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20049265ModernEconomicScienceSep.,2004Vol126No15:2004206221:(1951-),,,(,100872):,,,GDP,,,,,,:;;:F045.51:A:100222848(2004)0520047205,,,,,,,:,,,:1.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,2.,,,,,,,1994,,,,,74,,,3.GDP,,,,,,GDP,GDPGDP,GDP,,,,,,,,;,,,?GDP,GDP,GDP,GDP,GDPGDPGDP,GDP,GDP,,,GDPGDP,,,,,,,,,,,,,,:,,,,,,,,,,GDP,,GDP84:,,,66,,1989,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,94:,(),27-28,:,,51-53,,,1988,,,,,,,,,,,,:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,:1.,,,GDP,,,,,,;;,2.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,3.,,,,,,,,,05::,,100-101,,,,,,,,4.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,5.,,,,,,,,,:,,,,,,,(:)(46)3,,,3,[1],.[J].,2004,(2):36-41.[2].[J].,2003,(4):31-36.[3]LinBing-Huei.FittingtermstructureofinterestratesusingB-splines:thecaseofTaiwaneseGovernmentbonds[J].AppliedFinancialEconomics.2002,12(1):57-75.[4]McCullochJR.Measuringthetermstructureofinterestrates[J].TheJournalofBusiness,1971,44(1):19-34.[5]VasicekOA,FongHG.TermstructureModelingUsingExponentialsplines[J].TheJournalofFinance.1982,52(5):339-350(:)15,,12,,TheEstimationontheInterest2rateTermStructureCurveofOurTBondsWANGJian2xi,WANGXiao2xuan(SchoolofEconomicsandFinance,XianJiaotongUniversity,Xian710061,China)Abstract:Inthispaper,accordingtothedataoftreasurybondandcallablebondinthemarketofShanghaiSecuritiesExchanges,theinterest2ratetermstructurecurveisestimatedwithacertainspecificdatathroughchoosingdifferentsplintfunction.Wehaveex2aminedthesegmentationfittingfunction,pointingoutthattherearesomecharacteristicsinourestimation.Theresultshowsthattheestimatedtermstructureofinterestratescanreflectmarketinterestrates.Keywords:interest2ratetermstructure;estimation;splintfunctionAnAnalysisontheBehavioroftheLocalGovernmentundertheCurrentInstitutionalFrameworkLIYi2ping(SchoolofEconomics,ChinaRenminUniversity,Beijing100872,China)Abstract:Ithasbeenshownbythepreviousreformprocessandactthatthelocalgovernmenthasplayedimproperlyapartofmarketentities,whichproducessomeirrationalphenomena,suchasseekingblindlyforGDP,pursuingatanycostbrightspotandsplendor,adoptingclosed2doorpoliciesandlocalprotectionism,andsoon.Thispaperholdsthatundertheframeworkofmarketecon2omysystem,thelocalgovernmentshouldntbeamarketentity,andthepartitplaysshouldberepositionedandfurtherreformed.Keywords:localgovernment;behavioralanalysis;marketroleTheChangingoftheCreditSystemintheChinesePatriarchalSocietyConcurrentlyontheEffectoftheArrangementofCreditSysteminPatriarchalSocietyontheContemporaryChineseSocietyHUJian,GONGLei(SchoolofEconomicManagement,XianPetroleumUniversity,Xian710065,China)Abstract:IntheevaluationoftheChinesepatriarchalsociety,hasgraduallyformedtheinstitutionalstructurewiththeinflexibleasprimarywhileflexibleassubsidiary.Insuchastructurethecreditchainandsystempresenttheiruniquelinkingmethodandbind2ingclauses.Undersuchcultureandethics,andthemarketeconomysysteminfullswing,Chinascreditsystemframeworkremainstoberestructured.Keywords:etiquette;code;institution;creditAModelofIndustrialNetworkFormationBasedonContractionTheory:TheViewpointofOverallCostGAIYi2zhong,SUIGuang2jun(ResearchInstituteofEnterpriseExpansion,JinanUniversity,Guangzhou519632,China)Abstract:Industrialnetworkisamodeofresourcesallocationbetweenmarketandenterprise.Itisdefectivefortraditionaltrans2actioncosteconomicstoexplaintheformationofindustrialnetworkonlywiththeviewpointoftransactioncost.Theformationofin2dustrialnetworkshouldbeexplainedonthebasisoftheviewpointofcontractiontheoryinthetwoaspectsoftransactioncostandpro2ductioncost.Keywords:industrialcost;transactioncost;productioncost;resourcesallocation901