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199944a(,100850),,,.AnIntegratedMethodofForward2backwardPlanningforDeterminingDevelopmentDirectionsofMilitaryEquipmentSUNHongcaiLIMing(TheSecondInstituteofEngineerinDepartmentStaff,Beijing100850)AbstractAccordingtothedemandsofthedemonstrationondevelopmentstrategyofmilitaryequipment,thispapergivesamethodtoconstructtheobjectivesystemsoffor2wardplanning,backwardplanningaswellasforward2backwardplanningondevelop2mentdirectionsofmilitaryequipment.Keywordsmilitaryequipment;developmentstrategy;objectivesystems;forward2backwardplanning;AHP1,.:,,..,,;,1010;,;,.,;.,,.,(AHP),,().,,a:1997212205©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.,.::;:;:;:.2,.,.,..,,,,.,,,,.(),..,,.,,.,,,.,8,(),1.3,,.3.1,.200020002010.3.2,.,,.3.3,:maxZ=6ni=1WiXi:Z;Wi;Xi.3.4,,,,,,.3.5AHP,...,,594©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.1(),.,AHP,..3.6,AHP,AHP,,,.,AHP,.4,,.,,.12..,.:a.:;b.:;6919994©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.c.:;d.:;e.;;f.:;g.:.21.-5+5(19-8+8).1(0)();.,,()5,().,(),.(),,.1,.794©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.10.0960.2590.1910.1740.1220.0680.08111-2+2+4-3-1+2-20.4221-1-2-3+3-1-2-11.031+1-10+10-2+20.0341+1+4-3+4+1-2+11.3211-2+2+4-3-1-5-4-0.2221+102+3+1+2-30.7531-2-3-2+1-2-5-5-2.1241-2+1+2-3-1-4-4-0.79510-20+2-1-4-5-0.9711-1+2+2-3-1-4-1-0.1921-1-4-3+3-1-3-3-1.7531+2+4+1-2+2+5+52.0041+2+3-2+4-1-101.09510+2+5-3+2+4+11.55610-2+2+3+1-3-10.4171-1+2+2-20-1-30.6411+1-2+2+3+10-10.50210-3+20+1+20-0.1431-10-2+4-1-2-2-0.2041+3+3+3+4+2-1-12.4351+1-1-1+3+1-3-40.24,,2.,..0.040.040.100.020.020.040.070.100.060.030.040.030.470.490.410.230.120.120.120.160.280.270.260.440.550.110.240.21=0.050.050.050.460.140.34,()8919994©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.80%(=0.46+0.34)(,),.,,,..,::0.460.200.520.090.110.050.03=0.090.240.040.050.010.01:0.340.040.080.330.55=0.010.030.110.19,,.,:0.140.380.170.30..,(),.12345670.1290.1250.0670.0620.3290.1800.3090.3060.2750.3690.0280.0260.0410.0330.3310.3300.1490.1770.0480.0850.0320.0500.1290.0750.0450.0650.0890.1150.140.380.170.30=0.0960.2590.1910.1740.1220.0680.0811234567,1,,1.:0.259,.:(),,,:(-2)(0.096)+(2)(0.259)+(4)(0.191)+(-3)(0.174)+(-1)(0.122)+(2)(0.068)+(-2)(0.081)=0.4201..,,,,.:0.090.040.050.440.090.28.,994©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.,,,.5,,.,.,3.322,.2ÉÊËÌÉ11ö71ö51ö3Ê7155Ë51ö515Ì31ö51ö51Kmax=4.39C.I.=0.13C.R.=0.14()(0.05,0.61,0.25,0.09),,2,Ê,Ë,,.,.,,12...,.(),00119994©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.,12.,.,..,,.,().6,,.,.,,.,.,,,,,,,.,,.6.1.4().,..,,;,;,;,.,.4,..,,,.6.2:,.4.;,();.,;,,0.1.,()...:..,..5.,.:0.16;0.24;0.26;0.10;0.24..,,,,1014©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.4.,.(6),0.05.,.3.30.380.260.150.210.540.130.040.29,.,..,.6.20119994©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.563014©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.7,,,.,,.,,.1SaatyTL.DecisionMakingtheAnalyticHierarchyProcess,1988;RevisedandPublishedbytheAu2thor;OriginalVersionPublishedbyMcGraw-Hill,NewYork,19802SaatyTLandKearnsKP.AnalyticalPlaning,Theorganizationofsystems.Reprintedinpaperback,RWSPublications,19913SaatyTL.FundamentalsofDecisionMakingandPriorityTheorywiththeAnalyticHierarchyPro2cess,RWSPublications,1994411,:,1998:4005..:,19936T.L,..:,19887,..:,1996(82)(9)(10),[2],(10),(1)(8).(7).1,,11:,19632,,1:,19923LiuYongqing,FengZhaoshu.Stability,StabilizationandControlofDelayLarge2scaleSystems.Ap2pliedDiscreteMathematicsandTheoreticalComputer,ScienceSeries,Vvolume4.1996,SciencepressNewYork,Beijing,USA.4,11,1996,20(3):333940119994©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.