我国新能源发展现状及前景_李春曦

28420124ElectricPowerScienceandEngineeringVol.28No.4Apr．20121071003、、、、。、、。TK019A2012－03－05。1973-、[e-mail]。0、。20102793.9t317435.3t37793.2m313.3%1.1%1.5%。、、、、1。2007-201017.8%4.0%6.3%5.9%201134.8t20107%。、、2007-201093.2%92.3%92.2%91.4%。、、。12007-2010Tab．1Consumptionandconstitutionofenergyfrom2007-2010/t/%200728050871.118.83.36.8200829144870.318.33.77.7200930664770.417.93.97.8201032493968.019.04.48.611.1、、、、。2。2。。GDP“”·NEWENERGYTECHNOLOGY2201211.1%“”8.5%。2Tab．2TypesandutilizationsofnewenergyinChina、、、、、、、、20032004“”、。201146928kW·h11.7%3000kW20125000kW。。1.21.2.12006《》《》、《》《》2。《》、3。2/kW·h2009114/kW·h20121《》4/kW·h8/kW·h。4～7332007-2010。32007-2010Tab．3Feed-intariffsofnewenergypowergenerationfrom2007-2010inChina/MW·h2007617.58436.23——346.332008542.48449.24764.42764.42354.602009553.61429.39570.11570.11377.152010610.00432.201170.00750.00394.77201084。。42007-2010Tab．4Installedcapacityofnewenergyenergyfrom2007-2010inChinaMW20075610885010022005560702008839088501453150602860200917600908030043006510802010295801082070055007096701.2.21。90010m100W/m232.26kW2.53kW7.5kW10kW。2000h2500h0.51.8kW·h2.3kW·h201054.4%·NEWENERGYTECHNOLOGY43。、、1。。1Fig．1ProvincesrichinresourcesofwindinChina280。20035kW。2006～2009420101290418927.99MW37.1%571.2%20103448544733.29MW73.3%577.5%9。2011188kW·h60.4%、、30～505。。3。。20111600300kW2。7.5kW3。2010———102MW。201013.8kW、、。2015500kW20203000kW。。。、。、。。、、、。IEC61400-17。。1.2.3150×1018kJ109210MJ/m2。5。5、、5020MJ/m22200h2/3·NEWENERGYTECHNOLOGY42012。、。5Tab．5DistributionofsolarenergyresourcesinChina/MJ·m－2/h、、、6700～83703200～3300、、、、、、、5860～67003000～3200、、、、、、、、、、、、5020～58602200～3000、、、4190～50201400～2200、3350～41901000～14002195819712。。200814.5kW。2009320097“”201MW200910MW2010“”、。。2009160MW20082010500MW。3。11。1968SPS2。2Fig．2Diagramofspacepowergeneration30。。205030。。、。。。《“”》20151000kW300kW20205000kW2500kW。2010·NEWENERGYTECHNOLOGY4530kW2015。、。1.2.41、、。、、、、12。650t/33t。6t4t9t3t。21987199819991MW1MW13。2003、32006《》。200787220kW15302010550kW20072.5。3。。、、、、“”。10.6、、。、14。。、。、、。1.2.511112。20060%。700t。2801983。、、198519871994。2007《》。20101328。34GW2EPR4AP100070GW201540GW·NEWENERGYTECHNOLOGY62012202070GW。3。《》20208600kW4000kW。1000kW8600kW8。。20208600kW5200～6000t20201/3。50%15300～500m、。、、、。。19862011。。。《》。。。《》16。2、、。1。。2011《》、、、、、、7。。“”。。2CDM。、、、、。2009122020CO2200540%～45%。。、。CDM17～18·NEWENERGYTECHNOLOGY47“+”“”“”。319、。、、3。3Fig．3Fossilenergy'sservicelifeofworldandChina、、、。216050%。。4、。。“”“”202011.4%15%、“”。320、。20202.9kW17%8600kW1.5kW2000kW3000kW。、、、、。、、。。、、。1．J．2010284137-140．HanFang．DevelopmentstatusandprospectofrenewableenergyinChinaJ．RenewableEnergyResources2010284137-140．2．J．2009511-14．3、R．20111-26．42010R．20111-31．52009R．20101-46．62008R．20091-30．72007R．20081-42．82010R．20111-50．·NEWENERGYTECHNOLOGY8201292010R．2011．10．J．200830156-59．DingJingCheJuntieZhangJiyue．TheoverviewofthetechniqueofsolarenergygeneratingelectricityJ．WorldSci-TechR＆D200830156-59．11．J．200827181-84．LuHuayongYuanYueChenZhifeietal．ResearchonthesolarpowergenerationtechnologyJ．JiangsuE-lectricalEngineering200827181-84．12．J．200928101687-1692．YuanZhenhongLuoWenLuPengmeietal．StatusandprospectofbiomassenergyindustryJ．ChemicalIndustryandEngineeringProgress200928101687-1692．13．J．200828S2110-113．DingXiaowenLiWeiTangZhenwu．Applicationad-vancesanddevelopmentprospectofbiomassenergypowergenerationtechnologyJ．ModernChemicalIndustry200828S2110-113．14．J．20101250-54．LiLinZhengJi．CurrentsituationandsuggestionsonbioenergyindustryinChinaJ．ChinaEnvironmentalProtectionIndustry20101250-54．15．J．20101245-8．HeHongZhangShoutingWeiLongmingetal．Devel-opmentstatusandsuggestionsfornuclearpowerJ．Re-sources＆Industries20101245-8．16．J．201033281-86．ZhengMingguangYeChengHanXu．ThedevelopmentofnuclearpowerasanalternativeenergyJ．NuclearTechniques201033281-86．17．J．20102849-12．ZengMingYangLingling．Presentsituationandpros-pectsofcarbonemissionstradingJ．ShanxiElectricPower20102849-12．18．J．200518926-2743．WeiWei．Exploitationofnewenergyresourcesbyinvest-mentprojectsofcleandevelopmentmechanismJ．GuangdongElectricPower200518926-2743．19．J．201051-6．GaoWenyongShanBaoguo．CharacteristicsofenergysupplyanddemandandadjustmentofenergystructureinchinaJ．JournalofNorthChinaElectricPowerUniver-sitySocialSciences201051-6．20．J．200823129-33．ZhangLixiang．StatusandprospectsofrenewablepowergenerationJ．JournalofElectricPower200823129-33．DevelopmentandProspectsofNewEnergyinChinaLiChunxiWangJiaYeXueminYuQiaoSchoolofEnergyPowerandMechanicalEngineeringNorthChinaElectricPowerUniversityBaoding071003ChinaAbstractIntheprocessofseekinganequilibriumpointbetweenenergyandeconomynewenergythathasadvan-tagesofcleanrenewableenergyandlesspollutionemissionsplaysanimportantroleindevelopinglow-carbone-conomyimprovingenergystructureandpromotingsustainabledevelopment．ThepresentpapersummarizesthemaintypesandutilizationsofnewenergyinChinaandanalyzesthenationalpoliciesonnewenergy．Theresourceconditionsandthestatusofdevelopmentandutilizationofnewenergyincludingwindpowersolarenergybio-massandnuclearareinvestigatedandthefutureprospectsofnewenergydevelopmentisproposed．Keywor