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20106()Vol35No635(156)JournalofHebeiUniversity(PhilosophyandSocialScience)Dec,2010经济学研究张玉柯,徐永利(,071002):20世纪90年代以来,金砖四国经济快速发展,取得了举世瞩目的成就通过对金砖四国三次产业结构变动的比较分析,可以看到四国处在工业化进程的不同阶段,三次产业发展并不均衡,产业结构都面临调整和优化,而产业升级必须符合可持续发展的要求:金砖四国;产业结构;三次产业:张玉柯(1947),男,河北阜平人,河北大学经济学院教授博士生导师:F113:A:10056378(2010)06003006:20100625,,,,,:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1990GDP,,,,GDP,(),,90,,,1993,,5%~10%,(1),,1990200840%,,,,GDP,2007,2008,30,:(2),,,199027.1%200811.3%,58%,,,,3%,10%,12%,,,,,,,,,GDP(),GDP25%~45%,,(3)3GDP20,,20032004,,200319.1%,2005,,,,199048.3%200838%,,:1990-1997,199890,,2000,,,,[1],25%~30%,,,,199040%,,19982002,,31:()20106,,,,(4)20,,4GDP(),,19982001,10(5),,,,,,,,(6),,,,,GDP,,,,,,,,,,,,,1999,2000,,,[2],,,,,,,,(1)32:,:1:%19908.138.753.216.648.335.031.029.339.727.141.631.319917.836.256.014.347.638.131.327.940.924.542.133.419927.738.753.67.141.351.630.628.341.421.843.934.319937.641.650.88.042.949.130.527.841.619.947.432.719949.940.050.26.342.551.229.928.841.320.247.831.919959.036.754.37.643.449.027.530.342.120.548.830.719968.035.556.57.339.153.627.030.043.020.449.530.119977.929.762.47.534.158.428.027.144.919.150.030.919988.428.862.85.436.458.229.125.745.218.649.332.119998.630.660.86.637.755.727.726.346.017.649.433.020007.328.064.76.437.955.624.626.648.814.845.939.320017.328.064.77.036.058.025.026.050.014.445.140.520027.228.664.05.633.860.623.027.051.013.744.841.520035.819.175.15.234.260.722.226.651.212.846.041.2200410.440.049.65.135.559.419.627.353.213.446.240.4200510.039.450.65.638.056.419.029.052.012.547.540.020065.130.964.05.638.056.417.527.754.711.748.939.420076.028.066.05.037.757.317.829.452.811.749.239.120086.728.065.35.037.257.817.629.053.411.348.640.1数据来源:根据中华人民共和国国家统计局网站历年国际统计数据整理,,,,,,,,,,,,,,20GDP,,,,,,,,,,,,90,33()20106,1998,1990:93.7%,97.8%,93.6%,96.2%,99.6%,98.8%,1999,55%[3],,1995,,20%,,19925.2%,19981.6%,200118%,19923.4,[4],,,,,,,,,,,GDP,,,,,[5],,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(),,,,,,20,,,(),,,,,34,:,,,[6],,(),,,,,,,,,,,,,,[][1],.[J].,2009(1):137-141.[2].[J].,2007():82-84.[3].[J].,2001(3):27-28.[4].2002[M].:2002:180.[5].[D].:,2006:91.[6].[J].,2008(2):62-81.[]TheDevelopmentTrendofIndustrialStructureofBRICsZHANGYuke,XUYongli(CollegeofEconomics,HebeiUniversity,Baoding,Heibei071002,China)Abstract:Sincethe1990s,therapidlyeconomicdevelopmentofBRICshasachievedremarkablesuccessincomparativeadvantage.ThroughthecomparativeanalysisofBRICsindustrialstructure,wecanseefourcountriesareatdifferentstagesofindustrialization,threeindustrialdevelopmentsarenotbalanced,theindustrialstructureisfacingtheadjustmentandoptimization,andtheindustrialupgrademustconformtotherequirementofsustainabledevelopment.Keywords:BRICs;industrialstructure;threeindustries35