中国页岩气研究现状及发展趋势

31420107ACTAPETROLEISINICAVol.31JulyNo.42010:(No.40730422):,,19833,2009,,Email:[e-mail]:02532697(2010)04068906陈尚斌1,2朱炎铭1,2王红岩3刘洪林3魏伟3罗跃1,2李伍1,2方俊华1,2(1221116;2221008;3065007):借助维普中文科技期刊全文数据库,系统检索了中国页岩气的研究论文,分析了这百余篇论文的分布特征,归纳了研究机构科研群体及基金资助等情况,综述了中国页岩气研究现状,探讨了未来其研究的走向和发展需求研究结果表明:中国页岩气论文总数少,具有典型发展初期阶段分布特征,说明基础研究与勘探开发刚驶入一个全新的起步发展阶段,在未来一个较长时期,页岩气资源评价理论与方法将是研究的主要方向,地质基础研究工作必受重视,勘探试井及与之相关的产能模拟压裂等增产开发措施研究也会逐步展开;基于地质条件成藏要素及油气产区特殊条件的综合分析,四川盆地南部地区很可能会成为中国第一个页岩气勘探开发的先导性试验建设基地;!在政策扶植和基金支持下,坚持科技攻关,开展多种合作,增进学术交流,促进人才培养,中国页岩气研究将迅速发展,并会较早结束探索阶段而逐步向商业化方向发展:页岩气;论文分布特征;研究现状;发展趋势;综述;维普中文科技期刊全文数据库;中国:TE1222:AResearchstatusandtrendsofshalegasinChinaCHENShangbin1,2ZHUYanming1,2WANGHongyan3LIUHonglin3WEIWei3LUOYue1,2LIWu1,2FANGJunhua1,2(1.KeyLaboratoryofCoalbedMethaneResourcesandReservoirFormationProcessoftheMinistryofEducation,ChinaUniversityofMiningandTechnology,Xuzhou221116,China;2.SchoolofResourcesandEarthScience,ChinaUniversityofMiningandTechnology,Xuzhou,221008,China;3.LangfangBranch,PetroChinaExplorationandDevelopmentResearchInstitute,Langfang065007,China)Abstract:WiththeaidofVIPChinesescitechperiodicalfulltextdatabase,thepresentpapersystematicallysearchedfortheresearchpapersonshalegasinChinese,analyzedthedistributioncharacteristicsoftheseoveronehundredpapers,summarizedtheresearchunits,researchgroupsandfoundationsponsorships,etc.involvedinshalegasresearches,reviewedthecurrentstatusofshalegasresearchesinChina,andprobedintothetrendanddevelopmentnecessityofshalegasresearchesinthefuture.Theresultsshowedthatfirstly,shalegaspapersinChinesearecharacterizedbyalimitednumberandatypicaldistributionoftheinitialresearch,indicatinganinfancyforboththebasicresearchandtheexplorationanddevelopment.Withinalongerperiodoftimeinthefuture,theassessmenttheoryandmethodsonshalegasresourceswillbethefocusoftheresearch,basicresearchesongeologicalanalyseswillbehighlighted,andstudiesontheprospectingwelltestingandtherelatedproductionanddevelopmentmeasuresincludingcapacitysimulationandfracturingwillbegraduallyputontheagendaaswell.Secondly,comprehensiveanalysesofgeologicalconditions,reservoirelementsandspecificconditionsofoilgasprovincesindicatedthatthesouthernregionoftheSichuanBasinismorelikelytobethefirstpioneeringexperimentalareaforshalegasexplorationanddevelopmentinChina.Thirdly,theshalegasresearchinChinawilldeveloprapidly,endtheexploringstagesoonandtrendtothecommercialdevelopmentprogressivelyprovidedthatthepolicyfosteringandfundsupportareavailable,keyproblemsinscientificandtechnologicalresearchesaresolvedviapersistentefforts,varietiesofcooperationareexpanded,academicexchangesareenhancedandpersonneltrainingispromoted.Keywords:shalegas;paperdistributioncharacteristics;researchstatus;developingtrend;review;VIPChinascitechperiodicalfulltextdatabase;China,,[12]690201031,[3],,,,,1990,,,1,1990108(1)1Table1LiteraturesearchresultofshalegaspaperswithVIPChinesescitechperiodicalfulltextdatabase//1990∀200071172001110120021001200354341200443211220050002006532232007984(1)51212008352114(2)1148842009*412827(9)35181141086953(12)351233208:200920091015;2007∀200911(1)20,6,122[3],(2),,324%,111%,306%,185%,2007,;2009,,121990,2004(1)1Fig.1Temporaldistributionofshalegaspapers,,Curtis[45],#∃,[3]5[4],[12,611],,,∀∀∀1,,,,,,,,,4:69113,,278%,,,2,1,3,12,(#∃)(#∃),,,,,,,,,,,2Fig.2Analysisdiagramofpapersresearchinstitutionsandacademicteams142006∀2009(2),477%,,(973)(863)#∃;22006∀2009Table2Statisticalresultsofcorejournalspapersfundin2006∀2009////%20062210022007326711200812867532009*181583783527771512:,,;200920091015,,,221,,,[12],,,100%1012m3,[13];2006(68~84)%1012m3[14],[1](714~146)%1012m3;[12](413~848)%1012m3,(08684~31692)%1012m3;[11](40~124)%1012m3,22,5[4][1,6,8,1117],692201031,,[89,1112,1418],:,;,;,,,,,,,23,[9](),[8][15]∀∀,[11]∀∀,,,[12],[14],[17][18],∀;,,#∃,(,),,,(∀∀,∀∀)24200710,∀∀∀&∋,20081126,1,#∃2009511,;,&∋&∋,,,,3,,,[12,12],,,[1,10,13,1920],(1),,,5;,,,4:693(2)[3,21],,,,,,,1[11],(3)#∃,,,,,,(4),,,,,;,,#∃,#∃,(5),,,[13],,,,,,(6),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,4(1),,;,#∃#∃;,77%(2),,,,(3),,(4),,,,,,,,,,,[1],,,.694201031[J].,2009,29(5):1116.LiJianzhong,DongDazhong,ChenGengsheng,etal.ProspectsandstrategicpositionofshalegasresourcesinChina[J].NaturalGasIndustry,2009,29(5):1116.[2],.[J].,2009,14(3):15.PanRenfang,HuangXiaosong.ShalegasanditsexplorationprospectsinChina[J].ChinaPetroleumExploration,2009,14(3):15.[3].CNKI[J].,2006,26(12):2629.QinYong.HavingaviewonChinesecoalbedmethaneindustrydevelopmentfromCNKIpublications[J].NaturalGasIndustry,2006,26(12):2629.[4]CurtisJB.Fracturedshalegassystems[J].AAPGBulletin,2002,86(11):19211938.[5]CurtisJB,,.[J].,2002,4:1827.CurtisJB,LiDarong,LiFawen.Fracturedshalegassystems[J].Oil&GasGeologyInformationAbroad,2002,4:1827.[6],,.[J].,2004,24(7):1518.ZhangJinchuan,JinZhijun,YuanMingsheng.Reservioringmechanismofshalegasanditsdistribution[J].NaturalGasIndustry,2004,24(7):1518.[7],,.[J].,2007,34(4):392400.LiXinjing,HuSuyun,ChengKeming.SuggestionsfromthedevelopmentoffracturedshalegasinNorthAmerica[J].PetroleumExplorationandDevelopment,2007,34(4):392400.[8],,,.[J].,2008