毕业设计北京地铁票制的研究

本科毕业设计（20届）北京地铁票制的研究AboutBeijingsubwayfaressettheory所在学院专业班级交通工程学生姓名指导教师完成日期摘要随着我国城市轨道交通事业的快速发展，轨道交通票价问是政府、企业、乘客共同关注的问题。论文对轨道交通票价的制定方式、轨道交通票价制定的影响因素、以及国内外大城市轨道交通票制现状等方面入手进行讨论，结合北京轨道交通票制现状与问题等进行了分析。论文重点对北京轨道交通现存票制进行现状调查、分析与讨论，针对现有票制存在的问题，提出相应的解决措施即采取分时计价票制的思想，最终以北京地铁五号线为例进行分析，对于五号线客流特征进行分析，从是时间空间的客流的不均衡性两方面进行数据分析，提出北京地铁的分时计价票制方案，北京地铁分时票制的的适应性讨论则是通过最终通过乘客选择轨道交通出行的概率的计算，证明了分时计价票制的存在价值。论文最终成果从票制入手，在选择票制的基础上，通过Logit模型相关计算，合理体现了分时计价票制的削峰填谷的调控作用，进而更好的进行北京地铁票制问题的深入化思考。论文结尾结出结合作者的资料搜集与整理，针对北京票制的存在问题提出一些合理化的意见与建议。关键词：轨道交通；票制；分时计价AbstractWiththerapiddevelopmentofChina'surbanrailtransport,railtransportfaresaskgovernment,business,passengerissuesofcommonconcern.Papersonthedevelopmentofrailtransportationfares,theinfluencingfactorsdevelopedbytherailtransitfares,andrailtransportationofdomesticandforeignbigcitiesvoteofaspectstobediscussed,combinedwiththerailtransitvotethestatquoandproblemsareanalyzed.PaperfocusesontheexistingvotesystemofrailtransportationSurvey,analysisanddiscussionofappropriatemeasurestoresolvetheproblemsofexistingvotesystem,thatis,takethethinkingofthetime-sharingpricingvote,andultimatelytotheBeijingSubwayLine.analyzedthepassengerflowcharacteristicsofthefifthlinefromthetimeandspaceoftheunbalancednatureofbothpassengerdataanalysis,proposedtimesharevaluationvoteprogramoftheBeijingSubway,Beijingsubwaytimesharevoteofadaptivediscussistoprovethatthetime-sharingpricingthevalueoftheexistenceofthevotethroughthefinalcalculationoftheprobabilityofpassengerschooserailtransittravel.Thepapersbearattheendofthecombinationofthedatacollectionandcollation,andputforwardsomereasonablecommentsandsuggestionsfortheproblemsofthevote.Keywords:Railtransit;vote;time-sharingpricingI目录1绪论...........................................................................................................................11.1选题背景及意义.................................................................................................11.2国内外轨道交通票制研究现状.........................................................................21.2.1国内研究现状............................................................................................21.2.2国外研究现状............................................................................................22轨道交通票制的影响因素.......................................................................................32.1轨道交通特性.....................................................................................................32.2乘客需求.............................................................................................................32.3未来城市公交一体化发展的需要.....................................................................33城市轨道交通票制理论基础...................................................................................33.1城市轨道交通固定票制下的票价制定原则.....................................................33.1.1.有利于满足市民出行需求........................................................................33.1.2.有利于体现政府城市交通发展战略导向................................................33.1.3有利于吸引社会资本进入轨道交通领域................................................43.2不同时期轨道交通票价制定策略目标.............................................................44城市轨道交通票制探讨...........................................................................................44.1轨道交通票制的概念与分类.............................................................................44.2国内外大城市轨道交通票制现状.....................................................................54.2.1日本东京......................................................................................................54.2.2法国巴黎......................................................................................................64.3北京市城市轨道交通票制现状及其存在问题.................................................64.3.1北京轨道交通票价历次调整状况..............................................................64.3.2北京轨道交通票制存在问题......................................................................75北京地铁分时计价票制方案设想——以五号线为例.........................................85.1分时段票制的适应性讨论..............................................................................8II5.1.1北京地铁五号线概况..............................................................................85.1.2北京地铁五号线客流情况分析..............................................................95.2分时段票制的方案研究...................................................................................105.2.1计时票制方案样本选择分析.................................................................105.2.2分时计价票制对居民选择轨道交通出行的概率的影响......................145.2.3分时票价实施的可行性..........................................................................146北京地铁票制相关意见与建议.............................................................................156.1设计构建分段分时的票价方案.......................................................................156.2建立轨道交通票价宏观监控机制...................................................................156.3改变票种设置单一状况...................................................................................157结论...........................................................................................................