电网实物资产-资产墙-分析方法研究-刘艺贺

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42320143Vol.42No.3Mar.2014“”200122。、、、、。1980。TM-9F426.61A1001-9529201403-0596-05AssetsWallAnalysisMethodforPowerGridPhysicalAssetsLIUYi-heZHOUYao-junWANXiao-pingStateGridShanghaiMunicipalElectricPowerCompanyShanghai200122ChinaAbstractTheAssetsWallanalysisisanimportantmethodforstockassetlifecyclemanagementmainlyapplicableinscenariosofmedium/long-termplanningmanagementofassetsoperationmaintenanceandtransformation.InthecasestudyofShanghaiMunicipalElectricPowerCompanythispaperexpoundsthefollowingstepsintheassetswallanalysistheassetswallestablishmentlifeexpectancyanalysisfuturetechnologicaltransformationpredic-tionresetscalepredictionequipmentdefectsandcommissioningtimeanalysisandmaintenanceworkloadpredic-tion.KeywordselectricpowerenterprisesassetswallanalysisstockassetsmanagementpowergridplanningAssetWall。“”。、、、。。。1。11。。2。34。“”059723420122。。2.11。2。3/。5。。。52.21。1114.4218~2218~223301059820144232。2.3Cn=∑ni=n0Gn1Fx———Gx———Cn———/。6C2017201730C2017=C2013+G2014+G2015+G2016+G2017=3.367。C2017201730C2017=C2013+G2014+G2015+G2016+G2017=546km7。2.42.4.1、。。81994~2000222016~2022221994~2000。。8。12。。2.4.2———35kV1MVA935kVMVAMVA。y=0.2261x+4.8047yx“”0599935kV。110kV、220kV500kV。。22MVA110kVy=0.5403x+2.6432220kVy=0.2217x+3.4251500kVy=0.5375x+2.9257。35kV。。2013~201735kV12222013~20172235kV1991~199522785831991~199535kV1302MVA4YMVAVA。1991~199535kVY1991×V1991=A1991……Y1995×V1995=A1995∑A1991…A1995=7858∑V1991…V1995=1302MVA35kVMVAY=0.2261X+4.8047Y1991=0.2261×0+4.8047Y2013=0.2261×22+4.8047Y2013=Y1991+0.2261×222013~2017Y2013×V1991=A2013……Y2017×V1995=A2017A2013=Y1991+0.2261×22×V1991∑A2013…A2017=∑A1991…A1995+0.2261×22×∑V1991…V199535kV=2013~201722+35kV×22×。35kV1.43。33.1。Y=/y==xx2。。10。。060020144239。109GIS611。3.2。11555。111235kV7~99905514~8。904.6%51417.2%1.57。。1235kV419941996、1999、20012006《》《》、30%。1.M.2001.2.M.2003.2013-12-27

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