IPMP培训之三

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1IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-23256533(IPMP)IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-23256533•••••IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1•••••2IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.1•–––•IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.1.1•••••••IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.2•––––––3IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.3IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.4•IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.5••••4IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.5.1••IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.5.2•IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-23256533••••5IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.5.3•––––––IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.5.4•––IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.6•(–30%–20%–10%••–0.2-1.0%–0.25-1.5%–1.0-3.0%0.2-1.0%,6IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.7.1IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.1.7.2IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2•••••7IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.1a•–•–()–IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.1b•–––•–––=IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565331.•100702030%8IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565331.1002.703.30124.9330%5.21346.207.415641IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-23256533••––3.2.2IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-23256533•–E()RKE=R/K–T()T=1/E=K/R•3.2.2.19IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565331.•––ETETEETTIPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565332.PtPt=1+PtPt——Ptt=1CICOt=0IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.•12%40002000100050050004321010IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565334.••–T=411500/4000=3.375•–E=1/T=0.29612%25001500350045005000400020001000500500043210IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.2.2•Ta–Ta=(K1K2)/(C2C1)–Ta=(K1K2)/(B1B2)–Ea=1/TaKBC•TaTEaEIPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.3••••••11IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.3.1•––•–––IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565331.•––•F=P(1+ni)–FPin•F=P(1+i)nIPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565332.a•P=F(1+i)nP/Fin•(1+i)n——12IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.3.2ƒPVƒ()NPVBCƒNPV–NPV0–NPV0NVP=(Bt-Ct)nt=01(1+i0)tIPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.3.3•IRR)•–i0IRRi0–IRRi0–IRRIRRNVP=(Bt-Ct)=0nt=01(1+i0)tIPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.3.4•ERR•–i0ERRi0–ERRi013IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.3.5ƒTdAPƒEd=1/Tdƒ–TdTEdE–TdTEdETd=-log(1-)log(1+i)PiAIPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-23256533•4900990450?•TT=4900/990-4509•10%•Td=23•923IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.3.6/•BC/B/C•/–B/C1–B/C1–B/C=114IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.3.7•NP=NPV/PNP————NPV————P————••IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.4••–––––IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.4.1•••–––––15IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.4.2••/IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565331.•IRRa)NPV1-NPV2=0NPV1=NPV2•i0IRRai0IRRai0IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565332.•K1K2K1K2C1C2•Ead=1/Tad•I)1log(]1log[001221iiCCkkTad+−−−−=16IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.•1NPVI–IIicIII2•PCIPCIIIIINPVI-II=(CI–CO)ft–(CI–CO)I/t(P/F,i,t)ni=0/IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565334.•1AWIAWIIIII2•ACAW=(CI–CO)t(P/F,i,t)(A/P,i,t)ni=0AC=(I+C-SW-W)t(P/F,i,t)(A/P,i,t)ni=0IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565335.•Pmin==PC/Qt(P/F,i,t)•Qtt(I+C-SW-W)t(P/F,i,t)ni=0Qt(P/F,i,t)ni=0ni=017IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.5•–––––IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.5.1•••IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565332.——0QQBEPQQBEPS()BEPCQVQFFQBEPQ18IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.20000106IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565334.•C(Q)=KDQ•B(Q)=SQ•C(Q)=B(Q)K+DQ=SQ•Q=K/(SD)=20000/(106)=5000B=500010=50000IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565336.•AB–A14042042012–B55421075400AB?19IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.5.2••••IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565331.•––––•––––IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565332.•••10%•20IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.——•=IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565334.——•IRP=i0NPV=0i0i0IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.5.3a•••21IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-232565333.2.5.3b••IPMPpmdoctor@263.net022-23256533

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