3:,,,,;,,,,,:3,,:210093,:shenkr@nju.edu.cn;,,:210093,:fuwenlin@sina.com(03BJL026)(70473036),,,,,(Shah,1994;QianandRoland,1998),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(Tiebout,1956),,,,(Wilson,1999),:,(USACIR,1991);61:,,,,,,,(Boskin,1973)(MintzandTulkens,1986;Wildasin,1988),,,,,,,,,,,,(),,,(Caseetal1,1993),(HeyndelsandVuchelen,1998)589;(BruecknerandSaavedra,2001)70,,,,,,(QianandRoland,1998),,,(2003),,,,,,,,,(,1995;Young,2000;,2002;,2004),,,;;;,,;,,,7120066,,,,,,,(GenserandWeck2Hannemann,1993),,,,,,,(Anselinetal.,1996),,,,GDP,1Pdij,ijwij,dijij,d-1ijPd-1ij,ijW1PD;ijGDPGj,WGDP,GDPGjPdij,ij,:WGDPPD,0,,;0,,,(BruecknerandSaavedra,2001),:ti=jiwijtj+Zi+iwij,i,,ij;Zii;titjij;i,,,,,,,,,,,,,,:GDP(,)81:,(Brueckner,1998),,,,,,,,,,,:,;;GDP,,,,,,,;GDP,,,,,,,,OLS,,(Heyndels,B1andVuchelen,J1,1998)1994,,,1994,,,19922003,,11992,GDP,;GDP,GDP,,,,,,,,,,,GDP,,,,,91200661992,1993,1993,,,,19931992,,,,,,,11992::W1PDWGDPWGDPPDW1PDWGDPWGDPPD0138c(0121)2121a(0131)0130(0119)0122a(0108)1146a(0125)0121a(0108)-2187b(1146)-23141a(3117)-2145c(1148)0103(0154)-15183a(3101)0129(0175)GDP01001(0101)0101(0101)01006(0101)-0102a(0101)-01005(01005)-0102a(0101)1160(1126)-1126c(0173)0177(1122)4178a(0172)2115a(0162)4174a(0169)0117(0126)0109(0114)-0113(0126)-0123(0114)-0109(0110)-0124c(0114)R2011901680116016601770166283028283028:11(200156),,,,21,a99%,bc95%90%,,,90%,(WorldBank,1990),(Caseetal1,1993)(HeyndelsandVuchelen,1998),,,,,,(ZodrowandMieszkowski,1986),,,(Breukner,2001),,,,;,,,,02:,,MintzandTulkens(1986),,Wildasin(1988),:,,,();,22003::W1PDWGDPWGDPPDW1PDWGDPWGDPPD0111(0110)1145a(0119)0115(0111)0107(0105)0151a(0109)0105(0105)-1191b(0186)-18185a(2129)-2122b(1103)-1127(1100)-15115a(2159)-0152(1102)GDP0101(01008)01002(01005)0101(01008)-01000(01003)-01001(01002)-01000(01003)2135c(1136)-0134(0161)1166(1146)0146(0152)-0166a(0124)-0135(0158)-0128c(0116)-0114(0110)-0130c(0116)0104(0106)01004(0104)0104(0106)R20151017901500109016101052931292931292003(2),2003,,,95%,,,20031992,,,,,,,1992,,,1992,2003,,1992,,,,1992,2003,:,,,,,,,12200661998,,,,,,,,,2003,,332003::W1PDWGDPWGDPPDW1PDWGDPWGDPPD-0140a(0113)0153(0135)-0137b(0117)-0109(0107)0134a(0106)-0105(0109)-1116a(0125)-6167a(1182)-1163a(0150)-3173a(1114)-7142a(0192)-2150(1159)GDP0105a(0101)0101(0102)0106a(0101)0102a(0101)-01006c(01003)0102c(0101)3187a(0191)2182b(1117)2168b(1128)-2116a(0179)-0104(0128)-1168(1114)0113(0114)-0122(0120)0108(0118)0117(0109)-0108(0105)0111(0111)R20196019401940155018801261011101011103,R2,55%,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,22:,4,GDP,,,,,,19942003,,44199420031231230134a(0104)0129a(0104)0130a(0104)0157a(0107)0149a(0107)0149a(0107)-0103a(0101)-0103a(0101)-0102a(0101)-0106a(0101)-0105a(0101)-0105a(0101)0101(0109)0106(0108)0105(0108)0120c(0111)0120c(0111)0130a(0110)0139a(0114)0125c(0113)0149b(0121)-0100(0125)0130a(0107)0148a(0114)0123a(0107)-0149a(0115)R2011801240120013801450141Hausman2test8312791143181714532183914F2test201121152118191819122216300300300110110110,GDP,,,,,,,,,,,70%(,2003),3220066,(Barro1990;Zou1996),(2004)2000,,,(Knelleretal,1999),,,,GDP,,GDP,,,,,,,4,GDPGDP,(Granger,1969),,,(Binet,2003)1RGDPit,itGDP,2TRit,it512RGDPit210154a(0103)-0115a(0102)TRit210118a(0105)0117a(0103)Cons10103a(01005)0107a(01003)R2017801625,R201620178,GDP,1%,GDP0118%,,,,;2RGDPit21-0115,GDP1%,0115%,,,,,,,;,1994,,,,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,:,,,42:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,GDP1%,0115%,,,,,,,,1994,,,,,,,,,,(OECD,1998),,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,,2004:,4,2002:,9,2000:,1,1998:,,2000:,()4,1995:,,2001:,6,2003:WTO,2,2004::19522000,10,2003:,1Anselin,L1,Bera,A1K1Florax,R1andYoon,M1J11996,SimpleDiagnosticTestsforSpatialDependence,RegionalScienceandUrbanEconomics26(1),77104.Barro,R.1990,GovernmentSpendinginaSimpleModelofEndogenousGrowth,JournalofPoliticalEconomy98,S103S125.BinetM.E.2003,TestingfiscalcompetitionamongFrenchmunicipalities:Grangercausalityevidenceinadynamicpaneldatamodel,RegionalScience82,277289.Boskin,M.J.1973,LocalGovernmentTaxandProductCompetitionandtheOptimalProvisionofPublicGoods,JournalofPolitical5220066Economy81(1),203210.Brueckner,J.K.1998,TestingforStrategicInteractionamongLocalGovernments:TheCaseofGrowthControls,JournalofUrbanEconomics44(3),438467.Brueckner,J.K.andSaavedra,Luz2001,Dolocalgovernmentsengageinstrategicproperty2taxcompetition?,NationalTaxJournal54(2),203229.Case,A.C.,Rosen,H.S.andHines,J.R.1993,Budgetspilloversandfiscalpolicyinterdependence:Evidencefromthestates,JournalofPublicEconomics52,285307.Genser,BerndandWech2Hannemann,Hannelore1993,FuelTaxationinECCountries:APolitico2EconomyApproach,UniversityofKonstanzMimeo.GrangerC.1969,Investigatingcausalrelationsbyeconometricmodelsandcross2spectralmethods,Econometrica37,424438.Heyndels,B.andVuchelen,J.1998,TaxMimickingamongBelgianMunicipalities,NationalTaxJournal51(1),89101.Kenyon,D.A.1997,Theoriesofinterjurisdictionalcompetition,NewEnglandEconomicReview,MarPApr,1328.Kneller,R.,Bleaney,M.,andGemmell,N.1999,Fiscalpolicyandgrowth:evidencefromOECDcountries,JournalofPublicEconomics74,171190.Mintz,J.andTulkens,H.1986,CommodityTaxCompetitionBetweenMemberStatesofaFederation:EquilibriumandEfficiency,JournalofPubli