城市化的城乡差别效应和城乡协调发展

-,,,2000,-,,,:;;,:2000621-,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,22000,-211199536,116,2,,,,,,28120041Vol128,No11January200422PopulationResearch©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.,GDP,,():(R2)017672(R2=015357),,1(R2)y=3E-07x2+010003x+117457018021y=2E-07x2+010006x+018677017672y=17189e-01598x015357:,(2001)1,,,,,,,,,-,1212,,,,,,,2000,,,2519123199,71397149;,6137,,,,,,,,,123©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.2251512516528102251912319925155-7179-5183-5128-7139-7149--6141-6127-3146---6137:213(15)59158%57114%47155%,61241319418127,23104251482315357167%64144%,81156164;58184%,23178,,,,,,4123%4137%6103%,512011873140,3108312241884147%3143%,41962181;4127%,31123%591585711447155571676414458184-6124-13194-18127-8115-6164--23104-25148-23153---23178412341376103414731434127-5120-1187-3140-4196-2181-+3108+3122+4188--+3112:,,,,,,,,214(6),9181,0136;7160,0177;9140,2172,,,,,,,2428©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.,,,-,,,-,,,,-,,,49158910210198918171609140+0113+0165+1153+0136-0177-+2190+2134+2161--+2170:2000215,,,-2000,23162119,-2214;251762317,-24167;1119411945,-11435(,2002),,,-,-,,216,,,,,,,,,,;,;,,,,,,19811990,113111,1997019,200019903146%,,125©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.3311??;20;(,2003),,,,,,,;,,,,(,,GNP),,,312,,1516,,,,,,,,,,,;313,,,30%40%,35%50%;50%,70%;70%80%,90%,100%,,,,,,,,,,,3142628©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.,,10,8(,2002),13201014,113001400;60%,1800,,,,,,,;,,,,,:1..,20022..,2003-07-173,:.,2002;6DifferentialUrban-RuralEffectsofUrbanizationandCoordinatedUrban-RuralDevelopmentAsaprocessoftherural-to-urbantransitionofbothpopulationandregions,urbanizationisboundtohavevariousdifferentialeffectsonurbanandruralareas.Studyingsuchdifferentialeffectsisofimportancetocoordinatethedevelopmentofbothareas.Makinguseofthe2000nationalcensusdatarelatedtomigration,thispaperexaminestheurban-ruraldifferentialeffectsofrural-to-urbanmigrationonincomelevel,agestructure,fertilitylevel,educationattainment,employmentandpopulationdistributionetc.Toconstructafull-scalewell-offsociety,weshouldpayenoughattentiontotheinfluenceofdifferentialeffectsofurbanizationoncoordinatedde2velopmentbetweenurbanandruralareas.Thestrategyofurbanizationshouldbeanurban-ruralcoordinatedone.KeyWords:urbanization;DifferentialUrban-RuralEffects;CoordinatedDevelopmentZhuBaoshuisprofessorofEastChinaNormalUniversity.(::2003-12)127©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.