:2003-05-10;:2003-10-25:(59890200);(40271013);(99000149):(1975-),,,2001来红州,莫多闻,苏成(,100871):,(3~10mm/a),,,,/4350080,1179mm/a,:;;;;:P546;P34313:1000-0585(2004)01-0078-09,,,,,,,,,[1~13][14~17],/0,1/0,,18780km2[18],/0(1958,/0),,/0,(1),,/,0/,0,6789,451011,12123[18~20],:,,,[4~8]:,,,23120041GEOGRAPHICALRESEARCHVol123,No11Jan1,20041(20021TM)Fig11ThegeomorphologicalmapoftheDongtingBasin[9~13],,/0/0/0,,,,/0(1),,/02000/0,,/0/0/0,(12),,(1),,,,,80312km,676141km,8412%;11611km,1415%[21],,,,,,1:7932m,,2510160km2,1288190km2,907120km2,314150km2[22],400km2[23]/0,/0,(12)/0/0,2,,,,,,,,,,,,,:,,,,2Fig12TheillustrationoftheevolutionarytheoryofLakeDongting,/0,,,,,/0,,/0,,,,,,,/0,,/0,2,,,;,,;100,,8023,;,,,211,,,,),,,,170km8715km,,[18],,,,,,,,,3115m,11000km2,[5],,,,,/0,/0,,,,1953~1977,1~8mm/a[19]195619571960ÒÓ,3mm/a,,11mm/a[7]19521974~1976,10mm/a[4~6],,,,,[19],,,:,3~10mm/a,,,212,,,100,,,,1:81/0,,,,,,2050,,8090,110572@108t/a017402@108t/a,[24]1991~1998,2875@108m3/a,21160%,65167%110028@108t/a,73124%,22197%90017402@108t/a,015287@108m3/a(114t/m3),73181%[24]118780@104km2,,,2182mm/a3~10mm/a,015634~118780@108m3/a,(015287@108m3/a),,,,/0/01/7,,1983~1995,3511%,6419%,2310%,3218%,911%[25]2090015287@108m3/a,,011856@108m3/a,013431@108m3/a[22],:011216@108m3/a,9143mm/a;011734@108m3/a,19111mm/a;010392@108m3/a,12146mm/a,,,,,,(3~10mm/a),,;,,,,,,,/0,,/0,,9143mm/a,(1),,,,,19111mm/a,,,,,8223,,,(1),,,12146mm/a,,(1);,,,,,(1)213,,2000,,,,[26~34],,(144Ma~2000a),,,;(2000a),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,/,0,2002/43500;,,[35~39]/43500,,,,,,,,65%30%,2090012875@108m3/a,110028@108t/a,017402@108t/a[38]:1~10012417@108m3/a,016473@108t/a,012626@108t/a,1~82011675@108t/a,011196@108m3/a,20026/43500,,2003~20101:83,12,,19494350km2/43500,19494350km2,011196@108m3,1179mm/a,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,8412%,,,,,/43500,,,/0,3(1)/0/0,,,,/0,/0,/0/0,(2),,,(3):9143mm/a,19111mm/a,12146mm/a,(3~10mm/a),,;,(4)/4350080,19494350km2,1179mm/a,:[1],,11,1984,13(1):54~611[2]11,1986,5(3):39~451[3]11:,198911~2401[4],,,1)))1()1:,19951165~1781[5],,,11,2001,32(6):690~6961[6],,,11()1:,842319951186~1941[7]11,1997,16(3):142~1461[8]11,1998,17(4):211~2161[9],,,11,1984,15(6):527~5391[10],,11,1994,6(1):13~211[11],,11,1995,4(1):64~681[12],111:,1999196~1001[13]DuYun,CaiShuming,ZhangXiaoyang,etal1InterpretationoftheenvironmentalchangeofDongtingLake,middlereachofYangtzeRiver,China,by210Pbmeasurementandsatelliteimageanalysis1Geomorphology,2001,41:171~1811[14],,1-1,2000,19(2):189~1931[15],,,11,2000,(12):48~521[16],,1112002,35(2):30~351[17]YinHongfu,LiChangan1HumanimpactonfloodsandflooddisastersontheYangtzeRiver1Geomorphology,2001,41:105~1091[18]1111990110~111[19]1111991166~681[20]11,1992,23(6):626~6331[21],,11,1999,(5):31~361[22],11,2002,21(1):46~501[23],11,2002,(1):57~601[24],,1-1(),2002,35(3):6~81[25],,1(1956~1995)1,1999,11(3):199~2051[26]ThomasE1Gill1Eoliansedimentsgeneratedbyanthropogenicdisturbanceofplayas:humanimpactsonthegeomorphicsystemandgeomorphicimpactsonthehumansystem1Geomorphology,1996,17:207~2281[27]QinhuaJiang,DoloresR1Piperno1EnvironmentalandarchaeologicalimplicationsofaLateQuaternarypalynologicalsequence,PoyangLake,southernChina1QuaternaryResearch,1999,52:250~2581[28]BrunoMesserli,MartinGrosjean,ThomasHofer,etal1Fromnature-dominatedtohuman-dominatedenvironmentalchanges1QuaternaryScienceReviews,2000,19:459~4791[29]H1C1Guo,L1Liu,G1H1Huang,etal1Asystemdynamicsapproachforregionalenvironmentalplanningandmanagement:astudyfortheLakeErhaiBasin1JournalofEnvironmentalManagement,2001,61:93~1111[30]JianWang,XiaChen,XiaohuaZhu,etal1TaihuLake,lowerYangtzedrainagebasin:evolution,sedimentationrateandthesealevel1Geomorphology,2001,41:183~1931[31]KrystynaSzeroczyska1HumanimpactonlakesrecordedintheremainsofCladocera(Crustacea)1QuaternaryInternational,2002,95-96:165~1741[32]ArieJ1Kalis,JosefMerkt,JrgenWunderlich1EnvironmentalchangesduringtheHoloceneclimaticoptimumincentralEurope-humanimpactandnaturalcauses1QuaternaryScienceReviews,2003,22:33~791[33]BerndZolitschka,Kar-lErnstBehre,JrgenSchneider1Humanandclimaticimpactontheenvironmentasderivedfromcolluvial,fluvialandlacustrinearchives-examplesfromtheBronzeAgetoMigrationperiod,Germany1QuaternaryScienceReviews,2003,22:81~1001[34]LudwigZÝller,HandsvonSuchodoletz,NilsKster1GeoarchaeologicalandchronometricalevidenceofearlyhumanoccupationonLanzarote(CanaryIslands)1QuaternaryScienceReviews,2003,22:1299~13071[35]11,1996,15(2):1~71[36],11,1996,5(4):367~3741[37],11,1997,28(11):16~201[38],,,11(),1998,38(1):84~871[39]11,2000,31(5):24~2611:85DiscussionontheevolutionarytrendofLakeDongtingLAIHong-zhou,MODuo-wen,SUCheng(CollegeofEnvironmentalSciences,PekingUniversity,Beijing100871,China)Abstract:TheevolutionofLakeDongtingisdeterminedbythreemainfactors,whicharetectonicsub-sidence,siltationandhumanimpacts10TheDongtingBasin0and0thebasinofLakeDongting0aretwodifferentspatialconcepts10ThebasinofLakeDongting0isonlyoneofthecomponentsof0theDongtingBasin01ThebasinofLakeDongting,theleveesandthefarmlandssynchronouslykeepsub-sidingandrelativelyactionlessduetothetectonicsubsidenceofthewholeDongtingBasin1Atpresent,themea