泰坦尼克定律中国艾滋病风险分析

2002100Titanic2004852006651319269669128779850913087012320391872575557525UlrichBeck19861992KarlMarxMaxWeberLimitstoGrowthDebateClubofRoom198519851995112345619952002158200424740025040090200511137040200593500020041216876200510119252005101130320059199019951234132004200510%23022.5%201312200110%20025%1-2%32004200510%200462343859402002199919993620042084178.41200020012003322.713%0.31%61320056227140.5%.185481.64%43.7332.6KAP2004217712526-3556.18%36-454643.82%.1236856.81%780735.86%15797.25%1720795/10.00036-454626-35252526-3556.18%40.5836-454643.82%59.4236-45139/100004696/1000026-3577/100002558/1000095/10.0000.94%.453644460530%9%21%200142632822152215545199220001989199149MoneyBoy199316519994269MoneyBoy20045717MoneyBoys6070200410264451559020058005001000199820012.5%4.2%5.5%2.520046.720040.9520041.351985HIVAIDS198610311987198119892000200320032004200041120043240200447662005200592246146020043369.9%29.8%48.8%.29.8%35.6%27.6%16.5%36.1%40.7%27.8%29.5%59.8%67.9%44.6%10.9%54.8%5.4%71.5%29.8%7.8%6.7%.42.7%20.2%51%2005633.3%22.3%16.7%633%20051112838116.1%75.4%8.5%4AnthonyGiddensMaryDouglasMichelFoucault20052000512-------------------12JohnHenderson2004Herderson~neese/titanic.html.14349315179814UlrichBeck1992RiskSocietyTowardstoaNewModernityLondonSagePublications.5productionanddistributionofgoodsproductionanddistributionofbads6JoostvanLoon2003UlrichBeckinAnthonyElliotandLarryRayedKeyContemporarySocialTheoristsLondonBlackwellpp.45-51.7GabeMythen2004UlrichBeckaCriticalIntroductiontotheRiskSocietyLondonPlutoPressBarbaraAdamUlrichBeckandJoostvonLoon2000TheRiskSocietyandBeyondLondonSagePublications.82004142186188200466267200411011049200511663446-44820052004823-24102004200511JoanKaufmanandJunJing2002AIDSinChinaTimetoActNowScienceAugust28pp.23-26.1219891461013200021311912420052723237200464049142003152001200116171999200120012005136372005AIDS12528181997115212000191994437200335163202003112021200171822199223199541859324200171710200172102104252004STI/HIV105329331264884272001282002/841971992004/AIDS1053323341986103129200253019851031312003200332198911133ChinaAIDSBulletinNo.381.34352005