南京航空航天大学硕士学位论文长三角城市圈域经济发展的竞合战略研究姓名:赵辉申请学位级别:硕士专业:区域经济学指导教师:徐强20060301iiiAbstractTherearelotsofstudiesaboutthedevelopmentoftheYangtzeDeltametropolitanarea.ButtherearefewproductionsinstudyingtheeconomicdevelopmentoftheYangtzeDeltametropolitanareabyco-operation(competition-cooperation)stratagemonbusinessmanagement.Thusthepaperhasstudiestheco-operationstratagemontheeconomicdevelopmentoftheYangtzeDeltametropolitanarea.Firstly,itanalyseseconomictheoryonmetropolitanaera,CityClusters,co-operationstratagemandconfirmtherangeoftheYangtzeDeltametropolitanarea.Secondly,itcitesalotofdateandcorrelativemodeltoinvestigateanddemonstratethecitycircles’characteristic,economicrelation,trafficcontact,gravitationeffectandsoonamongthe16citiesoftheYangtzeDelta.Thenitexpoundsthedevelopmentconditions,existentproblemsandthepotentialopportunitiesinthefuture.Finally,thepaperputsforwardthesystemsolutionsabouttheco-operationstratagemoneconomicdevelopmentoftheYangtzeDeltametropolitanareainthreesteps.Stepone,itanalysesthebehalfoftheindividualandthewholeoftheYangtzeDeltametropolitanareabygametheoryandaffirmsthefeasibilityandnecessityoftheco-operationstratagem;Steptwo,thepaperbringsforwardtheprojectontheco-operationstratagemfromboththemacroscopicalandmicrocosmicangle;Stepthree,theoreticanalysisandpositiveresearcharecombined.Policyandadviceaboutco-operationstratagemarebroughtforwardontheporteconomicdevelopmentoftheYangtzeDeltametropolitanarea.TheconclusionofthispaperisthattheYangtzeDeltametropolitanareashouldchoosetheco-operationstratagemasthenecessarysteptoavoidtheexcessivecompetitionandrealizetheintegrationofregionaleconomy,andshouldimpelallthe16citiestocooperateandcompeteatthesametimetorealizethe“multi-win”.Keywords:theYangtzeDelta,metropolitanarea,co-operationstratagemeconomicdevelopment,gametheory,multi-winofthewholemetropolitanarea,vi1.11.23.13.23.34.14.24.3AB14.4AB24.54.64.714.824.934.104.114.124.134.143.120033.23.33.4162004GDP3.53.63.7153.8153.9GDPGDP3.10vii3.113.123.133.143.152003....12135%2004322002-2003202020J.Gottmann2megalopolisJ.Gottmann19E.Noward,1898P.Geddes,1915W.Christaller,193319511957J.GottmannMetropolisTG.Mc.GeeDesakotaMegaurbanregion3MetropolitanStatisticalAreaMSAPrimaryMetropolitanStatisticalAreaPMSAConsolidatedMetropolitanStatisticalAreaCMSAMSACMSA80MetropolisInterlockingRegion45612345157J.H.von.T.hunenA.WeberA.LoschW.Christaller1960B.Berry(W.Garrison)81957J.Gottmannmetropolis1951·F.Perroux9J.R.P.FriedmannG.Myrdal(A.O.Hirschman)80198019851990()1090·Adan.M.Brandanburger·Barry.J.N.alebuffco-operationCataniaBocconiJ.Gottmann1957,1961,1976MegaurbanRegionsT.G.Megee,198719911992200112311199815161516038049610+315+nn=115+1151123.12003km2km21341.86340503.75790572.26598642.816598591.08488549.19365442.54650433.88526346.24375333.03915777.68910256.85817267.2384397.122200453.66634552.694118161.01314601295339600000133.13.2150km100km2100km150km3150km200km4200km300km143.31312373.2153.4162004GDPGDPGDPGDP()GDP7450.325.9%11173.84.1%93450.012.0%21100.63.8%102515.08.7%31050.63.7%112350.08.2%4788.12.7%122158.07.5%5781.22.7%131910.06.6%6705.22.5%141313.94.6%7590.72.1%151226.14.38212.00.7%1628775.5100%3.5GDP7000200020001000200010003.6163.612J.StwartbijjiijdPPkI=2ijjjiiijdEPEPI×=173.715PGDP2004EdI1341.87450.3572.21910.029537.988642.82515.0190111.365591.03450.0571389.581442.52350.0118231.562346.21100.615779.186777.61226.1116229.433267.2781.222428.7912453.6788.128024.1113503.7705.225329.4411549.12158.025951.317433.81313.926334.519333.01050.6100187.014256.8590.719432.721097.1212.02606.7115552.61173.850010.19143.815100301819960381619T21560750910203.9GDPGDP2002GDP()2003GDP()2004GDP()19145237982877510571211665713651518.2%20.4%21.1%3.10200497.00299.24195.484200387.51598.92192.452200298.90182.94686.685200199.70173.38773.886200099.83167.47970.987199595.62283.61378.295199083.79269.65675.643198599.92174.20785.383213.112679123257823572005-3-31223.1219901995200020012002200311719324996302728438547500888584125573533113572718513414601721289034832830515808857512316918911733717146368373594944139642462345584510270711848220717629440263619098832498611289029556412559535666344165222947311540722180419594216522715222620552989435877801354833028863273374623746447838751825270224577857057758421167874744446102104581848928324124268646748004186162363459449228575167107801576020319379589219241406104522235056419467551293468812513311724747348700375210040715004687800527430053505006.4%15.0%16.6%19.9%23.7%32.2%23163243.131990199542237581111023819889131951281484169993291410810287319785041504197599575015624023121950512318218838129959151108309548745351275737228416011952619394867107539500020630001054401000290600011.8%14.5%13.8%11.3%13.1%13.6%200020033620410224767572438737851728149652168753921339333648301001910773034175842596875426505381295793927864155247142041549735725666400361147611197610351938933114204301041463000556100015527250001108600014.1%13.2%13.7%12.4%12.3%12.8%253.14GDP()GDP()73019881600198822041198869019871134198716850198711861990559319914717719911341.77200375520035644200326302