广西沿海港口与西南民族地区外向型经济发展研究

中南民族大学硕士学位论文广西沿海港口与西南民族地区外向型经济发展研究姓名：韩永彩申请学位级别：硕士专业：中国少数民族经济指导教师：沈道权20090416IGDPII-IIIAbstractWegettheknowledgefromthedevelopmenthistorythroughouttheworldfamousportsandmajorportsinChinathattheportdevelopmentandtheeconomicdevelopmentinhinterlandareofinterdependent.Seaportsarelocatedintheforefrontoftheregionintowheretheadvancedindustriesenterfirst.Ontheonehand,theyactasthecoreoftheregionaleconomywiththeport-vicinityindustry,whichisformedintoaninvisibleradiatorwiththeassociatedhinterlandindustry.Theportsshouldaccumulatetheirownenergyinordertoradiatevariousproductionelementsalongtheradiallinesbetweenportandhinterland.Ontheotherhand,theportareadevelopmentdependsonthedevelopmentofexport-orientedeconomyinitshinterland.Therefore,toscientificallyrecognizetheinteractionofthedevelopmentoftheportandofexport-orientedeconomyhinterlandisofveryimportanttheoreticalsignificance.Guangxicoastalportsinsouthernseachannelhavetheprominentstrategicposition.ThesetupoftheBeibuwanNERpromotedtheformationofpoles,whichrepresentthestudyofthisthemethepracticalsignificance.Thetheoryofnon-balanceddevelopmentischaracterizedbyonthecentripetalforceofurbanandindustry’simpetus,asthelayerstructure,thestructureofpoint-axisandpolarnucleistructureaswell.Thesizeofthecityisenlargedintheinitialstageofdevelopmentwiththepolarizedeffectandthenbythewayoftheproliferatedeffecttoaccumulatesufficientenergy,sotoexerttheeffectonthesurroundingarea.Thisroleofthecycleandthusthesizeoftheurbanimpactonthesurroundinggraduallyexpanding.Krugmanalsoputtheemphasisonhowtheindustrialclusteringmodelaffectthegeographicaldistributionoftheenterprise.IntheportplanningGuangxigovernmenthasunderestimatedthepotentialtonurturethegrowthpolarbutattachgreatimportancetotherelativeadvantage.Toactivatetheinteractionbetweenthepolaranditshinterland,itisnecessarytocultivatethegrowthpotentialforhigheconomiccenter.Toleadtotheformationofthepolarofthesouth-westerneconomic,boththevigorousdevelopmentofthecoastalindustryclusterandthecapacityofacceptanceofthesouthwestsurpluslaborarerecommendedespeciallyforthetertiaryindustry.Thepaperanalyzestheporteconomyintheviewoftheportconstruction,theexistingindustrialbaseandthedisadvantages.Meanwhile,italsoanalyzesthestatusquoofthesouthwesterneconomyfromthemarketandimportandexportaspectsoftheSouthwestregion'seconomyandputsforwardtheproblems,andthedivisionandIVintegrationoflaborbetweentheforeigntradevolumeandexportproductandmarketdemandstructureofthesouthwestandthecoastofGuangxi.ThepaperalsodiscussesthefeasibilityoftheapplicationofthepolegrowththeorytocoastalporteconomyinGuangxiandthedevelopmentofexport-orientedeconomyinsouthwestareas.Basedonthespatialstructuretheoryoftheregionaleconomicdevelopmenttheory,followedbytheanalysisofeconomiceffectsofinteractionbetweenportandthehinterland,thethesisemphaticallyanalyzedstatusquooftheGuangxiport-vicinityindustryandthesituationofthedevelopmentofthesouthwestnationalareaandthedevelopmentofitsexport-orientedeconomy.Byselectingtypicalvariables,namely,Guangxicoastalportcontainerthroughputandcargothroughputasdependentvariableforthelatterplaysasrepresentativesofhandlingcapacityandtheformer,thetrendoftheportgrowth,andsouthwestregionalGDPofdevelopmentlevelandtotalimportandexportvolumeasexplainedvariables.BydoingtheregressionanalysisrelatedtobothGuangxiharbordevelopmentandinsouthwestprovinces,thethesisdrawsanobjectiveconclusion:ahighcorrelationbetweenthetwoindeed.Somecountermeasuresandsuggestionsofmaneuverabilityareputforwardinthelightofacomprehensivestudyontheanalyticalresultsandthereasons.KeyWordsGuangxiCoastalEconomy;GrowthPole;Extro-orientedEconomy;Development;Port-hinterland;1______21150012.93()12230%1934E.A.Kautz2050Mayer(Patton)(Weigard)(Morgon)2060Taffe-Morrill-Gouldmodel2070HoyleandHilling3HoyleandPinderHayuthGilmen19831985Hoyle1996MasahisaFujitaTomoyaMorilock-ineffectWilliamSeabrookeEddieC.M.Hui..18431913HoyleBSandHillingD.(Eds.)SeaportSystemsandSpatialChange:Technology,IndustryandDevelopmentStrategies[M]Wiley,Chichester,1984.P1-215.HoyleBSandPinderDA.(Eds.)CityportIndustrializationandRegionalDevelopment:SpatialAnalysisandPlanningStrategies[M].Oxford:PergamonPress1981.P23-339.HoyleBS(Eds.)Cityports,CoastalZonesandRegionalChange:InternationalPerspectivesonPlanningandManagement[M].Wiley,Chichester,1996.P24-124.MasahisaFujitaTomoyaMoriTheroleofportsinthemakingofmajorcities:Self-agglomerationandhub-effectJournalofDevelopmentEconomicsVol.49(1996)93-120WilliamSeabrooke*EddieC.M.Hui1WilliamH.K.LamGordonK.C.WongForecastingcargogrowthandregionalroleoftheportofHongKongRetrivedfrom:[M]199747-7318601937:[D].:,2004.11,96GDP78--9T2-2β1.22-1[M]1998.1243βKanskyβ=E/VβEV1.21019502-2198892-2EEXaXaYXYXaE11123-[M]2008.1P.55-59-[]2006.612-800—120064800—72001:51:910428.8GDP12026189.6[]2005.3,1120067187134201212500014-MasahisaFujitaTomoyaMoriTheroleofportsinthemakingofmajorcities:Self-agglomerationandhub-effectJournalofDevelopmentEconomicsVo