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20087,30,,,:F752.68:A:100726964[2008]07208052620443,,,,,,,,,1.(improvementtrade),,,,1900,,,,,,,0.6%0.7%(1),,,,(1),3:,,1943,155:,(),19756,41220087,2.,,,,50,,,,,,(1),,,,,,,80(1)1(%)190219351960197019801990200764777882779570(0.6)95(0.7)76(0.6)99(0.6)61194582(25)5591(23)35(7)50(5)19(35)74(41)25(39)95(51)1:,,2:::::,,1978,69;:,:,(),122,187;198019902007,20073.,,,,,,,,,,FDI(1)1FDIGDP(%):95%,,420087(),,,,1.(19781984)19787,,,(),198079.6%2.(19851998),1985,1989,53.2%,,80,,,,,19861988,50%10,30%,199830,1.9%,,,,,1997,3.(19992003),,,,,,20014.9%,20%,1999,,,,,,,4.(2004)2004,,,(2)2,,,,(),200310,,:,,,,,20046,520087(),,,20077,,,,200710,9,,,20032037%,2004200718%,2006,200729%,,200326.9%200718.1%,200610,652.4%,2003,,()(3),3,2004,35:%2003391.2543.31238.21875.241.233.043.748.538.951.42004537.1685.71679.82594.040.723.546.347.927.754.42005670.3839.72070.03325.144.221.551.552.025.360.62006738.9944.82476.64158.949.923.757.758.827.967.92007891.71160.42792.35016.157.525.667.767.730.179.6:=()/100,=(-)5%,=(-)10%=(-)/100:2007,2007,,30,2006127:,200311,571.90,,1990127.0228.8%20078311.884.3%,,2007,64.8%,,,,(200715.7%),,,,,620087,,,2.70,80,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1.(1),,,,,,,,,,()(),,,,,(2),,,(3),,,,,,,,,,,,(4),,,,7:(),,2002:,2007220087,(5),,,,(6),,,,,30,,,20011.9420075.33,,(7),,,;,2.,,,,,,OEM(),ODM()OBM(),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(26)8:20012007:20087,,,,,,,,,,,,,,[1]Bardhan,Pranab.LawandEconomicsintheTropics:SomeReflections.InternationalReviewofLawandEconomics,2005,25(1):65274.[2]Chua,Amy.WorldOnFire:HowExportingFreeMarketDe2mocracyBreedsEthnicHatredandGlobalInstability.NewYork:Doubleday,2003.[3]Collier,Paul.,Hoeffler,Anke.GreedandGrievanceinCivilWar.OxfordEconomicPapers,2004,56(4):5632595.[4]deSoysa,Indra.Globalization,SocialInsurance,andCivilConflict,19752002.PaperpreparedforpresentationatBar2celona,SpainmeetingofthePolarizationandConflictre2searchgroupsponsoredbytheEuropeanUnion,December10212,2004.[5]Firebaugh,Glenn.,Beck,FrankD.DoesEconomicGrowthBenefittheMasses?Growth,Dependence,andWelfareintheThirdWorld.AmericanSociologicalReview,1994,59(5):6312653.[6]Friedman,ThomasL.TheLexusandtheOliveTree:Under2standingGlobalization.NewYork:AnchorBooks,1999.[7]Gourevitch,Peter.TheSecondImageReversed:TheInterna2tionalSourcesofDomesticPolitics.InternationalOrganization,1978,32(4):8812912.[8]Levine,Ross.,Renelt,David.ASensitivityAnalysisofCross2CountryGrowthRegression.AmericanEconomicReview,1992,82(4):9422963.[9]Rodrik,Dani.Wheredidallthegrowthgo?ExternalShocks,SocialConflict,andGrowthCollapses.NBERWorkingPa2per,No.6350,1998.[10]Weede,Erich.OnPoliticalViolenceandItsAvoidance.ActaPolitica,2004,39:1522178.[11].1990.,2006(2).[12]..,2002(2).[13],,.:,,2005(3).(:):,P,JG::,2002,1295(8):,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(:)62No.7,2008(SerialNo.173)WorldEconomyStudy20087Contents&AbstractsDevelopmentStrategyforImprovementTradeandChina’sChoiceFuJunwen(3)Firstly,thispaperpresentsaninternationalcomparisonofimprovementtradefromtheangleofitspositionindomesticindus2trychainandthefunctionofFDI.Then,thepaperanalyzesthecharacteristicsofimprovementtradeofdifferentdevelopmentstageduringthelast30yearsofChina’sReformandOpening2up.Basedonthisanalysis,accordingtotherequirementfacingim2provementtradeinopeneconomy,thispapertriestobringforwardanewdevelopmentstrategyforimprovementtrade’ssustainablecontinuesdevelopment---thedevelopmentstrategyforimprovementtradewithadvancedfactors.Finally,thepaperdis2cussestheessentialmeaningandobjectofthestrategy.TheDevelopmentofTradePolicyandItsImpactonTradeFlowsChaiFei(9)Duringthelast30yearsoftheReformandOpening2up,Chinahasbeenimplementingaseriesofmanagedprogressivepoli2ciesoftradeliberalization,emphasizingontheofficialinfluenceontrade.Thecoreofthesepoliciesistoimplementprogressiveliberalizedtradepoliciestomostindustriesandlowerprotectionswhileadoptingmoderateexportencouragementpoliciestotheothers.Thusitisfeasibletoachievedualobjectivesoftradeliberalizationandtradeprotection.Byadoptingpartialandgenerale2quilibriumanalysis,thispaperreviewedlowerimportprotection2tariffpolicyandmoderateexportencouragement2exporttar2iffrebatepolicy.ThepaperfoundthatChina’scustomtariffsaredevelopingsimultaneouslywiththeoveralltradepolicies,whichrepresentstariffpolicyasanimportantinstitutionalpolicy.Italsorevealsthatwhenapplyingexporttariffrebatepolicy,ourau2thoritypaysmoreattentiononitsshort2termeffectontradeflow.MultinationalCorporations’M&AandtheDevelopmentofChineseStrategicIndustryLiPeiling(15)AccordingtotheorientationofChinesePolicyofFDI,MNCs’M&Ahasgonethroughthreephasesofregulation2prohibiting,regulation2encouragingandregulation2promotinginChinasinceChinacarriedoutthepolicyoftheReformandOpening2up,andtheirM&AactivitieshasinvolvedChinesestrategicindustry.ItwasfoundthateventhoughMNCs’M&Ahaspromotedthedevel2opmentofChinesestrategicindustrytosomeextent,itdoesbringaboutnegativeeffectsonthedevelopmentofChineselocalenter2prises,industrialsecurityandnationaleconomicsecurity.ConsideringMNCs’M&A,thedevelopingstrategiesforChinesestrate2gicindustryinclude:governmentregulationonM&Aofforeig