工程项目管理-英文课件-RiskManagement.ppt

ProjectManagementProjectRiskManagementJiweiMaContentConceptsRiskIdentificationRiskAssessmentRiskControlConceptRiskThepossibilityofloss,damage,oranyotherundesirableeventProjectRiskAnyloss,damage,orundesirableeventthatmayimpacttheprojecttobeaccomplishedontime,underbudget,andtorequiredqualitystandardProjectRiskManagementEffortinprojectmanagementtoreducetheoccurrencepossibility,minimizetheimpactofprojectrisks,andassurethesuccessoftheprojectRiskIdentificationTolocateandidentifythepotentialrisksexistingwithinthesystemorintheenvironmentMethodsPreviousstatisticaldataPreviousexperienceSurveyBrainstorm…ProjectRiskIdentificationMethodsSurveyorbrainstormApplicableforsmallprojectSystematicapproachComponentanalysisProcessanalysisParticipantanalysisProjectobjectiveanalysisProjectenvironmentRiskAssessmentConceptAscientificallybasedprocessofevaluatingrisksandthelikelihoodofexposuretothoserisks,andthenestimatingtheresultingimpactMethodologiesQualitativeTodistinguishrisksashigh,mediumandlowlevelSemi-quantitativeToprioritizerisksinrelationtooneanotherQuantitativeTomeasure,calculateandanalyzethevalueofrisksandtheimpactRiskAssessmentBasicprocedureToclarifytheriskswhichhavesignificantormeasurableimpactsonprojectToanalyzetheconsequencesoftherisk’soccurrenceToevaluatetheseverityoftheimpactcausedbytheriskToprioritizerisksbycalculatingriskimpact,andthenformulatepossibleimprovementsorpreventivemeasuresRiskAssessmentTechniquesFaulttreeanalysisUsedtoidentifythecausalrelationshipsleadingtotheundesirableeventBasedondeductivelogicCanbequalitativeorquantitativeRiskAssessmentTechniquesEventtreeanalysisUsedtoillustratethesequenceoftheoutcomeaftertheoccurrenceofaselectedinitialeventBasedoninductivelogicMainlyusedinconsequenceanalysisRiskAssessmentTechniquesCause-consequenceanalysisAblendoffaulttreeandeventtreeanalysisBasedonbothdeductiveandinductivelogicTherisklevelofthesystemcanbeestablishedbycalculatingprobabilitiesofvariousconsequenceswiththeprobabilitiesofvariouseventsRiskAssessmentTechniquesFrequency/severitydiagramUsedtoevaluatetheimpactofrisksandprioritizethepreventivemeasuresBasedonconsequenceevaluationandprobabilitycalculationCanbesemi-quantitativeorquantitativeRiskvalue=SeverityxFrequencyMediumSeverityFrequencyLowHighLowMediumHighRiskControlToidentify,select,andimplementmeasuresthatcanbeappliedtoreducetheriskidentifiedandevaluatedduringthepreviousphasesMeasuresToavoidriskToremove/reallocateriskToshareriskToreduceriskTomitigatedamagecausedbyriskConstructionProjectRisksListofrisksPlanningandselectionrisksContractformationrisksEntityformationrisksEntitymanagementrisksSiterisksResourcerisksEnvironmentalrisksTechnologyrisksCommunicationrisksExpectationrisksConstructionProjectRisksListofrisksFinancialrisksCompletionrisks(cost)Completionrisks(time)Completionrisks(quality)PaymentrisksProjectadministrationrisksForcemajeurerisksPoliticalrisksCurrencyrisksConstructionProjectRiskControlMajormeasuresImprovedprocurementmethodtominimizeimplementationrisksSafetyprogramstoreduceon-siteaccidentsStrictconstructionmeasurementstoconfineenvironmentalhazardsVariousinsurancetoreallocaterisksBondcompanyinvolvedtoshareriskswithownerandcontractorConstructionProjectRiskControlImprovedprocurementmethodPerformancebasedprocurementConstructionmanagement/managementcontractingContractorprequalificationincompetitivebidContractnegotiationafterbidopeningPartneringorbuildinglong-termrelationshipConstructionProjectRiskControlSafetyprogramsOn-sitesafetymanagementprogramincludingowner,contractor,subcontractor,etc.RegulatorysafetycontrolbygovernmentbodiesSafetycontrolandeducationbyprofessionalorganizations,i.e.OSHA,BG,HSC,etc.ConstructionProjectRiskControlInsuranceContractor’sliabilityinsuranceWorkers’compensationEmployers’liabilityCommercialgeneralliabilityAutomobileliabilityOwner’sliabilityinsuranceUsuallygeneralliabilityinsuranceManagementprotectiveliabilityinsuranceProfessionalliabilityinsurancePropertyinsuranceProjectowner’sobligationConstructionProjectRiskControlBondTypesofbondBidbondPerformancebondPaymentbond…ImpactofbondContractorclassificationandprequalificationReviewofcontractor’sfinancialsustainabilityAssuranceofcontractor’[e-mail]