低碳发展是全球一种新趋势

*刘助仁(湖南省社科院政治与公共管理研究所410003):在全球气候变暖危机越来越为世人所认识,国际社会应对气候安全问题的共同意愿愈来愈强烈的今天,我们正在没有选择地走向低碳发展,低碳已经成为全球经济社会发展的一种新趋势,尤其发达国家在确定低碳发展战略完善低碳法律框架加强低碳制度建设推行低碳产业结构实行低碳优惠政策利用低碳市场机制加大低碳财政投入发展低碳循环经济依靠低碳科技创新形成低碳生活型态等方面积累了许多经验,对我们实现低碳发展维护气候安全这一人类社会的最终共同愿景有一定借鉴意义:低碳发展气候变暖全球新趋势:F120.3:A:1674-6171(2010)01-0020-009:2009-11-05*:(08BSH009)(2008ZK3152):(1953-):,,,30,,,,,,,2003,!:∀,2050,,2009715,!∀,3,!∀!∀!∀!∀,#20#低碳发展是全球一种新趋势,20094.05,!∀,202015%()!∀,1014%!∀,,,!∀###!∀,201218%,,,,,,20077,!∀,,,,:,,20201990,205080%;,101500,3:,,:,;,,;,;,20094,,,:2020,10,203040,20202010;201230%;2013,,:,31,3,;202090%;,,10,2007,!∀,2008,,,,,,5020094,#21#20101,20082020,51,3:202034%,205080%,,,,2004!∀,###,;!∀19721986!∀,1996!∀,2002!∀,20058!2005∀,1976!∀,,,,,,,,,,,,,20096,!∀,1998,!∀,,1979!∀,,2006,,19912001,!∀!∀!∀!∀!2010∀,,,,,,19929(92/75EEC),,,71992~2000,16%,202021%,3502000#22#低碳发展是全球一种新趋势420,20101260,20201270,,30001200,1500600,1%,,,,,,,;,,,;,,1985,19995,31997(),12%,16%,6%201038,,,2001201012%,22%,2006!∀,202020%!∀,70,,2009,,25%,2025100%425,,,202560%,,,50;;,,,1070,GDP4.7%,3#23#20101,,205080%(1990),,100%,,(150)2,2050199080%;201210%,205025%;2015100;,,1996:;,;;200011,,80%2001,,,,,,,20031,,,,146,2001,,,30%,1000;50%,2000,75,2%,,,,10%,7000,:,,,,,,#24#低碳发展是全球一种新趋势,,,,,(),(),,10~15,,,,2001,,3.8,,,,,,,1700,10,,,,,,(ESCO),,,,(),,,101500,,,!2009∀,7890,500500,140,45,64,63,50,45,1890,600#25#20101;4828,4000;200,;75%,20,,,,,2009,,,,,,,20083,,2050,20122022,199022%34%,205080%,,,,,,,2009,92500,1550,5000,2009,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,#26#低碳发展是全球一种新趋势,,,,,,,,30%,,,,20%,15%(WTE),,,,,2000,,(),:,:,2005,25,,:,,,,,,,,,,,,,2007,:202577030020251/4#27#201014.30,30%,IT,300,:,4%,,500060;2015100;(),150,,,2030,10,50%25%,2003###(CCX):2003~20061998~20011%;2007~20101998~20016%,200,25,2003~2006,CCX5340∃:1.国际能源网.2009年8月27日.2.于青.日本改动基准年遭批评[N].人民日报,2009-07-23(14).3.王庄林.让我们再低碳一点[N].中国经济导报,2009-08-04(7).4.李琼.英国发展低碳经济的经验[N].光明日报,2009-06-16(10).5.卢斌.奥巴马的新能源政策[N].学习时报,2009-07-13(2).TheGlobalnewtrendofthedevelopmentoflowcarbonLiuZhurenAbstract:Nowmoreandmorepeoplehaverealizedthegravityofglobalclimatewarmingcrisisandtheinternationalcommunityhasthestrongwilltoaddresstheproblemofclimatesecurity,asaresul,twehavenochoicebuttopromotethedevelopmentoflow-carbon.Thegrowthoflow-carbonwillbecomeanewtrendintheglobaleconomicandsocialdevelopmen.tDevelopedcountrieshavegainedalotofexperiencesinsuchareasastheestablishmentoflow-carbondevelopmentalstrategy,theconsummationoflow-carbonlegalframework,thestrengtheningofthelow-carbonsystemconstruction,thecarryingoutoflow-carbonindustrialstructure,theimplementationofthelow-carbonpreferentialpolicy,theusingofthelow-carbonmarketmechanism,theexpansionofthelow-carbonfinanceinvestmen,tthedevelopmentoflow-carboncirculationeconomy,thedependenceonlow-carbonscientificinnovationandtheformationoflow-carbonlifestyle.Theseexperienceswillhelptheworldtoachievethegoaloflow-carbondevelopmentandthemaintenanceofclimatesecurity.Keywords:thedevelopmentoflow-carbon;climatewarming;energysavingandreductionofcarbonemissions;globa;lnewtrend#28#低碳发展是全球一种新趋势