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:2009-08-23:,,,:,,,11,2(1.300071;2.300134)(EKC),EKC,:,;,;:,EKC;,,,-,,;,EKC,,EKC,EKC;;EKC;X22A1002-2104(2010)02-0062-06doi:10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2010.02.0112090(EnvironmentKuznetsCurve,EKC),(),EKC,,U,EKC,,EKC11.1EKCGrossman2Krueger,ShafikPanayotou1991,Grossman2KruegerGEMS,SO2U[1]1992,Shafik,3(,)GDP[2]1993Panayotou1955KuznetsU,[3](EKC)EKC:,,,,,,U1.2,EKC,EKC(1)Grossman2Krueger,PanayotouEKC,EKC[1-2]:,,,,,,,,,(2),262010202CHINAPOPULATION,RESOURCESANDENVIRONMENTVol.20No.22010,Thampapillai,,,,[4],,,,,[5](3),,,,[6]Manuelli,,,[7]O2Sung,1,[8](4)LopezCopeland2TaylorEKC,,,U,,U[9-10](5):,,;,,,[11-12](6),,,,,,EKC,,[13-14]TorrasBoyce,[15]2EKC,,,(),U,-U,NU[16],UEKC,,EKCEKC,2.1EKC-,,,,DeBruynEKC,[17],--,,-,,,(SocietyEnvironmentKuznetsCurve,SEKC)[16]2.2Grossman,,:2.2.1(1),,,EKC,,,(EndogenousBias)(2)EKC,,,(),(Isomorphic),[18],,,[19](3),,,,36:,(),(),[20](4),(Eco2threshold),,EKC,[21]2.2.2,()[22]EKC,EKC,,,,[23]2.2.3(1),,,,DanielL,EKC[24];EKC[25](2),,EKC,,,,,,[26]PermanEKC,,[27]KathleenM.,,[28]2.3EKC,,,,EKC,,,,,,[29](TI)(HDI),,,,,,,[18],,,,CO2,CO2,EKC,[16],JackyuLim,SO2U,SO2[30]SeldenSO2CO2Grossman,,,EKC,[31]2.4EKC,,EKC,:(1),,,,,,[2],,,,,,,(2)EKC,Jaeger4620102,,U[32],Magnani[33]EKC,Andreoni,EKC[34](3)EKCMagnaniHeerinkEKC[35-36]TorrasBoyce,,,[15][37],LpezEKC[38]2.5(1),Arrow,,,,,,,,,,[39](2)EKC,,,,,,,(ProblemShifting)[40],EKC,,(),[31]3EKC,,,:,,,,,,,U,()EKC[41],EKC,(,),,,EKC,;EKC,(1)1EKC[47]Tab.1ContradictoryresultsaboutSO2andindustrialGasinEKCStudiesResearchRegionModelContam2inationindexIndustrialgaseaswasteSO2SO2turningPointTime1988-1998U63821991-2003U352911981-200341111996-2000U210009421995-1998,,,,,(U),,,,EKC,EKCEKCEKC,,EKC,,()(),56:,,,,,,-,,:,EKC?,,,(),EKC?(),EKC?EKC-(),?EKC()?EKC,()?,,-(blackbox),,,,,,-(:)(References)[1]GrossmanG.Krueger.EnvironmentalImpactsofaNorthAmericanFreeTradeAgreement[C].NationalBureauEconomicResearchWorkingPaper3914,NBER,CambridgeMA.1991.[2]Shafik.EconomicGrowthandEnvironmentalQuality:TimeSeriesandCross2countryEvidenceBackground.PaperforWorldDevelopmentReport1992[C].WorldBank.[3]PanayotouT.EmpiricalTestsandPolicyAnalysisofEnvironmentalDegradationatDifferentStagesofEconomicDevelopment[C].WorkingPaperWP238.[4]Thampapillai,etal.TheEnvironmentalKuznetsCurveEffectandtheScarcityofNaturalResources[C].LeavefromMacquarieUniversityNSW.[5]LanoieBLaplante,MRoy.CanCapitalMarketsCreateIncentivesforPollutionControl?[J].EcologicalEconomics.1998,(26):31-41.[6]Neha.TheIncomeElasticityofNon2PointSourceAirPollutants:RevisitingtheEnvironmentalKuznets[J].EconomicsLetters,2002,77:387-439.[7]ManuelliRE.APositiveModelofGrowthandPollutionControls[C].NBER,WorkingPaper,1995,520-525.[8]O2Sung.EconomicGrowthandtheEnvironment:theEKCCurveandSustainableDevelopment,anEndogenousGrowthModel[D].AdissertationforPHDofUniversityofWashington[9]LopezR.TheEnvironmentasaFactorofProduction:TheEffectsofEconomicGrowthandTradeLiberalization[J].JournalofEnvironmentalEconomics.1994,(27):163-184.[10]CopelandBR,TaylorMS.Trade,GrowthandtheEnvironment[J].JournalofEconomicLiterature,2004,(42):7-71.[11]SeldenTM,SongD.EnvironmentalQualityandDevelopment:IsThereaKuznetsCurveforAirPollution?[J].JournalofEnvironmentalEconomicsandManagement,1994,(27),147-162.[12]MarkusP.TechnicalProgress,StructuralChange,andtheEnvironmentalKuznetsCurve[J].EcologicalEconomics,2002,(42):381-389.[13]DeaconR.DeforestationandtheRuleofLawinAcross2sectionofCountries[J].LandEconomics.1994,(4),414-430.[14]GraingerA.TheForestTransition:AnAlternativeApproach[J].Area,1995,27(3),242-251.[15]TorrasM,BoyceJ.Income,Inequality,andPollution:AReassessmentoftheEnvironmentalKuznetsCurve[J].EcologicalEconomics,1998,(25),147-160.[16],.[J].2005,15(5):7-12.[LiYuwen,etal.DevelopmentOnTheEnvironmentalKuznetsCurve[J].ChinaPopulation,ResourcesandEnvironment.2005,15(5):7-12.][17]DeBruynS.,HeintzR.,TheEnvironmentalKuznetsCurveHypothesis[M].HandbookofEnvironmentalEconomics.BlackwellPublishingCo.,Oxford,1998.[18].[J]..2006,(8):4-10.[YuFeng.RetrospectivesoftheEnvironmentalKuznetsCurve[J].ExplorationofEconomicProblems.2006,(8):4-10.][19],.[C]..200711001:1-21.[HanYujun,etal.TheRelationBetweenEconomicGrowthandEnvironmentalQuality[C].WorkingPapersofChineseRenmingUniversity.200711001:1-21.][20]TisdellC.GlobalizationandSustainability:EnvironmentalKuznetsCurveandtheWTO.EcologicalEconomics.2001,(39):185-196.[21]Stokey.AreThereLimitstoGrowth?[J].InternationalEconomicReview.1998,39(1):1-31.[22]Selden.EnvironmentalQualityandDevelopment:IsThereaKuznetsCurveforAirPollutionEstimates?[J].JournalofEnvironmentalEconomicsandManagement.1994,27:147-162.[23]SimsC.,MacroeconomicsandReality[J].Econometrica,1980,(48):1-48.[24]DanielL,etal.TheEnvironmentalKuznetsCurve:RealProgressor6620102MisspecifiedModels?[J].TheReviewofEconomicsandStatistics,2003,85(4):1038-1047.[25].:[J].,2006,(7):5-12.[PengShuijun.EconomicGrowthandEnvironmentalPollution:AnEmpiricalAnalysisBasedonChinapsTimeSeriesData[J].ContemporaryFinance&Economics.2006,(7):5-12.][26]CoondooD,etal.CausalitybetweenIncomeandEmission:ACountryGroup2SpecificEconometricAnalysis[J].Eco