港口权限下放对港口的发展影响研究——以江苏五大港口为例

上海交通大学硕士学位论文港口权限下放对港口的发展影响研究——以江苏五大港口为例姓名：汪逸丰申请学位级别：硕士专业：交通运输规划与管理指导教师：赵一飞20090201I2002ABSTRACTIIRESEARCHONTHEIMPACTOFPORTPOWERRELEASINGPOLICYONPORTS’DEVELOPMENTWITHDEMONSTRATIONOFFIVEPORTSINJIANGSUPROVINCEABSTRACTSincetheexecutionofPortPowerReleasingPolicyin2002,China’sportindustryhasdevelopedrapidly,andmanylocalgovernmentsinvestontheportconstructiontopromotethelocaleconomy.Meanwhile,thepolicyhasalsoarosedsomenegativeeffects.TheaimofthethesisistodoresearchingontheimpactofthepolicyonChina’sports.Firstly,thethesisintroducestherelativeconceptsandtheoriesofPortandPortManagementSystem,themanagementmodesanddevelopingtrendofsomeforeignports,andthehistoryofChina’sportmanagementsystemrevolutionaswell.Secondly,thethesisintrouducesthecontentsofthepolicy,analyzingthepolicy’sactiveandnegativeeffects,anddescribestheactualstatusofChina’sports.ThethesisevaluatestheimpactontheportsbroughtbyPortPowerReleasingPolicy,usingPrincipleComponentAnalysisMethodandGreyCorrelationAnalysisMethod,toprovidetheoreticfoundationforthepolicyadjustment.PrincipleComponentAnalysisMethodisusedtoevaluatetheports’potentialdevelopingabilityintheviewofCentralGovernmentandtheprovincialgovermentsoastofindouttheeffectsthepolicyhasputontheseports.GreyCorrelationAnalysisMethodisusedtoevaluatetheactualdevelopingstatusoftheportswithoutputandoutputincreasingrateasstaticanddynamicguidelinesinordertovalidatethesolutioncalculatedbyABSTRACTIIIPrincipleComponentAnalysisMethodandanalysetheimpact’sexentofthepolicy.Finally,choosingthefiveportsinJiangsuProvinceasresearchobjects,whichallusedtobeledbybothCentralGovernmentandthelocalgovernmentandhavebeenreleasedtothelocalgovernmentsimultaneously,thethesisgivessuggestionsforthecentral,provincialandlocalgovernmenttokeeptheportsdevelopingproportionately.KEYWORDS:portpowerreleasingpolicy,portmanagementsystem,principalcomponentanalysis,greycorrelationanalysis2009219□□“√”200922120092211111.11.1.12007359472006494133720061344701107819010031246259304341335223551835101026310110200616174423190309754192075120081223()720~3020~309134E56[1]1142345151.1.2[2]200111122131420031-1Table1-1NumberofarticlessearchedinChinesePeriodicalDatabasebykeywordsasPortSystemandPortManagementSystem200120022003200420052006200711152110719655411-2Table1-2NumberofarticlessearchedinExcellentThesisDatabasebykeywordsasPortSystemandPortManagementSystem2001200220032004200520062007000000000110001-3Table1-3NumberofarticlessearchedinChinesePeriodicalDatabasebykeywordsasPortReleasingandDouble-ledPortReleasing2001200220032004200520062007024000034300001-4Table1-4NumberofarticlessearchedinExcellentThesisDatabasebykeywordsasPortReleasingand16Double-ledPortReleasing200120022003200420052006200700000000000000151-5Table1-5RelatingopinionsonPortManagementSystemandPortPowerReleasingPolicy[3][4][5][6][7][8]1.2171-120011.3181.42922.12.1.1[9]2.1.21992210195020508020802.1.3,2112.2[2]2.2.175121222.2.22132.2.3()2141232.32.3.1LandlordPort215,;;,2162.3.219881234217200111232002331833.18020013.1.1200119843731919982000199820003.1.2200212332012345678910[1993]4563213.23.2.12001[7]2001382001383222001383.2.213132.740055001403234.522920101155.7[6]200786[10]32720017()3.3.2()()33294567843044.14.1.14314.1.214-1Table4-1PortcomprehensiveevaluationindexesintheviewofCentralGovernmentGDPGDP2002200214322GDPGDP3443324-2Table4-2PortcomprehensiveevaluationindexesintheviewoftheprovincialgovernmentGDPGDP200220021)434GDPGDP234354.24.2.1Hotelling1933[10][12]np12,,,pxxxL()11121p21222p12pn1n2npxxxxxxx=x,x,,xxxx=LLLLLLLL4.112(,,,)',1,2,,ipxxxxip==LL12,,,pxxxLyi1111221,1,2,,ippyaxaxaxip=+++=LL4.2222121,1,2,,iiipaaaip+++==LL4.3ija4361cov(,)0;(;,1,2,,)ijyyijijp=≠=Liyjy212pvar()var()var()0yyy≥≥≥≥L1y,,2pyyL11var()var()ppiii=i=xy=∑∑4.412,,,pyyyLp1var()pii=y∑12,,,()kyyykpLp12,,,kyyyLkp[13][14][15]4.2.2(),1,2,,pijnpXxi×==Lnp437ijxijp111minmaxminiiiniiiininxxyxx≤≤≤≤≤≤−=−4.5ixiyp()ijR=rijijijjjsr=ss4.611-1njjliiljji=s(x-x)(x-x)n=∑4.7RRp12p0λλλ≥≥≥L12p,,,aaaL12(,,,)iiiipaaaa′=L1,2,,ip=Lkα()kαkkypkkii=1αλλ=∑k12,,,kyyyL()pkiii=1i=1kαλλ=∑∑kykαvar()kkyλ=111var()var()pppiiii=i=i=xyλ==∑∑∑kp438k12,,,kyyyL()kαk()kαkk()kα()kα≥85%()kαm(m)α≥85%12mYYYYXA′==L,,,4.8iiY=Xa′⋅1,2,,im=Li12(,,,mAaaa=L12(,,,)iiiipaaaa′=L1,2,,ip=L(),1,2,,pijnpXxi×′′==Ljxijaijajxijajxijaija1iYm2iαFiF4391122mmF=Y+Y++YαααL4.9miiii=1αλλ=∑1,2,,im=L4-104.34.3.1[16]19824400x,0000{(1)(2)()},,...,nxxxx=4.10ix,{(1)(2)()},,...,iiiinxxxx=i=1,2,,m4.110x,ix,0000minmin()()maxmax()()()()()maxmax()()iiikikiiiikxkxkxkxkkxkxkxkxkξξξ−+−=−+−4.12441()ikξkix0xix0xkξ[]ξ∈0,10.5ς≤0minminmin()()iikxkxk∆=−4.130maxmaxmax()()iikxkxk∆=−4.14min∆max∆0xix0minmax()()()maxikxkxkξξξ∆+∆=−+∆4.1511()niikrknξ==∑4.16irix0x4.3.2REW×4.17[]12R,,,TmrrrLm[]12W,,,Tn==∑442E111222(1)(2)()(1)(2)()E(1)(2)()mmmnnnξξξξξξξξξLLMMML4.18()ikξikk*F*F****12,,,nFjjj=L4.19*(1,2,,)kjkn=LkD***121111212nnmmmnjjjjjjDjjj=LLMMML4.20ikjikikjik{}**