverelationshiPoffrietionsoferustalrocks,britileduetiletransitionandtheo10gyoferustalks,relationshipsofst55distribution,transfer,andeartllqUakeelustering.Wealsoexl)IOitnewmethedsineartllakepdietionanddisasterreduetion.,30,,(,2(X)l),8,1987(Mrr);19871991;l991,198425,34;25152,312(lro!i610

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