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Logistic()Logistic,,Logistic,,,LogisticlogitLogistic1LogisticLogisticLogit,Logisticy,Logistic,),,Logistic,Logit;,LogisticLogisticLogity,Logitlogit:Logitlogit,J-1LogitJLogit,J-1logit:2Logistic140,,Logistic,2.1,,,,,,,(2);;,,1:1(n)(%)11080.292719.716950.366849.647554.746245.262014.68461.313324.094432.129367.882820.4410979.563827.747151.822820.44:1,2.,1,80.29%,1060%,,8130%,20%32.12%,,,2.2Logit,yy,,,LogitLogitLogit,,,:;Logit,,SPSS()logit,logit,Logit:2.3Logistic2.3.1,,,,(2,,27,),(LOC11)(LOC22.622)Logit,,(,P0.05),0.163;,,(exp(B)=8.155),,(exp(B)=4.187)2.3.2,,,,,,,1.530(3.050),,,2.3.3,(ENG11),,,,,(2,),,MEAN,(1.035),,,10Logit,(3.931),,,32.656!,(),5,,,5,,5,,,,,[1],.Logistic-[M].,2001.[2],.[M].,2001.[3].Logistic[J].,1996(12).91