两岸关系和平发展的国际因素分析

[]2008-10-05[]2007,:07&ZD052[](1969),,,,,(,100872)[],,,,,;,,;,[];;;[]D618[]A[]167224917(2009)0120063207,,,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,,(),,,,,,,,,,,,(),,,,,,,,200927123()JournalofBeijingUnionUniversity(HumanitiesandSocialSciences)Feb.2009Vol.7No.1SumNo.23,,,,(non2stateactors),[1],,,,,,,24[2](),,,,,,[3],,[4],,,,,[5],,,,(),,,,1980,,,,[6],,,[7],,21,,,,,,,,,198692,(MikeWallace),,,[8],,,,,[9],,,,,,,,46()20092,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,(),,,,,,,,,,30,,,58%,20112020,7%,GDP,GDP3200,2005,,,,,,911,,,,(),,,,,1980,,,,1990,,,,,,[10]1988,20079,,2629,,,,,,,,,,;;,(),,,,,5671:,,,,,,,,,,[11],,,,,(),,,,,,,,,,APECWTO,,1950,,,,,,,,,,,,,,?,,,,,,,,(),,,,,,,,,,,,,[12],,,,,,,,,,,,,66()20092,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,[13],,,,,,;,;;,,,,,,,[14],,2004,,,,,,,,,,(),,,,,,,:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,7671:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,911,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,[][1].[J].:,1995():26-37.[2].[J].,2003(2):17-23.[3].[J].,2002(2):28-36.[4].[J].,2003(3):24-39.[5].[M].:,1989:10.[6]TheU.S.COUNCILONFOREIGNRELATIONS..ManagingtheTaiwanIssue:KeyisBetterRelationswithChina[M].NewYork:CouncilonForeignRelations.1995:11.[7]CHU2YUANCHENG.TheRoleoftheRepublicofChinaintheWorldeconomy[C]ConferenceonContemporaryChina.Taipei,1992:19.[8].:3[M].:,1993:169.[9].[M].:,2002:15.[10].?[M].:,2006:259.[11].[M].:,2002:61.[12].[J].,2005(2):154-161.[13].[M].:,1999:259.[14].?[EBPOL][2004-12-07].http:PP()20092AThoughtfulPerspectiveontheInternationalInfluencingFactorsoftheCross2straitsRelationshipLINHong(SchoolofInternationalStudies,RenminUniversityofChina,Beijing100872,China)Abstract:Intheglobalizedtimes,theexternalinfluencestowardTaiwanissuemoreandmorecatchoureyes.Wecantonlyengageourselvestodomesticaffairswhenwearetalkingaboutthepeacefuldevelopmentofcross2straitsrelations.Nowadays,theinternationalenvironmentisrelativelyfavorabletoChinasdevelopment;therearesomeadverseinfluencesweshouldgetreadytomeet.TheU.S.factorcertainlyisthemostimportantonetowardTaiwanissue,butconsideringthesensesofidentityofbothsidesofTaiwanstraits,otherinternationalpowersexpectsandtherestrictsofinternationallaw,theU.S.factormayberelativelylimited.So,WeshouldalsopaycloseattentiontothecomplicatedinteractionofvaluesandnationalinterestbetweentheU.S.andtheEuropeancountries,becausethisinteractionisactuallygivingmainshapetotheexternalenvironmentofthepeacefuldevelopmentofcross2straitsrelationship.Keywords:peacefuldevelopment;cross2straitsrelations;internationalenvironment()9671: