南京航空航天大学硕士学位论文“十一五”时期区域科技人才发展战略研究——以南通为例姓名:濮雪莲申请学位级别:硕士专业:企业管理指导教师:李南20070301iSWOTSWOTiiAbstractDuringtheageoftheknowledge-basedeconomywhichtakesknowledgeandtalentsresourcesasthedevelopingcapital,themainrelationshipbetweenSci-Techtalentsandsocialandeconomicdevelopmentliesintwoaspects:ontheonehand,Sci-Techtalentspromotescientificandtechnologicaladvances,whichisthegreatesthopeofsustainablesocialandeconomicdevelopment.Ontheotherhand,astheexistinganddevelopingenvironmentofSci-Techtalents,thesocialandeconomicsystemhasconsiderableinfluenceontheevolutionofSci-Techtalentssystem.Afavorablesocio-economicenvironmentwillsupportandpromotethedevelopmentofSci-Techtalents.Therefore,standingonthealtitudeofstrategytoconsiderabouttheproblemofthedevelopmentofSci-Techtalentsissignificanttotheregionalsocialandeconomicdevelopment.Atfirst,thearticleusesthequintessenceofthinkingonthemicroscopicorganizationstrategymanagementandthetheoryofhumanresourcestrategyandplanningtoillustratethetheoreticalconnotationandmakingprincipleofregionalSci-TechtalentsdevelopmentstrategyandanalyzetheresearchprocessofSci-Techtalentsdevelopmentstrategy.ThenitappliesthetheoryofSci-Techtalentsdevelopmentstrategytothepractice:AnalyzethestrategybackgroundofSci-Techtalentsdevelopmentfromthreeaspectsoftheenvironment,teamconstructionanditsperformance,andthesupplyofSci-TechtalentsinNantong;DeterminethestrategytargetofSci-TechtalentsdevelopmentaccordingtotheexpectationofregionalsocialandeconomicdevelopmenttothefutureconditionofSci-Techtalentssystem;UseSWOTtoanalyzethestrategybackgroundofSci-Techtalentsdevelopmentandmakechoices.Thenconfirmthestrategyistheparallelstrategyofbothdefenseandgrowth;Learningfromtheexperienceofhomeandabroad,makingtheuseoftalentsasthebreakthroughpoint,pointoutthedetailedstrategymeasurementfromthemanagementsystem,themanagementmechanismiiiandtheenvironmentofcreationandenterprise.ThearticlemakesresearchonthedevelopmentstrategyofSci-Techtalentsfromtheoryandpractice.Ontheonehand,itgivestheguidancetotheSci-TechtalentsmanagementinNantongduringthe11th-Five-Year,andontheotherhand,itprovidesanewthinkingmodelandtheoreticalbasisforthestrategymakingofotherarea.Keywords:Nantong,Sci-TechTalents,demandforecasting,SWOTanalysis,developmentstrategy,()11.11.1.119963/41/4200020012120022003-200520032002200352320031124200312192021.1.2,201020091.21.2.1[1]20702090320902020[2]2001-2006[3][4]20202001SmartGrowth2001-20061.2.2[5]4[6]2003SWOT[7][8]5[9][10][11][12]1.31.151.161.4ElsevierKluwerLingoGM(1,1)SWOT123SWOTSWOTSWOT472.12.1.1119872[13]3[14][15]2003122.1.2[16]2.1.2.182.1.2.22.2[17]2.12.192.2.12.2.1.1[18]2.2.1.2102.2.1.32.22.2[19][20]2.2.2112.2.32.32.3.120602050[21][22]2.3.2122.3.2.1209020102001[23]1[24]2199513[25]32.3.2.21[26]142153.12060[27]3.1.12050SWOT3.1.216P.G..Simon(J.C.Collins)(J.I.Porras)SMFA3.1.3E.S.Mason3.1.4DierickyCoolN.J.Foss173.2[28]3.2.1203.2.2206020703.2.32090W[29]3.1183.13.33.3.1[30]193.3.23.3.2.13.3.2.2Sanchez[31]3.3.2.3203.3.2.4[32]3.3.33.23.2213.3.3.13.3.3.23.3.3.3224.14.1.1[33]4.1.1.14.1.1.2234.1.1.3GDP4.1.2[34]4.1.2.11226333402244.1.2.2133324.1.2.31255024.1.2.41262WTO4.1.34.1.3.1127152200511190003053.83000820006150030004000100034.1.3.2128234.24.2.14.2.1.120054.120022004R&DR&D2974.1200220042005200520042002273432251189208018186651860612088R&D6382623555664.2.1.219817.6519.85200415.7911.64200530.43%13620043512886051.3%36455752222.9%20055820.28%6063829.48%8529841.47%4516621.96%139926.81%2200410.68%20.3%19998.8%20041.51:43.58:54.9130200577.12%2005200314733986466.95%200418606R&D6235200517608R&D84764.2.24.2.2.1200424.027.916.05%403200540.4710.277.58%4.2.2.22005416.97200455.84%21.22%30%314.2.34.2.3.1GDPGDP2005GDP19096.592004200515.4%GDP78.34.2.3.2200220032004200515.949.434.713.851.434.812.154.233.711.0255.9733.0120029.665%200519.8%4.2.3.3200530251.74/20027852.9/0.83/20040.23/2002324.34.3.1200466.1234931.5876.18332447364.3.24.2[35]334.20.041850110.07657040.012710180.1550.023870150.15117710.07615450.09161130.022620160.3770.035438120.07078870.10826420.024290140.04823390.05309180.3470.042334100.018997170.07187460.1210.030129131120052005100345.15.25.2.1[36]35Bates.J.MGranger.C.W.J1969[37][38]5.2.1.11R&DR&D1998-20045.15.11998-2005199819992000200120022003200420051829441875111927341980812080182248492511892734322002-2006236GDPGDP19785.25.21998-2005GDP197819981999200020012002200320042005GDP3099.93419.53799.34193.94672.753176176.97155.220063SPSSGDP0.9920.000(Sig.(2-tailed)),GDP4GDP5.15.2(18.065)(19.195)10616622.98yx=+2R=0.984α=0.05F=368.448Ft199820055.35.31998199920002001174001184745193473202541182944187511192734198081-0.030301-0.014750.0038290.0225183720022003200420052135452283512481122705932080182248492511892734240.026570.015576-0.01225-0.0103552006-2010GDP5.45.42006-2010GDPGDP1978%20068156.965471420079298.9406414200810600.792314200912084.903314201013776.789714GDP2006-20105.55.52006-2010200620072008200920102936133198563497723838774227575.2.1.2GM(1,1)GM(1,1)[39][40][41]38GM(1,1)1982[42]GM(m,n),mnGM(1,1)GM(1,1)1GM(1,1)[43](0)(0)(0)(0)((1),(2),,())Xxxxn=(1)(1)()()