:100725429(2003)0420010205:2002-10-09;:2003-01-14:(79970111):(1963-),,,,,,(,430070):,,,;,,,,,:;;;:F240:AForewarningManagementofEnterprisesÄHumanResourceCrisesLUOFan,SHELian(SchoolofManagement,WuhanUniversityofTechnology,Wuhan430070,China)Abstract:Withthestatisticaldataofthequestionnairescollected,themainproblemsofhumanresourcemanagementinChinaÄsenterprisesareanalyzed,includingdefectsofhumanresourceorganization,weaklinksbetweenhumanresourcedevelopmentandmanagement,low2efficiencyofinspiringmechanism,incompetencyofmanagementskillsofmanagersandexecutives,aswellasincreasinglyseverebraindrain.Alloftheproblemsareindicationsofhumanresourcecrises.Onthebasisofthisanalysis,themodelofforewarningmanagementsystemofhumanresourceisproposed.Theforewarningindexsystemisconstructedincludinghumanresourceorganization,developmentandmanagement.Thecountermeasuresofforewarningmanagementagainsthumanresourcecrisesarediscussed.Thestudyistopromotetherealizationofeffectivefunctionandefficientoperationofthehumanresourcemanagementsysteminenterprises.Keywords:enterprises;humanresource;crises;forewarningmanagement,,,[1][2],,[3],,,,,,,1,,,20016-9200,348,58%01IndustrialEngineeringandManagementNo.4,200320034();,64.65%,22.14%,13.21%;,78.73%,9.48%,3.44%,3.44%,4.89%1112345678910,,(1),(1-3,100%)(1),,(51.82%)(35.04%)(27.74%),,,1(2)(2),(45.62%)(17.52%),(17.15%)2(3),(3),(57.66%),,3(4),,(4)4(5)11IndustrialEngineeringandManagementNo.4,200320034,(5),(35.77%)(10.58%),5(6),(6),6,,39.37%,;30.46%,;25.57%,,,,,,,,2[5],,77,,,,,,,:,,,,,,;,,,3,,;;3,3,,10,,,26,,8,,,21,:8,,4,,99(1),,4,;,,,;,,,,,,,(2),,,,,,,,,,,;,,;,,,,,,,,10%1(),5%5(),,,31IndustrialEngineeringandManagementNo.4,2003200345,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,150(11,20),,10,,,,:,,,,,,5,,,,,,,,,,,,:[1].[M].:,1999.[2],.[J].,2001,(7).[3].[J].,2000,(3).[4]SheL.SystemReconstructionforEnterpriseOrganization:ForewarningManagementandSystemAnalysis[J].InternationalJournalofGeneralSystems,2000,29(3).(9)5,,,,,,,,,,,:[1].[M].:,1999.29-64.[2],.[M].:,,1998.23-32,730-741.[3],.[M].:,2000.110-123.[4],,.[J].,1998,(2):65-66.[5],,.[J].,2000,8(1):3-5.[6].[M].:,,1996.207-228.41,: