巢湖生态环境变化及趋势预测

1312OO52()Journa1ofAnhuiInstituteofArchitectureSIndustryVo1.13No.1eb.2OO5:2OO4-O6-O9:(1968-)G(23OOO9):~~GCODGGCOD~G:GGGG:X321:A:1OO6-454O(2OO5)O1-O59-O5Chaohulakeecologicalenvironment'schangeandpredictionGENGZhi-ping(Schoo1ofCivi1EngineeringHefeiUniversityoftechno1ogyHefei23OOO9China)Abstract:theCHAOHU1akeasoneofthefivebiggestfreshWater1akesinChinaisfacedWithfourcrisesWhicharepo11utionsupernutritionsi1tationanddrought.Inordertoprotectenvironmentandkeepthesustainab1euti1izationofthe1akeresourcesthepaperpredictsthereductionofCODandphosphoricconcentrationbystatistica1mode1andpredictsthesi1tcontentoftheCHAOHU1akebyWaterandsi1tmode1afterana1ysisthefactorsWhichaffecttheenvironmentoftheCHAOHU1ake.AnditisprovedthatthetWomode1sarefeasib1etopredictCODphosphoricconcentrationandsi1tcontent.Keywords:Chaohu1akeGWaterpu11utionGsi1tcontentGeco1ogyGpredictionGG2O5OGG~GGGGG11.1913Okm24OOOkm2G~~~~~~~1OG~06.8%65.9%0250d01100mm00~~~~~08.31m760km219.0m347.6m300.30kg/m3001.11%0791019~~~~~~208001.2001.2.101.2.21955197912km200~01.2.3~~15050%0:(1);(2);(3)01.2.41.8t018368t1050t00000~~~~~~01.2.5000:(1);(2);(3);(4);(5);(6)0S.E.Jergensew006()131.31960~22.1''7.5~7.8m184km:---'2.2(PD(VDP=0.125V2V=4m/S(3DP=2kg;V=10m/S(5DP12kg;V=33m/S(12DP133.6kg2.32.4'2050205066.7%33.3%30%;20700.14%15.4%84.6%;20802.5%23.3%76.7%30:~~3COD3.1CODCOD~~161:YCOD=3.415+0.013X1+0.038X2-0.136X3(1DX1(D;X2(D;X3(mDO(1DT=0.73380.05CODO199025%;200550%O3.2O3.2.11.681.52mg/L0.1270.046mg/LGB-3838-831.0mg/L0.1mg/LO13.23=1;10=1O10=1~15=1OLiebigO3.2.210P=0.123+0.001X1+0.001X2-0.007X3(2DX1X2X3(1DO(2DT=0.87980.05O19900.173mg/L20050.270mg/LO19902005OO3.3.3L=(tD(km2D=2448.9760=3.22g/(m2aD0.127mg/L0.1mg/LL=1.868g/(m2aDO199020054.34(g/m2aD6.78(g/m2aDO1419t/a199020053323t/a5187t/a199057%200573%O4O~~~OO@S=a@n(3D@S(kg/SD;@(m3/SD;anO~~~41OO~~~~37.4%~32.2%~28.5%OO1/km2an(D11110.01431.760.84(D11110.00891.020.9118100.01111.810.9715100.06541.400.944900.07731.180.91O(Dc1.57~3.26c=1+0.599D0.315010.42(4DD50(mmD1(m/kmDO26(D13**D50=0.39mm*1=2.1m/km*C=1.62**G**G*GG***G*1mm90%*1mm*1mmG*1mm80%*20%*20%G**20%G**T=12z=1[(@Sz-@Sz)t10]-7-0.2T1+T2+T3(5)*T(t);@S~@S~(kg/S);t*2626560S;T1(t);T2(t);T3(t)G33*260t*C=1.62*100t**160t*60t*100tG1000aG5**;***;*;*;****G*G1.[J].*1990*9(1):34~38.2WangDO.OptimizationoftheecologicalSyStemoflakeCHAOHU[J].JEH*1994*2(2):37~40.3.[J].*1994*14(3):177~181.4.[M].:*1995.259~264.5.[M].:*1990.305~310.6.[M].:*1989.280~287.7.[M].:*1991.308~309.361:巢湖生态环境变化及趋势预测作者：耿治平，GENGZhi-ping作者单位：合肥工业大学土木建筑工程学院,合肥,230009刊名：安徽建筑工业学院学报（自然科学版）英文刊名：JOURNALOFANHUIINSTITUTEOFARCHITECTURE&INDUSTRY(NATURALSCIENCE)年，卷(期)：2005,13(1)被引用次数：2次参考文献(7条)1.王大齐引江济巢工程的生态环境影响研究19912.王大齐巢湖流域生态经济发展模式探讨19893.屠清瑛巢湖富营养化研究19904.王大齐水资源水文学19955.王大齐巢湖生态系统之优化1994(03)6.WangDQOptimizationoftheecologicalsystemoflakeCHAOHU19947.王大齐巢湖淤积预测1990(01)引证文献(2条)1.杨书运.司友斌.杨克凤.张震.章立干合肥地区太阳能资源对沼气生产潜力影响初探[期刊论文]-可再生能源2009(4)2.张洪.单保庆淡水湖泊富营养化成灾过程及其灾害效应评价[期刊论文]-灾害学2008(3)本文链接：