证券研究报告:行业研究休闲服务评级:加快旅游基础设施建设打造更多品牌景区——山西旅游要素之全国比较与建议2017年03月28日深度研究相关研究:投资要点:国内游热度上升,城镇居民仍是主力:2016年全年,国内旅游人数44.4亿人次,比上年同期增长11.0%,增速连续3年上升;国内旅游收入3.94万亿元,增长15.19%,旅游收入增速在经过连续3年回落之后2016年重新回升。国内旅游人数和收入增速双双上升,国内旅游景气度回升。出境游回归理性:在国内休闲旅游替代加速、人民币贬值、跨境电商全面发展等因素共同作用下,出境旅游市场进入相对稳定的发展阶段。2016年全年,中国公民出境旅游人数1.22亿人次,比上年同期增长4.3%。出境旅游花费1098亿美元,比上年同期增长5.1%。山西旅游收入快速增长综合实力位于全国第二梯队:2016年山西省旅游总收入4247亿元,排名全国第15,与去年持平;从增速看,2016年山西旅游总收入同比增长23.19%,增速也排名全国第15。第二梯队成员均在发力山西旅游仍须努力:根据已经公布的《山西省“十三五”服务业发展规划》,2020年山西全省接待旅游总人次达到6亿人次,旅游业总收入年均增长15%,也即,到2020年山西旅游总收入将达到6900亿元,但其他旅游强省和可比省份均制定了较高的旅游业发展目标,到2020年山西省旅游收入排名可能会下降至全国第二十名左右。因此,要实现旅游强省的目标,山西旅游业仍需要继续努力。交通基础设施仍需完善:在机场、高铁建设上,山西与周边省份以及可比旅游强省相比显得落后,需加强高铁、城际铁路、机场建设,更好为山西旅游经济服务。品牌旅游景点建设有待加强。酒店服务水平有待提升。加快旅游资源整合打造国内旅游知名企业:在全国旅游景点遍地开花,旅游行业竞争越来越激烈的情况下,品牌旅游景点在吸引客源方面将更有优势。综合来看山西旅游景点品牌建设普遍落后,旅游资源整合、品牌旅游景点建设势在必行,山西应充分利用政府、市场、资本等各方面的资源,加快整合步伐、加大整合力度,尽快打造一批国内影响力较大的旅游景区品牌,将部分企业培育形成国内有影响力的文化旅游投资控股平台。加强旅游景区信息化建设实现全省旅游信息化:针对山西旅游数据建设相对落后的特点,政府部门应当加强各旅游景区信息化采集、数据处理分析工作,并充分利用互联网、大数据等工具和平台,组建山西省旅游信息平台,更好为山西旅游经济服务。分析师:平海庆执业证书编号:S0760511010003电话:010-83496307邮箱:pinghaiqing@sxzq.com联系人:平海庆电话:010-83496307邮箱:pinghaiqing@sxzq.com地址:太原市府西街69号国贸中心A座28层北京市西城区平安里西大街中海国际中心7层电话:0351-8686986山西证券股份有限公司行业研究|深度研究请务必参阅最后一页股票评级说明和免责声明1目录1.国内旅游概况·····························································································31.1.国内游热度上升,城镇居民仍是主力···················································································31.2.外国游客入境游快速增长港澳游客增速下降···································································41.3.出境游回归理性旅行社组织出游人数增长较快·································································62.山西旅游行业现状·····················································································72.1.旅游收入快速增长综合实力位于全国第二梯队·································································72.2.第二梯队成员均在发力山西旅游仍须努力·········································································82.3.交通基础设施仍需完善···········································································································92.3.1.机场································································································································································································92.3.2.公路····························································································································································································102.3.3.铁路······························································································································································································112.4.品牌旅游景点相对较少···········································································································132.5.酒店服务水平有待提升···········································································································142.6.旅行社发展处于全国前列·······································································································153.山西旅游业发展建议···············································································163.1.加强品牌景区建设提升景区服务质量·················································································163.2.加快旅游资源整合打造国内旅游知名企业·········································································163.3.加快交通基础建设主要景区均实现“快进”目标··································································163.4.加强旅游景区信息化建设实现全省旅游信息化·································································16行业研究|深度研究请务必参阅最后一页股票评级说明和免责声明2图目录图1:国内旅游人数增速连续3年回升.......................................3图2:国内旅游收入增速触底回升...........................................3图3:过去10年城镇居民旅游出行人数和花费增长迅速..........................4图4:入境游人数增速略有下降.............................................4图5:外国入境游客增长迅猛...............................................5图6:香港游客增速下降..................................................5图7:澳门游客增速下降较多...............................................5图8:台湾游客增速略有上升...............................................5图9:国际旅游收入增速略有下降...........................................5图10:全国出境游人数增速下降............................................6图11:旅行社组织出境游人数增长较快.......................................6图12:全国各省市2016年旅游总收入排名....................................7图13:全国各省市自治区2015年旅游总收入排名..............................7图14:2016年全国各行政区旅游收入增速....................................8图15:全国各行政区民用机场数量和机场覆盖率...............................9图16:2016年全国各行政区机场旅客吞吐量和航班起降架次.....................10图17:全国各行政区公路和高速公路路网密度................................11图18:全国各行政区铁路路网密度(2015年底)..............................12图19:全国各行政区高铁车站密度(个/万平方公里)..........................13图20:全国各行政区已有和在建高铁线路....................................13图21:全国部分省、市A级和4A级以上景区数量.............................14图22:2016年第3季度全国各行政区星级酒店数量............................14图23:2016年第3季度全国各行政区星级酒店平均房价和出租率.................15图24:2016年第3季度全国各行政区旅行社数量及百强旅行社分布................15行业研究|深度研究请务必参阅最后一页股票评级说明和免责声明31.国内旅游概况1.1.国内游热度上升,城镇居民仍是主力2016年,在国务院、国家旅游局、其他相关部门的政策支持下,国内旅游蓬勃发展,健康旅游、生态旅游、精品旅游、特色旅游、全域旅游百花齐放。