©CopyrightOvum.Allrightsreserved.OvumispartofInformaGroup.SmartHome:TheBroadbandServiceProviderOpportunity智能家居:宽带服务提供商的机会MichaelPhilpott,PracticeLeader,ConsumerServicesmichael.philpott@ovum.comTE0003-000801Ovumisnotliableforanyperceivedchangesofmeaningthatmayoccurthroughtranslation,andthatfortheavoidanceofdoubt,theoriginalEnglishversionshouldbereferredtoforanydiscrepanciesOvum不为任何翻译后可能造成的歧义负责,为避免疑义,任何意义分歧皆以英文原版为主。2©CopyrightOvum.Allrightsreserved.OvumispartofInformaGroup.Tableofcontents目录Summary摘要Theserviceprovider’soverallstrategy服务提供商的整体战略Thesmarthomeopportunity智能家居市场机会Barrierstothesmarthome进入智能家居市场的障碍LessonsfromOTTplayers从OTT玩家那里学到的经验Telcocasestudies电信运营商案例研究Appendix附录3©CopyrightOvum.Allrightsreserved.OvumispartofInformaGroup.Summary(1)摘要Todatesmarthomesolutionshavefocusedonprofessionalhomesecurityorhomeautomationapplicationsthatcaterforarelativelylimitedcustomersegment.Ifserviceproviderswishtoappealtothemassmarket,theyneedtodevelopsmarthomesolutionsthatmeettheneedsofthewiderpopulation.智能家居解决方案迄今为止主要集中在迎合相对有限客户群体的专业家庭安防或家庭自动化应用。如果服务提供者希望吸引大众市场,它们需要开发满足更广泛人口需要的智能家居解决方案。Costremainsafundamentalbarriertothedevelopmentofthesmarthome.Toreduceupfrontcostsitistemptingforproviderstotryto“dumbdown”high-endsolutionsinthehopethattheyarethenmoreattractivetothewidermarket.However,thistendstoreducethevalueoftheservicewithoutresultinginaproductthatactuallymeetsusers’needs.Serviceprovidersshouldinnovatemorearoundtheneedsofthedifferentsegmentswithinthewidermarketanddevelopspecificsolutionsforeachgroup.成本仍然是智能家居发展的根本障碍。为了减少前期成本,服务提供商可能会试图简化高端解决方案,以期增加其对更广泛市场的吸引力。然而,这往往会降低服务价值,同时也未能向用户提供真正满足他们需求的产品。服务提供商应围绕更广泛市场中的不同细分市场需求进行更多创新,并针对各个细分市场开发特定解决方案。Forthemass-marketconsumer,serviceproviderswillneedtofocusonservicesandapplicationsthatmeetsomeverybasicneeds–savingmoneyonenergybills,forexample.Thisisunlikelytobeascenariothatgeneratesnewrevenues(atleastfromaB2Cpointofview),butitwillprovideaplatformthathopefullyserviceproviderscanbuildonovertime,andthatmayleadtonewrevenueopportunities.就大众市场消费者来说,服务提供商需要关注满足一些基本需要(比如节省能源费用)的服务和应用。这不太可能生成新的收入(至少从B2C的角度来看),但会提供一个随着时间的推移服务提供商有望依赖的平台,且这个平台可能会带来新的收入机会。Serviceprovidersshouldnotignorehigh-endsolutions,buttheydoneedtorecognizethatsuchsolutionswillappealonlytorelativelysmallsegmentsoftheirtraditionalcustomerbases.Suchsegmentscanpotentiallybelucrativeones,buttheywillalreadyberelativelycompetitive,withwell-establishedtraditionalserviceproviders.服务提供商不应忽视高端解决方案,但它们需要意识到这样的解决方案只能吸引其传统客户群中相对较少的客户。这一相对较小的客户群体可以为成熟的传统服务提供商带来盈利,但竞争相对激烈。4©CopyrightOvum.Allrightsreserved.OvumispartofInformaGroup.Summary(2)摘要ThereareagrowingnumberofOTTsmarthomesolutionsonthemarket.Thesetendtooperatedifferentbusinessmodelsandgenerallynotdonotcarryamonthlyfee.IfbroadbandserviceproviderswishtochargeamonthlyfeefortheirownsolutionsthentheymustprovidegreatervaluethanOTTplayers.市场上出现越来越多的OTT智能家居解决方案。这些解决方案往往采取不同的商业模式,并且一般不收取月费。如果宽带服务提供商希望自己的解决方案收取月费,那么它们相较OTT玩家必须提供更大的价值。Toincreaseflexibilityandreducecosts,operatorsshouldembrace“standards”asmuchaspossibleandofferopenecosystems.Itisunrealistictoexpecthomeownerstobuyintoasingleproprietarysmarthome.Theywillpurchaseandsubscribetotechnologyandservicesfromavarietyofbrandsandchannels,andallserviceprovidersneedtodevisetheirproductstrategiesaccordingly.为了增加灵活性和降低成本,运营商应该接受尽可能多的“标准”,并提供开放的生态系统。期望业主购买专用智能家居解决方案是不现实的。他们将购买和订阅来自不同品牌和渠道的技术和服务,而所有服务提供商需要相应地设计它们的产品策略。Reducingoverallcustomerchurnwillbeakeydriverofbroadbandserviceproviders’smarthomestrategies.Aboveallelse,theymustpositionthemselvesasthehubofthesmarthome.Thehubwilllinkindependentsolutionstogether,whethertheyarefromserviceprovidersorthird-parties.Byconnectingandsimplifyingindependentsolutions,thehubwillprovidegreatvaluetotheuser.Althoughitmaynotgenerateanyadditionalrevenuesitself,itwillbedifficultforconsumerstoswapoutonceinplace.降低整体客户流失率将是宽带服务提供商智能家居策略的一个关键驱动因素。首先,它们必须将自己定位为智能家居中控。这个中控将把独立的解决方案连接在一起,无论这些解决方案来自服务提供商还是第三方。通过连接和简化独立解决方案,这个中控将为用户提供巨大的价值。虽然它可能不会产生任何额外收入,但一旦到位消费者便很难进行替换。TocompetewithOTThubstrategies,serviceprovidersshouldlooktointegratehubfunctionalityintotheirexistingbroadbandorTVcustomer-premiseequipmentstrategies.Theyshouldthenfocusonkeyattributessuchasconsumertrustandtheabilitytoprovidefullyconvergentsolutions.为了与OTT中控策略竞争,服务提供商应该寻求将中控功能集成到其现有的宽带或电视客户端设备策略。然后,它们应该关注关键属性,如消费者信任以及提供融合解决方案的能力。Untiltruestandardsaredeveloped,largerplayershaveanadvantagebecauseotherthird-partyplayersaremorelikelytowanttobecomepartoftheirecosystem.Smallerplayersmayhavetotrytojoinotherecosystemsbecausetheyhavelessinfluenceinthemarket;thiswillbeanaddedexpenseforsuchplayers.大型玩家到真正的标准被制定出来时拥有一个优势,因为其他第三方玩家更有可能想成为其生态系统的一部分。小型玩家可能不得不试图加入其他生态系统,因为它们对市场的影响力不大;对这类玩家来说,这将是额外的开支。5©CopyrightOvum.Allrightsreserved.OvumispartofInformaGroup.Tableofcontents目录Summary摘要Theserviceprovider’soverallstrategy服务提供商的整体战略Thesmarthomeopportunity智能家居市场机会Barrierstothesmarthome进入智能家居市场的障碍LessonsfromOTTplayers从OTT玩家那里学到的经验Telcocasestudies电信运营商案例研究Appendix附录6©CopyrightOvum.Allrightsreserved.OvumispartofInformaGroup.Smarthomecouldbeas