中南民族大学硕士学位论文民族地区基层政府危机管理能力研究姓名:殷彩桥申请学位级别:硕士专业:行政管理指导教师:吴开松20100501IIIIIIABSTRACTWiththeintegrationdevelopmentoftheworld,theworldhasenteredintoacrisis-proneperiod.Chinaisbuildingaharmonioussociety.Duetothedifferencesofcultural,geographical,psychological,economic,andotherfactors,theincidenceofethniccrisisintheregionisincreasing.Thenationalgrass-rootsgovernmentexposedmanyproblemsinthecrisismanagementcapabilities.Nationaldistrict’sgrassrootsgovernment’sstrengthofitscrisismanagementcapabilities,directlyrelatedtothenationalgrass-rootssocialstabilityandgovernmentlegitimacy.Therefore,thispaperhasgreatpracticalsignificanceinthestudyingofenhancingthecapacityofpubliccrisismanagement.Firstpaperdefinetheconceptofcrisismanagement,includingcrisis,crisismanagement,governmentcrisismanagement,governmentcrisismanagementcapabilities,andthendisplaythemajorsignificanceofgovernmentcrisismanagementandthegovernmentcrisismanagementcapacityandoutlinestheissueofdomesticandinternationalsituation.paperdefinetheconceptofcrisismanagement,includingcrisis,crisismanagement,governmentcrisismanagement,governmentcrisismanagementcapabilities,andthendisplaythemajorsignificanceofgovernmentcrisismanagementandthegovernmentcrisismanagementcapacityandoutlinestheissueofdomesticandinternationalsituation.second,paperanalysesthecurrentsituationthenationalcrisismanagementcapacityinthenationaldistrict’sgrassrootsgovernment,includingethnicdistrictbythecrisisinwhichthepotentialenvironmentalIVandmorphologicalcharacteristicsofthecrisis,thecrisisofnationalgrass-rootsgovernmentincentivesandthroughtheGuizhouWenanEventtoanalyzethedrawbacksofcrisismanagementinthenationaldistrict.third,papermakestheassessmentofnationalpublicemergencycrisismanagementcapabilitiesinnationaldistrict’sgrassrootsgovernment,includingnationaldistrict’sabilitytorespondtopublicemergencies,theconstituentelements,theestablishmentofanationalcrisismanagementcapacityofregionalevaluationmodel,thecrisismanagement.Last,papersfocusonimprovingthenationalgrass-rootsgovernmentcrisismanagementmeasures.Governmentsdominatecrisismanagement,playanimportantrole.Crisiswillimpactthewholesociety,butalsothewholesocietything.Effectivecrisismanagementneedtherightenvironmentprotection,suchasthedifferentlevelsofearlywarningmechanisms,strengtheningthesupplyandimprovingthepolicysystemofregionalcrisismanagementsystem,increasingfinancialsupport,todevelopscienceandculture,tospeedupeconomicdevelopmentinethnicareas,theestablishmentofcrisismanagementsystemandsoon.KEYWORDSnationaldistrictnationalgrass-rootsgovernmentcrisismanagementcrisismanagementcapabilities1______2118192060802090SmithDL(1992)SasoodC.K.ChuLisaChu2000SuleymanTufekciWilliamA.Wallace(2003)StephensonRS(1994)RaineyH.G.(2002)2GISGPSPolidano(2000)3Donahue(2000)BermanWang(2003)2007200820062007200820062007200720033200720072008620084GovernmentalCapabilitiesAdministrativeCapabilities12Gargan31[]AG::2919662:,1989,1243GarganJ.1981Considerationoflocalgovernmentcapacity,PublicAdministration41pp649658.51118-194.[J].1999(4).655..[J].2003,772.20706,6.[M].20078,,20085.12,,9101.23.4.115.:;7:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)87.[M].:20038..[J].2003.7129200010009.[M]..20061310100020310001001003.1420901410()5510.[M].3151120086282008622()176281630010447414421502009915200411200831620052006200720002007GDP11.421.966822.444.419.31512GDP12.[J].2008111720042007200820081.,20081061836035297.7%33894%172.3%0.6%1305824648.9%17.2%72.3%0.6%182,89.3%9.5%21923230249.5%89.3%1.2%3140720082008120083103.(righttoknow)1313.[M]..1993.2762019761304.:,,:()()()()5.2120073143.14,20083.143.14,,,2003,3108685332208966032331070044001173854211275065251380075251491420032286.2006,,,1:,,,,,,(),,14114.[J]..2010.3231.15,,,15[J].1988242.,3.254.feedback()22621.27,902.773.642810004440,,,270,,(),1/51/4,,29,2090,4.516916200852806922737464317923,,KaplanNorton1716.[J].()17E.BruceHarrison,TomPrugh.AssessingtheDamage:PractitionerPerspectivesontheValdez[J].PublicRelationsJournal,October1989:42-483033123418AHP-AHP18.[D].200431(Theanalytichierarchyprocess)AHP2070T.L.Saaty,1.,,AHP,,,B1211B110115B121B1212B120.25B130.17B122B1213B140.27B150.34B123B1214AB1024B121532B160.315B1216B1217B170.273B124B1218B231GDPB2311B232B2312B233B2313B210.187B234B2321B241B2331B220.215B242B243B2411B245B230.334B251B2421B252B240345B253B20525B250346B254B2422B3B31B31133B3121B3122B312B3123B3131B3132B3134B3135B31360176B313B3137B3311B321B3312B322B3313B3321B323B3322B320276B324B3323B331B33240235B330298B332B33252.A=a1a2an11=∑=miaiAi=ai1ai2ain∑==khaik1134,FDAHPFDAHP,,,11/31/551/71/91/831/2A1=1/71/46A2=41/21/7A3=1/71/611/931/71/691/45791/71/83A4=1/51/71/6354BnC[0,1],319.uiWrijVikjrij,VikWitW1,Wi2W2.19.[J].2002335R,UWV4.Vj1,2,,n)wjs∑==njpjws1`321294916%272847%:()3615123455%16259611040427230124431-407828740-5014653751-5532117554152725341256-107627911-203211821-301194383011427211341524887226563232272933421796582721525598129839144272373(5)36NMNM272271327218762722789272174272197827220113F1.215p.043.057NMeanSDFSig1622345111341.275.043110202581.3211272218451.43213388NMSDSig272316120690000002