河北省梨果产业发展对策研究_杨念

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TheStudyonDevelopmentCountermeasuresofPearIndustryinHebeiProvinceAuthor:YangNianTutor:Pro.SunWenshengMajor:AgricultureEconomyandManagementAbstractPearindustryisoneofthemostimportantfruitindustriesinHebeiProvince;itplaysanimportantroleinagriculturaleconomy.TheproductionofpearrankedfirstamongfreshfruitsinHebeiProvinceandalsoinChina.However,therearemanyweakpointsinpearproductionandsalesofHebeiindomesticandglobalviews.Nowthatthecompetitioninpearindustryhasshiftedfrompricetoqualityunderthenewsituationofeconomicglobalizationandthemarketeconomysystem,thedevelopmentofpearindustryofHebeiProvinceisfacingenormouschallenge.ThewritermadeacomprehensiveunderstandingofthestatusofpearindustryinHebeiProvincebyreadingmanymaterialsandfieldresearch,andanalyzedthemainproblemsinpartofproduction,processing,circulationandforeigntrade.Thisarticleisbasedontraditionaltradetheory,industrialorganizationtheory,thetheoryofcomparativeadvantage,theoryofcompetitiveadvantage,theresourcebasetheoryandstrategicmanagementtheory,etc.,usingfactoranalysis,thecompositeindexmethod,grayrelationalanalysis,linearregressionanalysisandclusteranalysisandothermethods,usemodernstatisticalsoftwareSPSS,takethemethodsofmacrocombinedmicro,quantitativecombinedqualitative,horizontalcombinedvertical,tobuildtheframeworkoftheoreticalanalysisevaluationindexsystemandevaluationmodelforresearchingthedevelopmentofpearindustryinHebeiProvince.Finally,madefeasiblestrategy,offeredtargetedandoperablesuggestions.Mainresearchresultsareasfollows:First,thisarticleintroducedthecurrentinternationalandnationalsituationofpearindustrialdevelopmentfromtheaspectsofproductionandinternationaltrade,includingharvestedarea,yield,unityield,producerpricesandregionaldistribution;importandexportscale,layoutandprice.IntroducedtheinternationalenvironmentofChinesepearindustry,demonstratedtheindustry'sstatusintheworld,andlaidthefoundationforsubsequentanalysisofHebeipear.Second,thewriterdescribedthestatusofpearproductioninHebeiprovinceinfouraspects:productionscale,regionaldistribution,structureofvarieties,andcost-benefit;comparativeadvantagemodelwasusedtoanalyzethescaleadvantagesandresourceendowmentsadvantagesof29provinces,autonomousregionsandmunicipalities(TherearenopearsproducedinHongKong,Macau,Hainan;sofewpearsproducedinTibet).Thenarea,yield,unityield,LocationQuotientandCoefficientofResourceEndowmentswerecombinedtomakeacomprehensiveanalysisbyCompositeIndexmethod.TheresultshowsthatthelocationquotientindexofHebeiismorethan1.5,atthethirdplaceinChina;resourcesendowmentcoefficientismorethan1andfirstinnation;unityieldisbehindShandong,AnhuiandHenan.SothereareplacetoimprovetheadvantagesofHebeipearproduction,themosteffectivemeasureistoimprovethelevelofyield,sointhefutureimprovingtheinnerandappearancequalityofpearshouldrelyontechnologicalprogress,payattentiontothestandardizationconstruction,raisetheproductionadvantageofpearindustryinHebeiprovince.Third,GreyCorrelationModelisusedtoanalyzethemainfactorsaffectedpearproductioninHebeiProvince,theresultshowsthattheinfluencesinorderare:effectiveirrigationareacultivatedareainundatedareaagriculturalacreageamountofpesticideinvestmentofagriculturalbasicconstructionannualnetincomeperfarmerGDPpercapitaamountoflabortotalpowerofagriculturalmachineryamountoffertilizer.GreycorrelationanalysiscancalculatethecorrelationdegreebetweeninfluentialfactorsandpearproductioninHebeiprovince,alsocancalculatecorrelationorder,butcannotgetinfluencedegree,theresultislackofpracticality.SointhisarticlePair-wiseComparisonJudgmentMatrixisadoptedtosolvethedeficiencyofGrayCorrelationAnalysis.Accordingtothecalculationresultofcorrelationdegreeandinfluencedegree,inthe11factors,thetotalinfluencedegreeresultofeffectiveirrigationarea,cultivatedarea,inundatedarea,agriculturalacreage;amountofpesticideandinvestmentofagriculturalbasicconstructionisupto88.27%,thesixfactorsarethemainfactorsinfluencingpearproductioninHebeiprovince.Fourth,theauthorcollectedrelevantinformationaboutpearprocessingofHebeiProvincebymarketresearch,andanalyzedtheexistingproblemsinprocessing.Circulationpartmainlyexpoundedandanalyzedthehistoricalevolution,circulationsystemandmarketplayers,designedthelogisticsnetwork:TangshanandShijiazhuangareLogisticsPark;Cangzhou,HandanandChengdearelogisticscenter;Qinhuangdao,Zhangjiakou,Baoding,Langfang,XingtaiandHengshuiaredistributioncenter.Fifth,thesituationofexportwasdescribedinthreeaspects:scale,priceandmarket;thenthestabilityofmarketwasanalyzedbycalculatingGeographicConcentrationandTradeIntensityIndex;atlast,exportquantity,prices,InternationalMarketShare,RevealedComparativeAdvantageCoefficient,ExportAdvantageIndexofVariation,DegreeofDependenceonExportandExportContributionRatewerecombinedtocomparetheexportcompetitionbetween23provinces,municipalitiesandmunicipalitiesdirectlyundertheCentralGovernment.Sixth,accordingtotheanalysisofproduction,processing,circulation,onthebaseofcomparativeadvantagetheoryandcompetitiveadvantagetheory,thestrategicgoalofHebeipearindustrywasmade;SWOTanalysismetho

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