射击准备策略的决策分析

20011111:100026788(2001)1120134204,(,100083):2,,,,,,L:;;:O22;O159:AaDecisionMakingAnalysisofPre2ShootingStrategyCHENGQi2yue,QIUWan2hua(Schoolofmanagement,BeijngUniversityofAeronauticsandAstronautics,Beijing100083,China)AbstractInthispaper,weimprovethearithmeticofconsistentdegreeinuncertaintheorySPAtheory.Furthermore,weputforwardmorepracticalconsistentdegreeformula.Applyingthisformulaintopre-shootingprepareproject,weanalyzeitwithqualitativeandquantitativeandputforwardperfectprojectmeasure.Asaresult,wecanchoosethebetterbycalculatingeverysubsystemconsistentdegree.Keywordspre2shootingpreparestrategy;SPAanalysis;decisionmakingmodel1,[1]L,,,LL,,L,,:,,,:u=a+bi+cj(1)i,j,i,j,i[0,1],j[-1,0](1)i,j,,,,,,ZH,A,B,CH,fR,Z1()HQ,1)Q(A,A)=1;2)Q(A,B)=Q(B,A)3)Pu,fA(u)FfB(u)FfC(u),Pu,fA(u)EfB(u)EfC(u)Q(A,C)FQ(B,C)a:2000205222:(79930900)©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.QZ2H={A,B}{f01,f02,,f0N}{f1,f2,,fN},Q=1-6isinP2ûfi-f0iû3()HC,1)C(A,A)=02)C(A,B)=C(B,A)3)Pu,fA(u)FfB(u)FfC(u),C(A,B)EC(B,C)4)0FCF1C4H={A,B}{f01,f02,,f0N}{f1,f1,,fN},A={A1,A2,,AN}C=6iAiûfi-f0iûö6iûfi-f0iû.5H={A,B}{f01,f02,,f0N}{f1,f1,,fN},JJ=1-Q=6isinPö2ûfi-f0iû6,:U=(SöN)Q+(FöN)C+(PöN)J:UH;NW,H,;SöNH,PöN,F=N-S-PöN,SöN+FöN+PöN=1ZHSöN(=a),FöN(=b),PöN(=c),QCJ,,Q,C,JZ,,,,Z7()Y,ykiYki,XkiykiY()uki=akiQ+bkiC+ckiJyki(i=1,2,..,li),YUU=6k6iXkiuki6iukø-i,Z8(),Z2211[2]Z(u1),,,;(u2),,;(u3),;(u4);(u5);(u6),Zu1(u11)(u12)f11f12;u2(u21)(u22)f11f22;u3(u31)(u32)(u33)f31f32f33;53111©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.u4(u41)(u42)f41f42;u5(u51)(u52)f51f52;u6u61u62f61f62Z,X=(X1,X2,,Xn)Xii(),Xi=(u1,u2,,u6),ui={ui1,ui2,,uili}?X0,:1,,maxf1;2,maxf2;3,maxf3;4,,minf4;5maxf5;6,minf6ZX(0),P0={f01,f02,...,f06}Xii,UP=f11f12f16f21f22f26fn1fn2fn6P0,,;,,:f01=max{f11,f21,,fn1}f02=max{f12,f22,,fn2}f03=max{f13,f23,,fn3}f04=min{f14,f24,,fn4}f05=max{f15,f25,,fn5}f06=min{f16,f26,,fn6}2.2X0,Xi,X0XiH={X0,Xi},Hw,,ui={ui1,ui2,,uili},(ui1,ui2,,uili)Ai={Ai1,Ai2,,Aili},U={u1,u2,,uN}A={A1,A2,,AN}ZX0P0={f01,f02,,f0N},XUP={fi1,fi2,,fiN}(i=1,2,,n),H={X0,Xi}b:KE0(K),N,m1,ûfki-f0iûEK(i=1,2,,m1),bik=m1öN.,XiX0,cik=0,,aik=1-bik=1-m1öN,i:uik=aikQ+bikC=(1-m1öN)1-6isin(Pö2ûfi-f0iû)+m1öN6iAiûfi-f0iû6iûfi-f0iûi:Ui=6kXkuki6kukii=1,2,,NUi(i=1,2,,N)Z631200111©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.3,,1,.1u1u2u3u4u5u60.150.160.140.200.210.14u11u12u21u22u31u32U41U42u43u51u52u61u62.45.55.35.65.62.38.32.25.43.46.54.24.761.439.357.220.540.387.362.396.173.499.706.184.221.2412.211.237.495.105.372.310.257.2490.182.094.526.452.4453.350.407.285.355.241.328.347.578.319.199.290.327.312.439.407.495.54.387.362.257.173.182.706.526.452.446K.106.074.162.207.054.029.076.160.151.373.193.119.113.920.553.999..299..468328.606.394.815.489.334.638.128.558.258.220.538.3632,::0.1599;:0.1604;:0.1627ZZ41),,,,;2),,;3),,,,Z:[1]1[J].(),1992,(2):65-72L[2].[D].:,1989.73111©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.