南水北调中线工程丹江口水库移民安置风险及其规避研究

分类号密级UDC硕士学位论文南水北调中线工程丹江口水库移民安置风险及其规避研究学位申请人：孙永平学科专业：管理科学与工程指导教师：段跃芳教授二○一二年五月ADissertationSubmittedinPartialFulfillmentoftheRequirementsfortheDegreeofMasterofScienceinEngineeringRelocatesResettlementRisksandElusionResearchonDanjiangkouReservoirofSouth-to-NorthWaterDiversionMiddleRouteGraduateStudent:SunYongpingMajor:ManagementScienceandEngineeringSupervisor:Prof.DuanYuefangChinaThreeGorgesUniversityYichang,443002,P.R.ChinaMay,2012三峡大学硕士学位论文I三峡大学学位论文原创性声明本人郑重声明：所呈交的学位论文，是本人在导师的指导下，独立进行研究工作所取得的成果，除文中已经注明引用的内容外，本论文不含任何其他个人或集体已经发表或撰写过的作品成果。对本文的研究做出重要贡献的个人和集体均已在文中以明确方式标明，本人完全意识到本声明的法律后果由本人承担。学位论文作者签名：日期：三峡大学硕士学位论文II内容摘要丹江口水库是南水北调中线工程水源地，大坝加高工程将产生22.36万直接受淹人口。水库移民是因修建水库引起的有组织的人口迁移，属于非自愿性移民，是一项涉及面极其广泛的复杂社会系统工程。因此在移民搬迁前、搬迁安置过程中、搬迁后融入发展中存在着大量的不确定性或风险因素影响着移民活动，如何减轻或规避其中的不利因素，使移民活动正常有序、平稳地进行下去,实现安置效果的最大化意义重大。本文在对丹江口水库移民实施进展情况进行调研的基础上，分析了丹江口大坝加高工程移民面临的有利条件和不利因素，叙述了过去移民工作的经验和教训，总结了现阶段新形势下移民的特点，分析了移民安置过程中存在的各种风险，并对移民风险做了定性和定量的评估，在此研究分析的基础上，借鉴三峡水库移民搬迁安置取得的经验以及西南水电移民安置模式的新探索，最后提出了丹江口水库移民安置风险防范与规避措施。关键词：丹江口；水库移民；风险；识别；评价；防范与规避三峡大学硕士学位论文IIIAbstractDanjiangkoureservoiristheheadwatersofsouth-to-northwaterdiversionmiddlerouteproject.223,600peopleundertheinundationlinewillbemovedbecauseoftheheighteningofDanjiangkoudam.Reservoirrelocatesisorganizedbecausereservoirisbuilt.Itbelongstounwillingrelocates.Itisacomplicatedsocialsystemsengineering,whichrelateslotsofaspects.Therefore,therearealotofuncertaintiesorrisksbeforerelocates'move,duringmoveandresettlement,duringintegrationanddevelopmentaftermove.Theseuncertainiesorrisksaffecttheactivitiesofmigration.Itisimportantthathowtoalleviateoreludedisadvantageousfactorssothattheactivitiesofmigrationcangoalongnormally,orderlyandsteadily,inthesametimegoodresettlementresultscanberealizedfarthest.ThedissertationisbasedonresearchabouttheperformanceandprogressofDnjiangkoumigration.ItanalysestheadvantageanddisadvantagefacedbytherelocatesbecauseoftheheighteningprojectofDanjiangkoudam.Itnarratestheexperiencesandlessonsofpastmigrationwork.Moreoverthedissertationgivesoutqualitativeorquantitativeevaluationabouttherisksofmigration.Basedonresearchandanalyse,thedissertationlastputsforwardthepreventingandeludingcountermeasuresaboutrelocates'resettlementrisksofDanjiangkoureservoir.ThesecountermeasuresaremadereferencetothemoveandresettlementexperiencesofmigrationofThreeGorgesreservoirandthenewmodeofmigrationofwesternwaterandelectricpower.Keywords:Danjiangkou；reservoirrelocates；risk；identify；evaluate；preventandelude三峡大学硕士学位论文IV目录1绪论................................................................................................................11.1研究背景及意义.....................................................................................11.2国内外研究现状.....................................................................................21.2.1风险和水库移民风险的概念研究....................................................31.2.2移民安置风险研究............................................................................41.2.3移民安置政策研究............................................................................51.2.4移民社会保障研究............................................................................61.2.5丹江口水库移民研究........................................................................61.3研究思路和研究方法.............................................................................62水库移民风险及其规避理论.......................................................................73丹江口水库移民历史背景及特点...............................................................93.1丹江口水利枢纽工程概况......................................................................93.2丹江口水利枢纽工程移民历史概况....................................................103.3南水北调中线工程丹江口水库移民特点...........................................113.3.1库区新老移民并存..........................................................................113.3.2历史遗留问题较多..........................................................................123.3.3库区环境容量有限..........................................................................133.3.4移民任务极其艰难..........................................................................143.3.5时代要求创新思维..........................................................................144丹江口水库移民风险识别与评估.............................................................144.1风险识别...............................................................................................154.1.1失去土地..........................................................................................164.1.2失业..................................................................................................174.1.3失去家园..........................................................................................184.1.4边缘化..............................................................................................194.1.5缺乏生活保障..................................................................................194.1.6发病率和死亡率的增长..................................................................224.1.7失去享有公共财产和服务的权利..................................................224.1.8社区解体..................