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(,100191):,29,,,4,,:;;;:X16:A:1002-9753(2009)09-0093-07PresentSituationofGreenhouseGasEmissioninBeijingandtheApproachtoItsReductionZHUShi-long(SchoolofEconomics&Management,BeijingUniversityofAeronauticsandAstronautics,Beijing100191,China)Abstract:InordertoreducegreenhousegasemissionsinBeijing,thispaperanalysisofthestatusofgreenhousegase2missionsinBeijingbycomparingthegreenhousegasemissionsovertheyearsinBeijing,Beijingwith29provincesgreenhousegasemissionsandBeijingwiththeinternationaltypicalnationsgreenhousegasemissions.BasedonthepresentsituationofgreenhousegasemissionsandthechallengesofemissionreductioninBeijing,weputforwardfourstrategiestoreducegreenhousegasemissionsinBeijing,namelyusedless,emissionreduction,absorptionandmarkettrademechanism,soastoprovidestrongsupporttoimprovethegreenhousegasemissionreductionmechanisminBei2jing.Keywords:greenhousegas;emissionreduction;countermeasure;Beijing,,2007,IPCC()(AR4),2050,90%[1]CO2,[2-5],;:2009-05-16:2009-08-19:(Z07020000290000);(Z09040900560905):(1957-),,,,,39[6],,,,,293,,,,11,CO2,76.7%,CO2,1970-2007,93.78%,,80%,3()2001-20072001,,CO2,,49200991CO22001200220032004200520062007()4229.24436.14648.25139.65521.95904.16285.0CO2()10995.911533.912085.313363.014356.915350.716341.032007GDP(:)GDPCO2,,,2001-20073020.2,CO27853,1122[7],GDPCO246.5%;,CO2,CO25.6,2()12001-2007CO2,SPSS,PearsonKendallSpearman1.000,1%,CO2,GDPGDPCO2,2007GDP2006GDP0.76,5.25%,GDP4%3200730GDP3,2007GDP20050.714/,,GDP,,,,,()2007CO2,44,CO2,GDPCO2,GDPCO2,,,,[8],,2007GDP7654,5922001-20072001200220032004200520062007()1517180719092098186019222472(%)35.1840.7341.0740.8233.6832.5539.33()1002107010391157114311391360(%)23.2324.1222.3522.5120.7019.2921.64()996109611641278142115411681(%)23.5524.7125.0424.8725.7326.1026.75()203249290328385494567(%)4.805.616.246.386.978.379.0232001200220032004200520062007()62811071251541812122007GDPGDP7654CO2,55,CO2GDPCO2,CO22.1GDPCO22;CO250%GDPCO243%,,20,20,,,,,CO28/,GDPCO240%,0.8/,,(),,,200757%,200010%,,,2;,20073.91,2,69200996GDP(/)(),,,3,200120073.4,212,,,,(),,:34.3%,40%,5;,40%,30%;23;25%(),1.6GDP,,,GDP;,GDP;,GDPGDP,2001-2007GDP3.88[9],,GDP,,,2.93.78%,,,[10],4CO2,CO20.7,0.540.39CO236%61%,CO2,4(%)51.166.524.220.714.424.727.324.63947.643.138.511.52.726.213.723.223.79.95.62.545.76.50.20.68.11413.66.6793.,,8.4%,3.4%,5.0%,1.4,6,,1.32.0,294,CO2647,CO2,(),,,,,,,20%,,,,,,,,,()CO2,62%,,,200130.4%200735.8%,7CO2370,,,,,,CO2()(CleanDevelopmentMechanism,CDM),,,,,,,,GDPCO2,,,,;,,;,;,,,:[1]IntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange.ClimateChange2007-SynthesisReport[R].2007:1-2.(106)8920099pertSystemswithApplications,2009,36(3):5880-5887.[9]HECKERMAND.Bayesiannetworksfordatamining[J].DataMiningandKnowledgeDiscovery1997,1(1):79-119.[10],.[M].:,2006.18-19,31-41,143-171.[11]UUSITALOL.AdvantagesandchallengesofBayesiannetworksinenvironmentalmodeling[J].EcologicalModel2ing,2007,203(3/4):312-318.[12],,.SCERT[J].,2002,(7):105-108.[13]VIVIANW.Y.TAMA,L.Y.SHEN,C.M.TAM,WILLYW.S.PANG.Investigatingtheintentionalqualityrisksinpublicfoundationprojects:AHongKongstudy[J].BuildingandEnvironment,2007,42(1):330-343.(:)(98)[2]ADruckman,PBradley.MeasuringProgresstowardsCar2bonReductionintheUK[J].EnergyPolicy,2008,36(8):75-81.[3]DipankorCoondoo,SoumyanadaDinda.CarbonDioxideEmissionandIncome:ATemporalAnalysisofCross-countryDistributionalPattern[J].EcologicalEconomics,2008,65(2):11-19.[4]GeraldOndrey.CarbonDioxideGetsGrounded[J].ChemicalEngineering,2001,107(3):41-45.[5]Pierce,RiemerWF,William,OrmerodG.InternationalPerspectivesandtheResultsofCarbonDioxideCaptureDis2posalandUtilizationStudies[J].EnergyConversionandManagement,1995,36(6-9):813-819.[6]LauraSaikku,AapoRautiainen.TheSustainabilityChal2lengeofMeetingCarbonDioxideTargetsinEuropeby2020[J].EnergyPolicy,2008,36(2):36-45.[7],.[J].,2008,(10):70-74.[8],,,.[J].,2008,(9):1281-1288.[9],,.[J].,2007,31(2):68-69.[10].[J].,2006,26(5):722-732.(:)60120099