欧债危机对中国经济的影响及对策

哈尔滨理工大学学士学位论文-I-欧债危机对中国经济的影响及对策摘要2010年5月，希腊首先出现资不抵债的现象，之后，欧洲债务危机爆发。危机爆发后，欧洲的债务问题就成为了国际社会讨论和关注的焦点之一。欧债危机的爆发，几乎把整个世界经济拖入了经济危机的泥潭。面对危机的到来，世界各国都采取了相应的措施来控制或减轻危机所带来的影响。中国虽然在这场欧洲灾难中没有受到太大的影响，但是欧债危机对中国经济的影响确实是存在的。最直接的影响就是减少了中国对欧洲的出口和人民币相对于欧元的被动升值。本文以欧债危机为研究对象，通过对比、数据分析的研究方法从欧债危机发生的历程、爆发的原因、还有对我国经济的影响这几个方面进行了深入的分析研究，找到应对欧债危机的对策，即稳步推出缓慢的实施人民币汇率的改革，调节外汇储备的结构，合理的规避风险，加强资本流动的监管，遏制资产泡沫的膨胀，推进人民币国际化，增强政策独立性，加强地方债务风险的防范。关键词欧洲债务危机；欧盟；主权债务哈尔滨理工大学学士学位论文-II-TheDebtCrisisImpactEconomicandCountermeasurestoChinaAbstractInMay2010,firstofall,thephenomenonoftheinsolventGreece,aftertheEuropeandebtcrisis.Afterthecrisis,theEuropeandebtproblembecametheinternationalcommunitytodiscussandoneofthefocusofattention.Theoutbreakofthecrisis,almostthewholeworldeconomyintothemireoftheeconomiccrisis.Thearrivalofacrisis,allcountriesintheworldtotakethecorrespondingmeasurestocontrolormitigatetheeffectsofthecrisis.ChinaalthoughnotintheEuropeandisasteraffectedbytoomuch,butthedebtcrisisimpactonChina'seconomyisindeedexist.ThemostdirectimpactistoreduceChina'sexportstoEuropeandthepassiveappreciationoftherenminbiagainsttheeuro.BasedonEurope'sdebtcrisisastheresearchobject,bycontrast,dataanalysisresearchmethodsfromthecourseoftheEuropeandebtcrisis,thecauseoftheoutbreak,andtoourcountryeconomicimpactoftheseveralaspectshascarriedonthethoroughanalysisandresearch,findcountermeasurestocopewiththecrisis,thesteadyflowslowimplementationoftheRMBexchangeratereform,adjustthestructureofforeignexchangereserves,reasonableavoidrisk,strengthenthesupervisionofcapitalflowsandcurbtheexpansionoftheassetbubble,topromotetheinternationalisationoftherenminbi,strengthenpolicyindependence,strengthenthelocaldebtriskprevention.KeywordsTheEuropeandebtcrisis;TheEuropeanUnion;Thesovereigndebt哈尔滨理工大学学士学位论文目录摘要.......................................................................................................................IAbstract................................................................................................................II第1章绪论.........................................................................................................11.1研究的背景............................................................................................11.2研究的目的和意义................................................................................11.3研究的内容............................................................................................21.4研究方法................................................................................................2第2章相关理论.................................................................................................32.1欧债危机定义........................................................................................32.2欧债危机的产生及发展........................................................................32.3三元悖论................................................................................................5第3章欧债危机的成因及对中国经济的影响.................................................63.1欧债危机的成因分析............................................................................63.1.1欧债危机爆发的直接原因.........................................................63.1.2欧债危机爆发的深层次原因.....................................................83.2欧债危机对中国经济有利的影响......................................................113.2.1一定程度上减缓中国的通货膨胀...........................................113.2.2影响中国的外汇储备规模.......................................................113.3欧债危机对中国经济的不利影响......................................................123.3.1欧债危机减少中国的出口.......................................................123.3.2影响中国外汇储备的结构.......................................................133.3.3削弱中国货币政策的独立性...................................................133.3.4使中国物价水平上升...............................................................143.3.5加大中国地方债务风险...........................................................14第4章欧债危机后中国经济的对策...............................................................154.1调整对外贸易政策..............................................................................154.2调节外汇储备的结构..........................................................................154.3增强政策独立性..................................................................................164.4加强资本流动监管遏制资产泡沫膨胀..............................................164.5加强政府债务管理和消化已有政府债务..........................................17结论.....................................................................................................................18致谢.....................................................................................................................20参考文献.............................................................................................................21附录A.................................................................................................................22附录B.................................................................................................................30哈尔滨理工大学学士学位论文-1-第1章绪论1.1研究的背景2009年10月，希腊政府宣布2009年的财政赤字超出GDP的12％，这个数据明