中国核电-发展01-2020年中国核能发展战略研究

©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(,,100037),,,2020,:051©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(InChinese)WANGYongpingZHAOShoufengYUANYujunRAOShuangLIUQunDINGRuijie(ChinaInstituteofNuclearInformationandEconomics,Beijing,100037)ABSTRACTThroughtheanalysisofthenuclearpowersituationofChina,itisempha2sizedthatthenuclearpowerdevelopmentstrategyisanimportantpartofelec2tricpowerdevelopmentstrategyandnationalenergysecuritystrategyinChina,butnuclearpowerdevelopmentinaccelerantwaywillfacegreaterchallenge.Theuraniumdemandandsupply,thetreatmentanddisposalofradioactivewastes,andotherprimaryproblemsthrough2020inChinaarediscussed.Thenuclearpowerdevelopmentstrategytill2020aredescribed.Therelevantmeas2uresandrecommendationsareproposed.Keywords:Energy,Nuclearenergy,Nuclearenergydevelopmentstrategy151©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(US/kg)4080130(RAR)173.0245.8316.92(EAR2)79.3107.9141.9252.3353.7458.8458.82(EAR2)147.5225.5(SR)443.7310.2979.4252.3501.21128.0310.21438.2:2003IAEA,80US/kg353.7,354566,3.650,50,238U,40,;,,,,,,,2.1.2,2020,4000,4%20052020:201020112100,201220203100,20203100202120253100;,2005910;5;,400t;185t451©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:,,,,,,:;,,,,,;,,,,,,:2.2,,551©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:,-,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,2.3,20,,1%,2%,6%7%,17%,(),,,,:(1),,,,,,,,(2),,651©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(3),,,,,,,,;,,;,,,,33.1,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,3.2(1),,,,,,,,,,,,,,;,751©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(2),,,,20052015(3),,,,2010,,,,,2015,,201520202020,2050,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(4),,,,,2020,,,,,,,,,(5),,,,851©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(6),,,,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,(7),,,,,,,,,,,(8),,;;,,,,951