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2005131107~118AdvancesinPsychologicalScience*1,2,31110010120710003100039B842.3.[1]200120024,457,5794,336,71265.61%65.99%7.90%8.18%132001200234.2933.362004-08-25∗9732002CB31210360433030302704660302037E-mail:fuxl@psych.ac.cn[2,3]107-108-200511.1[4]BeccariaBentham[5]Freudlibido[6][7]KantHegel[4][8]1.2normativerationalityboundedrationality131-109-criminalexpertise[9][10][11]SimonPaternoster[10]Carroll[12]Carroll[12][9]22.1GaryBecker[13]Becker-110-2005VonNewmann-Morgebstern[13]Becker1968[14]BeckerHeinekeHeinekeEhrlichmodeloftimeallocation[14]VonNewmannMorgenstern[14]2.2CornishClarke[9,15][15]CornishClarke19861[16]1DCornish&R.Clarke(eds.)1986.TheReasoningCriminal.NewYork:Springer-Verlag.131-111-Merton[17]Merton[17]CornishClarke[16]2.3VonNewmannMorgenstern1944[18]LattimoreWitte[12]LattimoreWitte2.3.1Ehrlich1973[19]SchmidtWitte1984[20]EhrlichSchmidtWitteUWTU=U(WT)WT-112-20052.3.2LattimoreWitteKahnemanTverskyalternativemodelsvaluablefunctionweightingfunction[21][21]JohnsonPayne[22,23]2.3.3[9]3processtracing3.1[24]3.2monitoringinformationacquisitionverbalprotocolsarchiveanalysis3.2.1131-113-[24]X[24]3.2.2[24]EricssonSimon[27][9][25][22][23]19731985[9,24]12345[22,26]6[9,26]CarrollWeaver[9]-114-2005[27]3.2.3[28]3.3[10][27,29][12]Payne[9]3.4131-115-[30][18]500A6010040500B154004540500AB3.5[10][16]44.1[31]4.2-116-200512[2]3[32]4[28]5839[33]6[34][28]131-117-[1]20032003829[2]2002(4)41~46[3]2002(5)32~41[4]In~5[5]1998225[6]1982368~382[7]200313~7[8]1996103[9]LattimoreP,WitteAD.Modelsofdecisionmakingunderuncertainty:Thecriminalchoice.In:~155[10]CarrollJ,WeaverF.Shoplifters’perceptionsofcrimeopportunities:Aprocessing-tracingstudy.In:PartOneEmpiricalStudiesofCriminalDecisionMaking~25[11]SimonHA.Abehavioralmodelofrationalchoice.QuarterlyJournalofEconomics.1955,69(1):343[12]CarrollJA.Apsychologyapproachtodeterrence:Theevaluationofcrimeopportunity.JournalofPersonalityandSocialPsychology.36121512~1520[13]BeckerGSCrimeandpunishment:Aneconomicapproach.JournalofPoliticalEconomic.76(2):169~217[14]HorvathR,KolomaznikovaE.Individualdecision-makingtocommitacrime:Earlymodels.In:~17[15]CookPJ.Researchoncriminaldeterrence:Layingthegroundworkfortheseconddecade.In:MorrisN,TonryM(eds.).CrimeandJustice:AnAnnualReviewofResearch,Vol2.Chicago:UniversityofChicagoPress,1980.211~268[16]CornishD,ClarkeR.Thedecisiontocommitacrime.In:~2[17]MertonRK1938(10)1998251~252[18]2000322229~234[19]EhrlichI.Participationinillegitimateactivities:Atheoreticalandempiricalinvestigation.JournalofExperimentalPsychology.1973,81:521~565[20]SchmidtP,WitteAD.AnEconomicAnalysisofCrimeandJustice.NewYork:AcademicPress.1984[21]KahnemanD,TverskyA.Prospecttheory:Ananalysisofdecisionunderrisk.Econometrica.1979,47(2):236~291[22]PayneJW,RagsdaleEKE.Verbalprotocolsanddirectobservationofsupermarketshoppingbehaviorandsomefindingsanddiscussionofmethods.In:HuntHK(ed.).AdvancesinConsumerResearch,VolumeV.AnneArborMichigan:AssociationforConsumerResearch.1978.571~577[23]JohnsonPE,HassebrockF,DuranASetcMultimethodstudyofclinicaljudgment.OrganizationalBehaviorandHumanPerformance,1982,30:201~230[24]2002222~256[25]ClarksonGPortfolioselection:Asimulationoftrustinvestment.EnglewoodCliffsNJ:Prentice-Hall.1962.[26]NewellA,SimonHA.Humanproblemsolving.EnglewoodCliffs,NJ:Prentice-Hall,1972.[27]EricssonKA,SimonHA.Verbalreportsasdata.-118-2005PsychologicalReview,1980,84:231~259[28]RussoJE199856~65[29]OrneMT.Onthesocialpsychologyofthepsychologicalexperiment:demandcharacteristicsandtheirimplications.In:MillerAG.(ed.)TheSocialPsychologyofPsychologicalResearch.NewYork:Macmillan,1972.233~246[30]LiS,AdamsASIstheresomethingmoreimportantbehindframing?OrganizationalBehaviorandHumanDecisionProcesses,1995,62:216~219[31]2003813142003/9/2[32]20033262~266[33]200381~91[35]Therationalchoiceperspective.DevelopmentandStatisticsDirectorate.TheHomeOfficePolicingandReducingCrimeUnitResearch.In:(1CognitivePsychologyDivision,InstituteofPsychology,ChineseAcademyofSciences,Beijing,China100101)(2CriminologyDivision,CentralInstituteofJudicialPoliceOfficer,Baoding,Hebei,China071000)(3GraduateSchool,ChineseAcademyofSciences,Beijing,China100039)Abstract:Criminalbehaviorisaresultofcriminaldecision-making.Basedontheprinciplesofcognitivepsychology,thestudiesoncriminaldecision-makingaimtoexplainthedecision-makingprocessandtheinfluencingfactors.Theoutputoftheresearchcanbeusedastheoreticalbasisofmakingcriminaljusticepoliciesandcrimepreventionsystem.Therehavebeenthreekindsoftheoriesofcriminalchoice