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21Vol.2No.120051COMPLEXSYSTEMSANDCOMPLEXITYSCIENCEJan.2005:1672-3813(2005)01-0010-08(,221008):,;;,;:;;:N94:ASurveyandProspectontheScienceofComplexitySONGXue2feng(SchoolofManagement,ChinaUniversityofMiningandTechnology,Xuzhou221008,China)Abstract:Inthispaper,firstly,thebasicconceptsofComplexity,ComplexSystem,andtheScienceofComplexityarere2searchedandputforward.Secondly,thecontents,basicprinciplesandmethodologiesareconcluded.Thirdly,theresearchsituationofthescienceofcomplexityissurveyed.Finally,someimportantopenquestionsaregivenandthewaystodevelopthescienceareputforward.Keywords:complexity;complexsystem;thescienceofcomplexity1(ScienceofComplexity),[1,2],21[3],,,,,,[4],,:2004-12-14:(2001);(2000):(1963-),,,,,,,();5,8021:22.1207080,,,1975,(Li)(York),-[7],(Chaos)1976,(R.M.May)-,-[8](Ruelle)(Takens),:(Stutzer)(Day)(Benhabib)(Shafer)(Wolff)(Woodford)(Deneckere)(Peliman)20801990(Ott)(Greebogi)(Yorke),OGY,(IlyaPrigogine)Brussels,,,1984(MurrayGell2mann)(PhilipAnderson)(Arrow),,,Agent,Agent,Agent,,,,,,,,Agent,,,,(CAS),,,(BrainArther),,,,,(MurrayGell2mann)(GeorgeCowan)(PhilipAnderson),,AgentEmergence()(Holland),,(ChrisLong2ton),,,,(Fammer)-(PerBak)(Kauffman)Agent,,,,1120051,,,,GeorgeMasonWarfield1976::[9],MalaskaKinnunen(1986);StreufertSwezey1986;LoyeEisler(1987);Warfield(1990),;Richards(1990);Mosekilde(1991);KielElliott(1992);Kiel(1993,1994);Comfort(1993);WarfieldCrdenas(1994),[10];Thi2etartForgues(1995);Stacey(1996),,,,;,;,,[11]Sackmann(1997),,[12];Axlord(1997),;Holland(1998):;Flood,Carson(1988,1993)Gharajedaghi(1999)[13](GeorgeMasonUniversity)(JohnN.Warfield),[14]11Li2York,R.May,M.J.FeigenbaumR.DayPiece,VickersWarfield,Senge,MeadowsForresterKauffman,ArthurHolland,Cowen2.22090,[15],1997,,,,,2121::2.2.1()2080,1983[16],1990(Chaos),19921998,,;,,19901996[17];[18];[19],,;[20],,,,[21],,,,,,,,,[22],HEIFE[23,24]2.2.2[25-29],,,3,1),,;2),,,,;3),,,,,2.2.3,,,,,(1988),[30],(1992-1998),,,,,,,,,[6,31,32];(1993),3120051[33](2000)[34](1994)(1994),(1994-2002)(2002)[34-41]:1992,;,1999,,[1],[42,43];[44,45],[46],,2001620028,,2.3,,,,,:1),,:,2),,3),,,4),5),6),:(1):???;(2),;(3),;(4),;;,;,,,,,,,,,,;;,,,,,,,4121:33.1,,,,,1)2),3)4)5),3.21):(1);(2);(3);(4);(5);(6);(7);(8)2)():(1);(2);(3);(4);(5);(6),,3):(1);(2);(3);(4)4):(1);(2);(3);(4);(5);(6);(7),3.31),,2),,,,3),,,,,;,,;,,,4),,,,,5),,,5120051,,,,3.41):,,,2):(Group),,,233):,,,4):,5):,:6),,:,,,,,7),:,,8),:,:,,,,,;;,,,,,,,:[1],.[M],:,1999.1-8.[2].[J].,1999,12(2):1-6.[3].21,[M].:,1998.182-207.[4].[J].,2003,17(5):262-269.[5].[J].,2000,22(6):87-92.[6].[M].:,1996.1-156.[7]LiT2Y,JamesAYork.Periodthreemeanschaos[J].AmericanMathematicalMonthly,1975,82:985-992.[8]MayRM.Simplemathematicalmodelswithverycomplicateddynamics[J].Nature,1976,261:959-967.[9]WarfieldJN.SocietalSystems:Planning,Policy,andComplexity[M].NewYork:WileyInter2science,1976.1-256.[10]WarfieldJN,RoxanaCrdenas.AHandbookofInteractiveManagement[M].Ames,IA:IowaStateUniversityPress,1994.1-283.[11]StaceyRD.ComplexityandCreativityinOrganizations[M].SanFranciso:BerretKoehlerPublishers,1996.1-290.[12]SackmannS.CulturalComplexityinOrganizations[M].SagePublications,1997.1-312.6121:[13]FloodC.DealingWithComplexity(2nd)[M].NewYork:PlenumPress,1993.1-332.[14]WarfieldJN.Twentylawsofcomplexity:scienceapplicableinorganizations[J].SystemsResearchandBehavioralScience,1999,16:3-40.[15],,.[J].,1990,13(1):3-10.[16].[J].,1983,3(3):329-406.[17].[M].:,1996.1-285.[18].[M].:,1992.1-326.[19].()[J].,1996,16(1,2):1-74,137-202.[20].[J].,2001,8(3,4):9-28,471-489.[21].[J].,1998,18(1):25-31.[22].(I)[J].,1999,28(5):421-424.[23].[J].,1998,16(1):26-34.[24],.HEIFE[J].,1998,17(4):397-402.[25],,.[J].,1997,14(3):193-196.[26],.[J].,1997,14(1):56-58.[27],,.[J].,1997,17(5):60-64.[28],,.[J].,2000,22(3):1-2.[29],,.[J].,1999,24(3):264-266.[30]ChenP.Empiricalandtheoreticalevidenceofmonetarychaos[J].SystemDynamicReview,1988,47:88-96.[31].[J].,1998,7(4):1-5.[32].[J].,1998,27(2):119-122.[33],.[M].:,1993.1-315.[34].[M].:,2000.1-619.[35].[J].,1994,10(2):23-26.[36],.[J].,1994,10(1):64-67.[37],.[J].,1993,(3):49-51.[38],.500(S&D500)[J].,1993,9(3):35-42.[39],.[J].,2000,3(1):53-57.[40],.[J].,2002,5(4):412-414.[41],,.[J].,2002,5(1):1-11.[42]MichaelMcMaster.:[M].,.:,2000.1-309.[43]StaceyR.[M].,,.:,2000.1-250.[44].[M].:,1997.1-224.[45].[M].:,2001.1-202.[46],.[J].,1998,1(1):31-42.71