灰色理论模型在城市发展规划中的应用(英文)

灰色理论模型在城市发展规划中的应用(英文)灰色理论模型在城市发展规划中的应用：TeamB85809TeamNumber:85809ProblemChosen:B2018APMCMsummarysheetTalentandurbandevelopmentAbstractTalentsarethemotiveforceofurbaninnovationanddevelopment灰色理论模型在城市发展规划中的应用(英文)本文内容：TeamB85809TeamNumber:85809ProblemChosen:B2018APMCMsummarysheetTalentandurbandevelopmentAbstractTalentsarethemotiveforceofurbaninnovationanddevelopment.ThisarticledisposesandanalyzesthedataofjobdemandinAcityemploymentmarket,developingmathematicalmodelthroughtheanalysisofknowndatatosolvepracticalproblems.TheprominentfeatureofthispaperistoestablishtheGreyModeltomodelinganalyzetheknowndataaccordingtotherandomnessofthedynamicchangeofthejobdemanddataofAcity＇semploymentmarket,theincompletenessanduncertaintyoftheindexdata,andrelyingontheGreyModel,torealizethepredictionofthevariationtrendoffuturedevelopment,soastoachievetheaimwhichexpecttosolvethepracticalpremedicationproblem,simulateandanalyzetheactualsituationofAcity,thenputforwardfeasiblesuggestionsforurbandevelopmentandtalentstrategy.AnotheroutstandingfeatureisthattomakeadeepanalysisofthetalentdemandandtalentflowinAcity,thenprovidetheimprovementtheurbandevelopmentstrategybyexpandingandapplyingtheGreyModel,combiningtheinfluenceoftheactualeconomicdevelopment,thedemandforscienceandtechnologydevelopment,thenationalemploymentpolicyandthelikeonthedemandfortalentsinthe“Acityemploymentmarket“.AccordingtothedatagivenbyQuestion1,weclassifyandanalyzethedatafromthreeaspects:workdemand,jobexpectancyandeducationalbackgroundrequirement.WebuildaGreyModelbyMATLAB,byusingtheGreyModel,weanalyzethedataoffour-yeartalentdemandofAcity,soastogettheforecastingmodeloftalentdemandofAcitywhichcanhelptograspthelawoftalentdemandin“ACityEmploymentMarket“InordertomeettheneedsofQuestion2,weforecastandanalyzethepotentialtalentdemandinAcityinthenextthreeyearsbyusingtheGreyModelwhichbuiltinQuestion1.Thispapercombiningthepredictionmodelwiththeinfluenceoftheeconomicdevelopmentsituation,thedemandforscienceandtechnologydevelopment,thenationalemploymentpolicyandotherfactorsonthetalentdemandof“ACityEmploymentMarket“,andthenmakesadeepanalysis,bringsitintothemodel,andanalyzesthechangingtrendofthetalentdemanddatathataffectedbyvarioussociallevelsaswell.Focusingontheprobleminquestion3,weinfertheurbancharacteristicsofAcitybypredictingthetrendoftalentdemandinAcitybasedonGreyModelaccordingtotheconclusionofquestiontwo,tomakeacomparativeanalysiswiththeactualdataofsomecitiesinChina,theninfertheadministrativecategories,possiblegeographicalregion,economicstatusandhigh-techTeamB85809industrydevelopment,finallyanalyzedtheadvantagesanddisadvantagesofthedevelopmentstructureofAcityasawhole.Inresponsetothenewcareerpreferencesofcollegestudentsthatmentionedinquestion4,suchastakingcivilserviceexaminations,startingtheirownenterprises,workingindifferentplaces,studyingabroadandthelike,weassumethetrendandnumberofthistypeofcollegestudentsincityAaccordingtothecitymodelfromquestion3,afterputtingthedatatrendsintotheGreyModelwhichmentionedinquestion1,wecangetthepredictionmodelofcollegestudentsontheseitems,basedontheseabove,wecangetthethequantitativepredictiondatabyanalyzingthisphenomenon.Afterthat,wecanfindthetrendofCollegeStudents＇newcareerpreferences,andthetypesandquantitiesfortalentdemandinthecity＇sdevelopmentplanning.Focusonthestructureofdevelopmentofthiscity,aswellasimplementingthenewdevelopmentconceptofthecityintheeraofinformationizeandintelligentialize,puttingforwardthecorrespondingstrategiesofretainingandintroducingtalents,inordertofurtherplanthedevelopment,economicconstruction,scientificandtechnologicalinnovationofAcity.Accordingtothefollowingquestion5andrelevantconclusionsdrawnfromtheabovefourquestions,wecangetaspecifictalentdemandpredictionmodelofAcity.Accordingtothetheoreticaldatawhichderivedfromthepredictionmodel,weadjustthetrainingplanofcomputersoftwareprofessionals,andaccordingly,thecorrespondingadjustmentmeasureswillbeputforwardintheaspectsofcultivationandpersonalizationofCollegestudentsinthecourseconstruction,apply-orientedtalentsaswell.Onthepremiseofguaranteeingthestabilityofuniversitiesandmajors’framework,thetrainingofschooltalentsismoreinlinewiththetalentsdemandinAcityandtheneedsofurbandevelopmentplanning.Keywords:GreyModel,talentdemandtendency,urbandevelopmentplanning,application-orientedtalenttrainingTeamB85809ContentsTalentandurbandevelopment11Restatementofthequestion1Ⅰ、Introduction1Ⅱ、Relevantdata1Ⅲ、Specificquestions12questionanalysis2Ⅰ、Analysisofspecificquestionsandcountermeasures2Ⅱ、Generalanalysisofthequestionandthewaytosolveit33Assumptionsofthemodel34Explanationofnounsandsymbols4Ⅰ、Nounexplanation4Ⅱ、Symbols45Establishmentandsolutionofthemodel5Ⅰ、Analysisandsolutionofquestionone5Ⅱ、Analysisandsolutionofquestion213Ⅲ、Analysisandsolutionofquestion318Ⅳ、Analysisandsolutionofquestion4.........................................................................18Ⅴ、Analysisandsolutionofquestion5206Erroranalysisandsensitivityanalysis22Ⅰ、Theerroranalysis22Ⅱ、Modelrationalitytestandanalysis227Evaluationandgeneralizat