中国外贸市场化的策略研究

宁波大学硕士学位论文中国外贸市场化的策略研究姓名：周琴申请学位级别：硕士专业：国际贸易指导教师：刘键初2002120119782020ABSTRACTChinabeginsitsreformandopeningpolicyin1978.After20years’development,Chinahasbasicallyfinisheditstransitionfromthetraditionalcontroleconomysystemtothemarketeconomysystem,andachievedgreatsuccessinforeigntradeandeconomicdevelopment:marketeconomysystemhasbeenshapedandplaysafundamentalroleintheallocationofsocialresources;foreigntradeadvancedrapidlybothinscaleandstructure.Marketization,thatis,theimplementofmarketeconomysysteminChinaspursgreateconomicincreaseanddevelopmentinChina.WithChina’sentryintoWTO,Chinawillfaceacompletelynewworldsurroundings,thatis,EconomicGlobalization,whichwillbringaworldofchancesandchallengestoChina’sdeepreformandforeigntradedevelopment.Butthefactthatrapidchangesofworldpoliticsandeconomy,theforeigntradestrategyofthedevelopedcountries,suchastheAmericademandthatLimitedMarketizationshouldbetheonlyperfectwayinforeigntradefieldtoimprovethewholestate’swelfare.Thepaperiscomposedof5chapters.Chapter1isIntroduction,whichputsforwardthesubjectthepaperwilldiscuss,theobjectiveandsignificanceoftheresearchonthetopic,andtheschemeofthepaper.Chapter2explainstheimplicationofMarketization,analyzesthecauseofMarketizationandachievementsMarketizationbrings.Thenthearticlecomestonarratethecourse,characteristicsandoveralleffectofChina’sMarketization.Chapter3expoundstheprogressandeffectofforeigntradeintheprocessofMarketization,probesthecauseandtheoreticalfoundationthatinducesinefficiency.Chapter4stressesthatLimitedMarketizationistheinevitablechoiceofforeigntradepolicy,andexplainsthemeaningofLimitedMarketization,thereasonfortheimplementofthepolicyinforeigntradefield.Chapter5illustratesthemeasuresthatAmericatakesintherealizationofLimitedMarketization,thenmakesasuggestioninseveralwaysinpracticingLimitedMarketization.KEYWORDS:MarketizationDevelopmentofForeignTradeLimitedMarketizationEconomicGlobalization119782060%(70%)(40%)19992000GDP195319786.1%197819999.6%GDP4.0%8.2%19782061999323915199219921999199115%81:41991199510.2210419911994199819991[J]20011P9199761P30199761999101P163.12000121P391.199951233WTOWTO45123456123456199519996,,120011,2000723(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)():81923(1)10(2)(3),(4)4901119782-11(1978—1984)(1998)2(19851991)1984101219879(19841988)3:(1992)19921993WTO132-1197819841984199219921999.20114219782001199615809051.52-2162-2199670.364.464.966.467.9%(56.8)(52.1)(52.5)(53.7)(54.9)323199940%15%14.9%199923.3%:2-3%197819801984198719901993199719992.5611.122.2740.5745.0855.4261.7171.160.02.177.8811.7914.6922.1536.5741.580.03.016.123.026.733.4751.051.0------36.640.03.34.27.713.715.419.121.323.3:;,1998:,11;199917,Y=F(L,P,H,D,I)197825%33%1842%KLTQ=FKLTTFP2-4TFP2-4GDPTFP197919949.34.245.21.213.03.941.91979199510.65.047.21.413.24.239.6198019868.53.3439.31.8421.63.3239.1197819979.82.929.61.212.25.758.2197819959.43.436.21.212.84.851.09.523.7639.581.3614.374.3846.05199819995(1998)(1999)19960.30.30.41199719230.30.30.4=0.3+0.3+0.4197819962-52-5%GDPGDPGDP19783624.1198830.5014928.319794038.2198933.2016909.2198021.94517.8199036.0618547.9198122.334862.4199137.1121617.8198222.735294.7199236.4126638.1198323.415934.5199337.6634634.4198425.027171199442.4246759.4198530.448964.4199545.1058478.1198631.2510202.2199647.2567884.6198732.2211962.5199774462.6119992y=+++yGDP2000201989=189i=0(i1989),2-5SPSSy=-52166.11+2267.22-6196.25-6.289.163-0.765R2=0.926S=7863.65F=42.162DW=0.481GDPGDP2113-119801998381324012.6%19806%199833.8%199540.8%199535%223-119801998%%%%19803816.0199011553.417.0198144015.47.71991135617.519.51982416-5.48.01992165522.019.519834364.87.51993195718.215.3198453622.88.31994236721.023.2198569630.09.51995280818.740.819867396.111.2199628993.2435.5198782711.913.01997325112.136.21988102824.412.619983240-0.433.8198911178.712.41999292-29321197746.4%198971.3%8090199888.8%3-2233-2%296290BalassaRCA3-319774.9%199521.1%199723.9%30%198049.7199074.4198153.3199177.0198255.1199279.9198356.6199381.8198454.3199483.7198549.5199585.6198663.8199685.5198766.4199786.9198869.7199888.8198971.3199989.78243-3RCA19801.195.100.1819851.805.670.2719911.173.240.2719920.953.100.5319931.282.470.6519941.202.240.690.3119950.881.960.710.4619960.861.900.680.5619970.841.620.720.6819980.901.570.780.692002633-43-419501978197919871988199319941950-195725194911195291953151956195066.8%195799.9%1958-197819588197811979~198721988~19931999126198719881991-199331994199419941998127228()3293-1DEY=YDE=D+EY’=eDD’+eEE’Y’eDeED’E’Y’=a0+b1D’+b2E’+u30(3-5)3-5GDPT()E()E’()Y(GDP)Y’(GDP)D()D’()19923855.4026.2113563.8925.519608.4924.1819934439.5015.1518707.6837.9214268.0948.4919949036.60103.5526525.4741.7917488.8722.57199510859.0020.1733967.6528.0623108.6532.1319961104.902.2639532.0816.3828427.1823.02199713514.1021.6944453.4012.4530934.308.82199813746.601.7248070.928.1434304.3210.89199914708.606.8451564.227.2636855.627.44200018722.3927.2957739.7211.9839017.335.87Y’=0.678+0.692D’+0.251E’(34.459)(27.761)R2=0.997F=1051.65S=0.7907DW=1.611=0.05R2=0.9970.69210.69210.253112000190.017%0.310.213-61990-20001042.20%40.14%2.063-6