汶川县城泥石流灾害风险评价研究

254201012JOURNALOFCATASTROPHOLOGYVol.25No.4Dec.2010*1221.6100812.610059。。8.0RSGIS、、。RSGISP642.23A1000－811X201004－0043－0520089248.0440。。19901－2。1996109“”“”3。1993“”《》、、4USGS51∶250006。7、“”8、、“”9、、10。11、12、13－15、16－17、18－20。1、、、、、30°45'37″～31°43'10″N102°51'46″～*[e-mail]25103°44'37″E。526.3mm79.9mm。。5－8324mm62.1%。、、、8.2℃。、、。－。8.012。、、、、、6.8km25.6km1840m330‰“V”。4、9、110000m3。。1。12①8.020085180.5m②1∶5、1∶5DEM1∶10③。GIS。2.1。。21－22。。23、、2425、、、26。。1。10°10°27－28。2008924。3GIS0°～10°510°～15°315°～20°21。4441＜10°10°～15°＞15°5322。100m29。8.0200m。GIS＜100m5100～200m3＞200m22。GIS。2/m≤100100～200200～3005322.2Vulnerability。30。19911992“”0～131。、、、。①、100m×100m532532②GIS、、。2.3。1992DepartmentofHumanitarianAffairs“”RHV32。。GIS、、。。3GIS。10°100m、100～150m150～200m、、、、5、3、22a、、、、、、5、3、22b、2cGIS2d。542520.06km224%0.09km237%0.1km239%2。73%1%26%66%8%26%63%15%22%3。3m24620064400634001740007607300152002330016700253002230064300、、、。4。8.0GIS。18.0。6442。GIS。3、70%30%、50%、。4、。。5。。1ChauKTLoKH．HazardassessmentofdebrisflowsforLeungKingEstateofHongKongbyincorporatingGISwithnumericalsimulationsJ．NHESS20044103－116．2MarcelHürlimannRamonCoponsJoanAltimir．Detaileddeb-risflowhazardassessmentinAndorraAmultidisciplinaryap-proachJ．Geomorphology200678359－372．3PetrascheckAKienholzH．HazardassessmentandmappingofmountainrisksinSwitzerlandJ．Geotech．J．200442101－107．4AdamBProchaskaPaulMSantiJerryDHigginsetal．De-brisflowrunoutpredictionsbasedontheaveragechannelslopeACSJ．EngineeringGeology20089829－40．5AntonucciASalvettibAZaffalonM．HazardassessmentofdebrisflowsbycredalnetworksJ．NaturalHazards200043173－181．6SmithK．EnvironmentalhazardsassessingriskandreducingdisasterM．LondonRoutledge199612－38．7BurbyRJ．CooperatingwithnatureconfrontingnaturalhazardwithlanduseplanningM．WashingtonDCJosephHenryPress1998．8VanCJ．WestenGeo－Informationtoolsforlandslideriskassess-ment．AnoverviewofrecentdevelopmentsJ．SurveysinGeo-physics2005212/3241－255．9CalvoFNapoletanoSaviF．DebrisflowriskassessmentacasestudyJ．GeophysicalResearchAbstracts200618341－347．10ConversiniDSalclariniFelicioniG．ThedebrisflowhazardintheLagarelleCreekintheeasternUmbriaregioncentralItalyJ．NaturalHazardsandEarthSystemSciences20055275－283．11．J．200312196－102．12．J．200627771－76．13．J．2002215569－577．14．J．200516342－47．15．J．1999111295－102．16．J．20006437－42．17．M．2002．18．M．1995．19．J．200823310－14．20．M．1992．21TakahashiT．Estimationofpotentialdebrisflowsandtheirhazard-ouszonessoftcountermeasuresforadisasterJ．NaturalDis-asterScience1981357－89．22ChangTung－Chiung．RiskdegreeofdebrisflowapplyingneuralnetworksJ．NatHazards200742209－224．23BlaikiePCannonT．RiskNaturalhazardspeoplesvulnerabil-ityanddisastersM．LondonGeologicalIssuePress1994．24WeichselgartnerJ．Disastermitigationtheconceptofvulnerabil-ityrevisitedJ．DisasterPreventionandManagement20011085－94．25．J．1995133141－146．26．J．19932479－84．27DwainBoyer．RiskassessmentprocedureforproposedresourcedevelopmentactivitiesabovealluvialanddebristorrentfansR．2004．28．J．1987427－32．29．J．19973363－70．30WisnerB．AssessmentofcapabilityandvulnerabilityC//BankoffGFrerksGHilhorstD．Mappingvulnerability．Lon-donEarthscan2004183－193．31UNDRO．Mitigationnaturaldisastersphenomenaeffectsandoptions．AmanualforpolicymakersandplannersR．OfficeoftheUnitedNationsDisasterReliefCo－ordinatorGeneva1991．32FellC．LandslideriskassessmentJ．RotterdamA．ABalke-ma199725－50．53744Researchongeologicalhazardsmanagementmethodforruralpersonalhouseconstruction———acasestudyofQuzhoucityzhejiangprovinceChinaChenTao1LiuZhenghua2andHuangCheng11．QuzhouGeologicalandEnvironmentalMonitoringstationQuzhou324000China2．ZhejiangCenterofGeologicalEnvironmentalMonitoringHangzhou310007ChinaAbstractBasedoninvestigatingtothegeologicalhazardscausedbythepersonalhouseconstructionintheareasliabletogeologicalhazardsinQuzhoucityZhejiangprovinceandanalyzingtothetypesdistributionfeaturemechanismandharmfulnessofthegeologicalhazardsandtheproblemsexistinginthegeologyenvironmentmanagementtheauthorputforwardsomesuggestionsonthegeologicalhazardsmanagementmethodforruralpersonalhouseconstructionandproofitsfeasibilityWhichhasanimportantsignificanceforassuringruralhousesecurityandconstructingnewharmoniouscountryside．Keywordsruralpersonalhouseconstructiongeologicalhazardsmanagement檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪檪Quzhou47AssessmentofWenchuanDebris-flowRiskTieYongbo12andTangChuan21．ChengduInstituteofGeologyandMineralResourcesChengdu610081China2．StateKeyLaboratoryofGeohazardPreventionandGeoenvironmentProtectionChengduUniversityofTechnologyChengdu610059ChinaAbstractDebrisflowisoneoftheseriousgeologichazardsinsouthwestofChinawhichisdangeroustourbantownslocatedinmountainareas．Theeffectofearthquakecancauselargenumbersoflandslidesandfallingwhichprovideenoughloosematerialsfordebrisflow．InordertoknowmorecharacteristicsandpotentialriskofthedebrisflowinducedbytheextremeeventssuchasstrongearthquakeintenserainfallbasedofthehighresolutionremotesensingimageandGIStakingNangoulocatedinWenchuancityasanexamplethedebris-flowriskassessmentofNangouismadebyassessmentofhazardandvolubilityin