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EricssonMobilityReportJune2019ericsson.com/mobility-report2EricssonMobilityReport|June2019IntroductionKeycontributorsExecutiveEditor:PatrikCerwallProjectManager:AnetteLundvallEditors:PeterJonsson,StephenCarsonForecasts:RichardMöllerArticles:PeterJonsson,StephenCarson,AndresTorres,PerLindberg,KatiÖhman,AthanasiosKarapantelakisCo-writtenarticles:ShamilBajgin,ElenaPurtova,MTS(Russia)SalihaSezginAlp,MustafaKarakoc,GulayYardim,Turkcell(Turkey)JenniBarbour,Telstra(Australia)LetterfromthepublisherAsmarketaftermarketswitcheson5G,weareatatrulymomentouspointintime.Nopreviousgenerationofmobiletechnologyhashadthepotentialtodriveeconomicgrowthtotheextentthat5Gpromises.ItgoesbeyondconnectingpeopletofullyrealizingtheInternetofThings(IoT)andtheFourthIndustrialRevolution.Digitalinfrastructurecanmakedistancelessrelevantthanever.5Gisthekeytomakingitallwork–drivingeconomicvaluefromenhancedmobilebroadbandtoindustrydigitalization.That,inturn,willrequireanecosystemoftechnology,regulatory,securityandindustrypartnerstodeliveronthepotential.Smartcities,IndustrialIoT,augmentedreality,autonomoustransportanddigitalhealtharejustsomeoftheexcitingprospectsthatcanbemaderealwiththesupportofthe5Gecosystem.InthiseditionoftheEricssonMobilityReport,wegobeyondtheforecastnumbersand,inthreeco-writtenarticles,presentaglimpseoftheimpressiveprogresshappeninginmarketsonthevergeofdeploying5G:–WithTelstrainAustralia,weexplorehowtomanagetheever-growingdemandfordataandvideo,whilemaintainingconsumerexperience,particularlyforlivecontentstreaming.–WithMTSinRussia,wedescribehowmobilenetworksmustevolvetoensurenetworkperformancethatmeetscustomerexperienceexpectations,aswellasenablingnewserviceswhenpreparingfor5G.–WithTurkcellinTurkey,welookintomanagingnetworkperformanceandserviceofferingsinasuccessfulfixedwirelessaccess(FWA)implementation.As5Gisswitchedonincountryaftercountry,thesignificanceofthistechnologyforallsectorsofsocietywillbecomeincreasinglyapparent.Ihopeyoufindthereportengaginganduseful!PublisherFredrikJejdlingExecutiveVicePresidentandHeadofBusinessAreaNetworks5GswitchedonWithTelstra,weexplorehowtomanagethedemandfordataandvideowhilemaintainingconsumerexperience,especiallyforlivecontentstreaming.Page26WithMTS,wedescribehowmobilenetworksmustevolvetoensurenetworkperformancethatmeetscustomerexpectations,andenablesnewserviceswhenpreparingfor5G.Page203EricssonMobilityReport|June2019IntroductionArticles20Networkevolutionstrategiestowards5G23Experiencesfromsmartfixedwirelessaccessdeployment26Superiormediaexperiencesbybroadcastingcontent29ApplyingAItomobileradiositemanagement32Methodology33Glossary34GlobalandregionalkeyfiguresForecasts04MobilesubscriptionsQ1201906Mobilesubscriptionsoutlook08IoTconnectionsoutlook105Gdeviceoutlook11Voiceandcommunicationservicesoutlook12Regionalsubscriptionsoutlook14MobiletrafficQ1201915Mobiletrafficbyapplicationcategory16Mobiledatatrafficoutlook18Networkcoverage19PrivatenetworksContentsThecontentofthisdocumentisbasedonanumberoftheoreticaldependenciesandassumptions.Ericssonshallnotbeboundbyorliableforanystatement,representation,undertakingoromissionmadeinthisdocument.Furthermore,Ericssonmay,atanytime,changethecontentsofthisdocumentatitssolediscretionandshallnotbeliablefortheconsequencesofsuchchanges.FindoutmoreScantheQRcodeorvisit|June2019MobilesubscriptionsQ12019Thetotalnumberofmobilesubscriptionswasaround7.9billioninQ12019,with44millionnewsubscriptionsaddedduringthequarter.1MobilebroadbandincludesradioaccesstechnologiesHSPA(3G),LTE(4G),5G,CDMA2000EV-DO,TD-SCDMAandMobileWiMAX²MainlyCDMA2000EV-DO,TD-SCDMAandMobileWiMAX*IndiaregionincludesIndia,NepalandBhutan**ExcludingChinaandIndiaSubscriptionpenetrationQ12019(percentofpopulation)122%WesternEurope114%China141%CentralandEasternEurope81%Africa102%LatinAmerica104%NorthAmerica112%MiddleEast85%India*114%APAC**Thenumberofmobilesubscriptionsgrewat2percentyear-on-yearandcurrentlytotalsaround7.9billion.Chinahadthemostnetadditionsduringthequarter(+30million),followedbyNigeria(+5million)andthePhilippines(+4million).ThehighsubscriptiongrowthinChinacontinuesfromlastyear,andislikelytheresultofintensecompetitionamongcommunicationsserviceprovidersinthecountry.InIndia,thenumberofsubscriptionsdeclinedby14million.Thiswasmainlyduetotheintroductionofaminimumregularrechargeamountbysomelargeoperators,totacklelow-payingusersandincreaseaveragerevenueperuser(ARPU).Thenumberofmobilebroadbandsubscriptions1grewat15percentyear-on-year,increasingby140millioninQ12019.Thetotalisnow6billion,equaling76percentofmobilesubscriptions.ThenumberofLTEsubscriptionsincreasedby160millionduringthequartertoreachatotalof3.7billion,and47percentofallmobilesubscriptionsarenowforLTE.ThenetadditionforWCDMA/HSPAwasaround20millionsubscriptions.GSM/EDGE-onlysubscriptionsdeclinedby80million.Oth